401 Goad Ave · Matoaka, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 2 bedrooms, 1 bath with dining room living room and kitchen plus pantry. There are 3 sources of heat, HP less than 3 years old, propane and baseboard - paved and gated driveway - pressure pump and generator included, metal roof, vinyl siding
Key facts
- Pantry
- Kitchen
- Living room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From Princeton, follow Rt 19, turn left on Rt 10 at Lake Shawnee, approx. 6 miles - turn right on Carter Hill - go to top of hill
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Porch; Storm door(s); Storage structure on property
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Baseboard heating; Heat pump
- Interior features: Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($934 rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#298 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Mercer County Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #28 of 55 in WV (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Mercer County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.60%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $19,850
- Equity at exit
- $38,220
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $57,248
- Equity at exit
- $58,901
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24736
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $934 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$196
- Net cashflow
- $151
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,211
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$897
- − Management
- −$897
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $484
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$116
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,692/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed. It has a good roof and systems, but could benefit from fresh paint and updated flooring to increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor wooden deck — slight wear
- Minor vinyl siding — slight discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and adds value
- Both repair and paint wooden deck — A well-maintained deck enhances curb appeal and provides a functional outdoor space
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| wooden deck · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| vinyl siding · slight discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and adds value ↑
- Both repair and paint wooden deck — A well-maintained deck enhances curb appeal and provides a functional outdoor space ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mercer County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400840
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,064
- Composite
- 25.98/100
- National rank
- #7325
- State rank
- #28 of 55 in WV
Livability — Matoaka
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #298
- US rank
- #24273
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 724
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,860 people
- By 2030
- 55,781 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 51,365 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 47,476 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 38,851 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 30,053 · -48.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 10% Portuguese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 77.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -57.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $85,000 MTCBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…