2074 N Columbia Ave · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come check this home available now! Value add situation! With just some cosmetics this home could be exactly what you want. A blank slate! Please feel free to reach out with any questions!
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Large backyard
- Close to main routes
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Williams Elem. (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 317 students, 85% FRL); Hillcrest High (math 9% / reading 35%, grade F, #462 of 521 statewide, top 90%, 1,017 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 46% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Springfield R-XII average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.63%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $109,956
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2074 N Columbia Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $108 | 99 |
| 2043 N Roosevelt North Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+8%) | 4mo | $109,000 | $109 | 78 |
| 2135 N Roosevelt Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 870 (-6%) | 5mo | $112,000 | $129 | 76 |
| 2111 N Grace Ave | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 836 (-10%) | 5mo | $39,900 | $48 | 73 |
| 2126 N Grace Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (+10%) | 7mo | $64,900 | $64 | 73 |
| 2119 N Marion Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,018 (+10%) | 3mo | $112,500 | $111 | 62 |
| 2111 N Elizabeth Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 845 (-8%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $95 | 59 |
| 2105 N Elizabeth Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 830 (-10%) | 2mo | $98,500 | $119 | 57 |
| 2234 N Fay Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 867 (-6%) | 3mo | $129,900 | $150 | 57 |
| 2227 N Elizabeth Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,014 (+10%) | 6mo | $129,000 | $127 | 54 |
| 2117 N Lexington Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+13%) | 3mo | $124,500 | $120 | 51 |
| 2228 N Farmer Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,032 (+12%) | 4mo | $169,000 | $164 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,087
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $20,127
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65803
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 394
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,041 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $661/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $201
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2115 N Grace Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2224 N Clifton Ave Unit 2238-A Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $695 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2117 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2126 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $895 | $0.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3031 W Pacific St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2120 N Johnston Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $925 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3016 W Hovey St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2712 W Nichols St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 619 | $795 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1406 W Calhoun St Unit B Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $865 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2601 N Cresthaven Ave Springfield, MO | 4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,627 | $1.61 | 13d | 16 | 1.30mi |
| 922 N Glenn Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 740 N West Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 741 N West Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $950 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1126 W Hamilton St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $895 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-15status Pending
-
2026-03-20status Active
-
2026-02-09status Pending
-
2026-01-19price $100,000
-
2026-01-02price $110,000
-
2025-11-18$119,900 Active
-
2007-10-02soldstatus
-
2005-04-07soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $661 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $970 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$309/yr (+$26/mo · 46.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,495
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$661
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,000
- − Management
- −$1,000
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $824
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$198
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,219/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield R-XII
- NCES district ID
- 2928860
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,886
- Composite
- 32.45/100
- National rank
- #5717
- State rank
- #174 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MO
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,882
- Household income
- $50,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.08%
- Current HPI
- 205.0439
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.24%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-16.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — SOMO
- 2026-03-20 Relisted — SOMO
- 2026-02-09 Pending — SOMO
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $100,000 SOMO
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $110,000 SOMO
- 2025-11-18 Listed $119,900 SOMO
- 2007-10-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-04-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $661 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…