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2960 Silver Creek Rd Lot 149
B- Composite 67.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

2960 Silver Creek Rd Lot 149 · Bullhead City, AZ 86442
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 112 Days on market
Built 1989 ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 Bedroom 2 bath with bonus room 1989 Fleetwood 1440 sq ft. MUST SEE!!!! Open House Saturdays 11-2 Pride of ownership, super unique floor plan, very spacious, separate dining area + bonus room maybe used as office, craft room or formal dining room. Partially furnished, new plank flooring, carpeted bedrooms & amp; living area, newer roof, newly painted, appliances included. Approx. 60 & rsquo; ft covered carport and outside porch - Home Inspection is Available for buyer. Longridge Mobile Home Park a 55+ community on leased land park lot rent monthly $595 includes trash and park amenities.

Key facts

  • Built 1989
  • Listed 112 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1989; Single-family property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Interior features: Furnished; Pantry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 3.7% in Bullhead City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#103 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Bullhead City School District (4378) (town): math 16% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #189 of 249 in AZ (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 710 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,990 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
14.84%
Cash-on-cash
30.51%
DSCR
2.36
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$192,960
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2960 Silver Creek Rd #174 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 2mo $115,000 $86 87
2701 Avenida Grande 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+1%) 13mo $278,500 $191 58
2700 Calle De Mercado 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 3mo $205,000 $153 57
2960 Silver Creek Rd Rd #192 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (+11%) 20mo $25,000 $16 56
2960 Silver Creek Rd #49 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-13%) 16mo $130,000 $104 56
2784 Paloma Senda 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 18mo $180,400 $134 53
2960 Silver Creek Rd #201 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-13%) 23mo $95,000 $76 51
2748 Avenida Grande 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,586 (+10%) 21mo $240,000 $151 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$21,326
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$52,730
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86442

Home prices YoY
-27.0%
Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
710
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,581 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$634

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $695 -5% $664 +0% $634 +5% $603 +10% $572
Rent -10% $509 -5% $571 +0% $634 +5% $696 +10% $758
Rate -1.0pp $678 -0.5pp $656 base $634 +0.5pp $611 +1.0pp $587

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1570 Paseo Grande Bullhead City, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,585 $2.05 13d 10 0.68mi
2665 Calle De Mercado Unit 10 Bullhead City, AZ 2.0 2.5 1198 $1,295 $1.08 13d 1 0.73mi
1717 El Cazador Bullhead City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1354 $1,600 $1.18 13d 1 0.97mi
2030 Prospector Ct Bullhead City, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1118 $1,574 $1.41 13d 13 1.37mi
1618 Goldrush Rd Bullhead City, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 731 $1,298 $1.77 13d 6 1.38mi
2440 Tapatio Dr Bullhead City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1615 $1,599 $0.99 21d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 106 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 104 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 103 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 102 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,000 Active 98 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 96 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 95 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 94 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,000 Active 93 DOM
  16. 2026-03-05
    price $89,000
  17. 2026-02-27
    listed $95,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥111°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,967
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,335
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,517
− Management
−$1,517
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$6,578
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,579
After-tax cash flow
$6,025/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bullhead City School District (4378)
NCES district ID
0401500
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,109
Composite
15.83/100
National rank
#9263
State rank
#189 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Bullhead City

Score
64/100
State rank
#103
US rank
#14458

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bullhead City, AZ
County
Mohave County · 181,906 people
City population
43,354
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
Population (ZIP)
34,735
Household income
$48,081
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
1040.0

Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,184 people
By 2030
209,674 · +0.2%
By 2040
205,897 · -1.6%
By 2050
196,810 · -5.9%
By 2075
169,454 · -19.0%
By 2100
136,630 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Mohave

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.11%
Current HPI
270.3297
Rent YoY
▼ -0.90%
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $89,000 FSBO.com
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $95,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…