819 E Adams St · Taylorville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A well-maintained, move-in-ready residence offering an affordable opportunity for first-time buyers or those seeking a cozy single-family home in a convenient location. This inviting property features a spacious eat-in kitchen with impressive vaulted ceilings, creating an open and airy feel perfect for family meals or casual entertaining. The home includes two bedrooms and an additional flexible room that could easily serve as a small office, den, or hobby space to suit modern lifestyles. Laundry is a breeze in the dedicated nice laundry room, while practical outdoor amenities include a detached garage with an attached carport for extra parking or storage. Step outside to enjoy the covered front porch, ideal for morning coffee or relaxing evenings, and a nice backyard that provides plenty of space for gardening, play, or simply unwinding in a peaceful setting. Priced competitively
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Flexible room
- Vaulted ceilings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($820 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.1% in Taylorville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#478 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Taylorville CUSD 3 (town): math 14% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #383 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 26 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Christian County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.52%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,892
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -1.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 902 E Oak St | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 | 1,008 (-4%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $64 | 66 |
| 708 E Franklin St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-14%) | 5mo | $19,000 | $21 | 65 |
| 525 S Washington St | 0.58mi | 2/1.5 | 1,076 (+2%) | 8mo | $132,000 | $123 | 61 |
| 402 E Adams St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 933 (-12%) | 3mo | $86,000 | $92 | 61 |
| 822 S Clay St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 5mo | $119,900 | $114 | 58 |
| 1010 E Adams St | 0.16mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 924 (-12%) | 7mo | $6,000 | $6 | 57 |
| 801 E Park St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 1,157 (+10%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $112 | 56 |
| 803 E Park St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (+10%) | 0mo | $84,900 | $73 | 56 |
| 916 E Elm St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,126 (+7%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 516 N Pawnee St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,106 (+5%) | 7mo | $117,500 | $106 | 49 |
| 1015 E Elm St | 0.61mi | 2/1.5 | 1,196 (+13%) | 6mo | $119,900 | $100 | 42 |
| 117 S Pershing St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+11%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $158 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-3,472
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $7,197
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62568
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $820 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,553/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$172
- Net cashflow
- $123
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $162 | -5% $143 | +0% $123 | +5% $103 | +10% $83 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $58 | -5% $90 | +0% $123 | +5% $155 | +10% $188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $158 | -0.5pp $141 | base $123 | +0.5pp $105 | +1.0pp $86 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913 N Taylorville Blvd Taylorville, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $820 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricestatusdays on market $69,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $79,900 Pending 126 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $79,900 896-char remark
Show marketing remark (896 chars)
A well-maintained, move-in-ready residence offering an affordable opportunity for first-time buyers or those seeking a cozy single-family home in a convenient location. This inviting property features a spacious eat-in kitchen with impressive vaulted ceilings, creating an open and airy feel perfect for family meals or casual entertaining. The home includes two bedrooms and an additional flexible room that could easily serve as a small office, den, or hobby space to suit modern lifestyles. Laundry is a breeze in the dedicated nice laundry room, while practical outdoor amenities include a detached garage with an attached carport for extra parking or storage. Step outside to enjoy the covered front porch, ideal for morning coffee or relaxing evenings, and a nice backyard that provides plenty of space for gardening, play, or simply unwinding in a peaceful setting. Priced competitively
-
2026-03-18price $84,900 896-char remark
Show marketing remark (896 chars)
A well-maintained, move-in-ready residence offering an affordable opportunity for first-time buyers or those seeking a cozy single-family home in a convenient location. This inviting property features a spacious eat-in kitchen with impressive vaulted ceilings, creating an open and airy feel perfect for family meals or casual entertaining. The home includes two bedrooms and an additional flexible room that could easily serve as a small office, den, or hobby space to suit modern lifestyles. Laundry is a breeze in the dedicated nice laundry room, while practical outdoor amenities include a detached garage with an attached carport for extra parking or storage. Step outside to enjoy the covered front porch, ideal for morning coffee or relaxing evenings, and a nice backyard that provides plenty of space for gardening, play, or simply unwinding in a peaceful setting. Priced competitively
-
2026-01-27$89,900 Active 896-char remark
Show marketing remark (896 chars)
A well-maintained, move-in-ready residence offering an affordable opportunity for first-time buyers or those seeking a cozy single-family home in a convenient location. This inviting property features a spacious eat-in kitchen with impressive vaulted ceilings, creating an open and airy feel perfect for family meals or casual entertaining. The home includes two bedrooms and an additional flexible room that could easily serve as a small office, den, or hobby space to suit modern lifestyles. Laundry is a breeze in the dedicated nice laundry room, while practical outdoor amenities include a detached garage with an attached carport for extra parking or storage. Step outside to enjoy the covered front porch, ideal for morning coffee or relaxing evenings, and a nice backyard that provides plenty of space for gardening, play, or simply unwinding in a peaceful setting. Priced competitively
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,553 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,570 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$17/yr (+$1/mo · 1.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,840
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,553
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$787
- − Management
- −$787
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $415
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$99
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,373/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Taylorville CUSD 3
- NCES district ID
- 1738700
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,940
- Composite
- 19.53/100
- National rank
- #8764
- State rank
- #383 of 620 in IL
Livability — Taylorville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #478
- US rank
- #9895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Taylorville, IL
- City population
- 16,035
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,035
Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,182 people
- By 2030
- 29,787 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 26,793 · -14.1%
- By 2050
- 23,757 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 17,333 · -44.4%
- By 2100
- 11,573 · -62.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Black 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Christian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 25.9% · R 72.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: -6.3pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.77%
- Current HPI
- 159.2588
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-11.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $79,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $84,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-27 Listed $89,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,553 · +58.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…