Lou Henry Ln · West Branch, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$86,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
$86,000 OBO. 2023 Clayton manufactured home for sale in West Branch. Three bedrooms and two full bathrooms. 1216 total square feet. Well maintained with only 1 owner. -19ft x 12ft treated deck with storage below is attached. Great place to entertain. -Includes a large storage shed. -Kitchen appliances stay with the home. - New roof (2026). - Larger lot with neighbors only to the back and directly across. No neighbors in the front or on the west side. Dead end street in front of the front yard which makes more room. No chance of homes being placed on the south or west sides of the lot. The home has lots of privacy while also having neighbors. Great view of town from the top of the hill. - Ri
Key facts
- Dead end street
- Larger lot
- Large storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $86k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 2.3% in West Branch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#29 in IA, #817 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- West Branch Community School District (rural): math 68% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #134 of 289 in IA (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 89 units permitted in Cedar County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $595 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cedar County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.06%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $215,232
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 134 W Orange St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,239 (+2%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $121 | 66 |
| 512 E Main St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+7%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $177 | 50 |
| 405 N 4th St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,310 (+8%) | 23mo | $252,000 | $192 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $14,274
- Equity at exit
- $12,823
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $48,809
- Equity at exit
- $7,436
Cash invested: $24,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52358
- Home prices YoY
- -17.2%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,313 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$451
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$108 /mo · $1,290/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $443
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,500
- Closing costs
- $2,580
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157 Powell St West Branch, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $1,304 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 320 Historic Way West Branch, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 783 | $1,350 | $1.72 | 13d | 5 | 0.54mi |
| 204 Sycamore Dr West Branch, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,320 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $86,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$86,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,751
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,817
- − Property taxes
- −$1,290
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,260
- − Management
- −$1,260
- − Depreciation
- −$2,502
- Taxable income
- $4,192
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,006
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,305/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This well-maintained Clayton manufactured home is in good condition with a good roof and modern updates. It's move-in ready with a good curb appeal and privacy.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Branch Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930750
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,511
- Composite
- 59.92/100
- National rank
- #880
- State rank
- #134 of 289 in IA
Livability — West Branch
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #817
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Branch, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,752
Population outlook (Cedar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,416 people
- By 2030
- 18,294 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 17,771 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 16,841 · -8.6%
- By 2075
- 14,503 · -21.2%
- By 2100
- 11,301 · -38.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cedar
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.4% · R 60.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+17.0 2016: R+18.1 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+9.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.15%
- Current HPI
- 221.5249
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $86,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…