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401 Goad Ave
C Composite 58.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$85,000

401 Goad Ave · Matoaka, WV 24736
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily · 19 Days on market
Built 1904 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful 2 bedrooms, 1 bath with dining room living room and kitchen plus pantry. There are 3 sources of heat, HP less than 3 years old, propane and baseboard - paved and gated driveway - pressure pump and generator included, metal roof, vinyl siding

Key facts

  • Pantry
  • Kitchen
  • Living room

Tags

DINING ROOMLIVING ROOMKITCHENPANTRYPAVED DRIVEWAYGATED DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From Princeton, follow Rt 19, turn left on Rt 10 at Lake Shawnee, approx. 6 miles - turn right on Carter Hill - go to top of hill

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Porch; Storm door(s); Storage structure on property

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Baseboard heating; Heat pump
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($934 rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#298 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Mercer County Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #28 of 55 in WV (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mercer County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.42%
Cash-on-cash
7.60%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$19,850
Equity at exit
$38,220
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$57,248
Equity at exit
$58,901

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 24736

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$934 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$151

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-05-27
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,211
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$897
− Management
−$897
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$484
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$116
After-tax cash flow
$1,692/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed. It has a good roof and systems, but could benefit from fresh paint and updated flooring to increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor wooden deck — slight wear
  • Minor vinyl siding — slight discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and adds value
  • Both repair and paint wooden deck — A well-maintained deck enhances curb appeal and provides a functional outdoor space

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
wooden deck · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
vinyl siding · slight discoloration Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and adds value
  • Both repair and paint wooden deck — A well-maintained deck enhances curb appeal and provides a functional outdoor space

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mercer County Schools
NCES district ID
5400840
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,064
Composite
25.98/100
National rank
#7325
State rank
#28 of 55 in WV

Livability — Matoaka

Score
53/100
State rank
#298
US rank
#24273

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
724

Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,860 people
By 2030
55,781 · -3.6%
By 2040
51,365 · -11.2%
By 2050
47,476 · -17.9%
By 2075
38,851 · -32.9%
By 2100
30,053 · -48.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 10% Portuguese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mercer

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 77.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -57.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+27.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $85,000 MTCBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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