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1433 Sheldon St
B+ Composite 77.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$67,000

1433 Sheldon St · Clovis, NM 88101
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 252 Days on market
Built 1940 7,000 sqft lot $67/sqft · 50% below area Est $134k · 50% under ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute Home with some fresh paint, Still some work to be done but this home could easily be made just what you want it to be.

Key facts

  • 7,000 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $67k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 252 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $58,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 252 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
14.51%
Cash-on-cash
29.35%
DSCR
2.31
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,710
List price
$67,000
Delta
-49.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$21,291
Equity at exit
$9,990
10-year hold
IRR
35.6%
Equity multiple
4.67×
Total profit
$68,826
Equity at exit
$5,793

Cash invested: $18,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88101

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
464
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,120 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$351
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $559/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$459

Break-even live

Break-even rent $539
Max offer price $67,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,750
Closing costs
$2,010
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
109 State Ave Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 816 $2,000 $2.45 44d 1 0.67mi
401 E 5th St Unit 5 Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 44d 1 0.73mi
2517 Ross St Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 991 $950 $0.96 44d 1 0.74mi
2100 Mitchell St Unit 14 Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 743 $750 $1.01 44d 1 0.79mi
2112 Fred Daugherty Ave Apt C Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 900 $925 $1.03 44d 1 1.22mi
117 Townsgate Plz Unit I Clovis, NM 1.0 1.0 853 $1,000 $1.17 44d 1 1.29mi
3205 N Main St Unit 301 Clovis, NM 3.0 2.0 1017 $1,350 $1.33 44d 1 1.32mi
2101 Bobwhite Ct Unit B Clovis, NM 2.0 2.0 981 $1,200 $1.22 44d 1 1.38mi
2365 Marlene Blvd Unit B Clovis, NM 2.0 2.0 956 $2,000 $2.09 44d 1 1.42mi
2412 E 14th St Unit 2412-2 Clovis, NM 1.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 44d 1 1.43mi
2500 E 14th St Unit 2502-B Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 900 $1,195 $1.33 44d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $67,000 Active 252 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $67,000 Active 251 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $67,000 Active 250 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $67,000 Active 249 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $67,000 Active 248 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $67,000 Active 246 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $67,000 Active 245 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $67,000 Active 242 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $67,000 Active 241 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $67,000 Active 240 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $67,000 Active 236 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,000 Active 235 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,000 Active 234 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,000 Active 233 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $67,000 Active 232 DOM
  16. 2026-03-27
    status Active 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Cute Home with some fresh paint, Still some work to be done but this home could easily be made just what you want it to be.

  17. 2026-03-27
    price $67,000 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Cute Home with some fresh paint, Still some work to be done but this home could easily be made just what you want it to be.

  18. 2026-03-25
    historical 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Cute Home with some fresh paint, Still some work to be done but this home could easily be made just what you want it to be.

  19. 2026-02-25
    status Pending 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Cute Home with some fresh paint, Still some work to be done but this home could easily be made just what you want it to be.

  20. 2025-11-14
    price $69,900 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Cute Home with some fresh paint, Still some work to be done but this home could easily be made just what you want it to be.

  21. 2025-09-24
    price $79,900 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Cute Home with some fresh paint, Still some work to be done but this home could easily be made just what you want it to be.

  22. 2025-09-11
    listed $89,900 Active 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Cute Home with some fresh paint, Still some work to be done but this home could easily be made just what you want it to be.

  23. 2006-10-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$559 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$559 · $47/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 6% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,437
− Mortgage interest
−$3,753
− Property taxes
−$559
− Insurance
−$335
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,075
− Management
−$1,075
− Depreciation
−$1,949
Taxable income
$4,691
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,126
After-tax cash flow
$4,379/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3500570
Math proficiency
31% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$40,532
Composite
33.52/100
National rank
#5435
State rank
#13 of 29 in NM

Livability — Clovis

Score
56/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#22374

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clovis, NM
County
Curry County · 44,846 people
City population
44,846
Metro
Clovis, NM
Population (ZIP)
44,846
Household income
$56,587
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1724.0

Population outlook (Curry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,742 people
By 2030
47,759 · -2.0%
By 2040
45,444 · -6.8%
By 2050
42,403 · -13.0%
By 2075
33,878 · -30.5%
By 2100
22,414 · -54.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 42% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Curry

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.6) · D 27.8% · R 70.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -42.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.6 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.79%
Current HPI
121.1877
Rent YoY
▲ 5.54%
Metro
Clovis, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-25.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted NMMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $67,000 NMMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Delisted NMMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Pending NMMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Price Changed $69,900 NMMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $79,900 NMMLS
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $89,900 NMMLS
  • 2006-10-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $559 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…