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1307 Victory Palm Dr
D Composite 42.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

1307 Victory Palm Dr · Edgewater, FL 32132
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1980

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special. Our lack of time is your opportunity. Newer roof, exterior doors and siding. This home needs some TLC, which is reflected in the price. Home needs updated paint, AC, windows, flooring, kitchen and bathrooms. Great for a family with handyman skills and a desire to build your own sweat equity. No HOA. Bring your backyard toys - boats, RV & acirc; & euro; & trade; s and make this home your own. Sold AS IS.

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Exterior doors
  • Siding

Tags

NEWER ROOFEXTERIOR DOORSSIDINGNO HOA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1980
  • Construction: 1980 construction
  • Exterior features: Located in the Florida Shores subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($511/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (9.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $203k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#329 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
  • Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Edgewater Public School (math 67% / reading 52%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 504 students, 64% FRL); New Smyrna Beach Middle School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,037 students, 53% FRL); New Smyrna Beach High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 1,810 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $225k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $202,772 (9.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.81%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-33,717
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-25,736
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32132

Home prices YoY
-20.1%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,028 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$286 /mo · $3,428/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$426
Net cashflow
$43

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,974
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $170 -5% $106 +0% $43 +5% $-21 +10% $-85
Rent -10% $-118 -5% $-38 +0% $43 +5% $123 +10% $203
Rate -1.0pp $156 -0.5pp $100 base $43 +0.5pp $-16 +1.0pp $-75

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
308 Wildwood Dr Edgewater, FL 3.0 2.0 1485 $2,195 $1.48 21d 1 0.38mi
706 Mary St Edgewater, FL 2.0 1.5 1025 $1,600 $1.56 25d 1 0.68mi
1822 Royal Palm Dr Edgewater, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,620 $1.16 16d 1 0.73mi
121 W Marion Ave Edgewater, FL 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,250 $1.23 25d 1 1.13mi
2725 Silver Canoe Dr Edgewater, FL 3.0 2.5 1840 $2,200 $1.20 25d 1 1.23mi
2219 Lake Preserve Cir New Smyrna Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $3,400 $1.86 25d 1 1.34mi
2219 Umbrella Tree Dr Edgewater, FL 3.0 2.0 1446 $2,300 $1.59 25d 1 1.37mi
120 Hardin Pl Edgewater, FL 3.0 2.0 1455 $2,075 $1.43 16d 1 1.42mi
2027 Guava Dr Unit 2029 Edgewater, FL 4.0 2.0 1760 $1,995 $1.13 25d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $225,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $225,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    remarks 424-char remark
  12. 2026-06-05
    listed $225,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,428 · $286/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,428 · $286/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,333
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,428
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,947
− Management
−$1,947
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$3,263
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$783
After-tax cash flow
$1,294/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Volusia
NCES district ID
1201920
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,946
Composite
39.2/100
National rank
#4019
State rank
#47 of 73 in FL

Livability — Edgewater

Score
72/100
State rank
#329
US rank
#5753

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edgewater, FL
City population
18,726
Population (ZIP)
8,132

Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
572,749 people
By 2030
598,695 · +4.5%
By 2040
644,880 · +12.6%
By 2050
681,451 · +19.0%
By 2075
759,957 · +32.7%
By 2100
778,902 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Estonian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Volusia

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.25%
Current HPI
366.8512
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+73.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $225,000 FSBO.com
  • 2006-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,428 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…