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B Composite 73.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

610 Baylor Dr · West Memphis, AR 72301
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,530 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1967 9,583 sqft lot Est $184k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Priced to sell!!! Property was refurbished in 2022 & roof 2020. Living room plus den & no carpet. Property sold AS IS

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • Built 1967
  • Listed 17 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential single-story; Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Located in Avondale Gardens subdivision
  • Construction: Built with brick; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range and oven; Gas water heater
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan cooling; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows with blinds; Gas fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 7.0% in West Memphis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #185 of 238 in AR (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Marion Visual & Performing Arts Magnet School (math 15% / reading 12%, grade F, #413 of 454 statewide, top 91%, 762 students, 88% FRL); Marion Junior High School (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #170 of 201 statewide, top 86%, 970 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 52% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $80k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,251 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.80%
Cash-on-cash
19.67%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$183,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
618 S Roselawn 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,537 (+0%) 0mo $140,000 $91 76
702 Dover Rd 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,695 (+11%) 2mo $63,000 $37 72
424 N Roselawn Dr 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,554 (+2%) 9mo $185,000 $119 69
908 Roselawn Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,442 (-6%) 2mo $90,000 $62 65
1108 N Rich Rd 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,335 (-13%) 2mo $190,000 $142 64
813 Pryor Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,581 (+3%) 8mo $175,000 $111 64
511 Balfour Rd 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,736 (+14%) 3mo $190,000 $109 63
906 N Roselawn Dr 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,560 (+2%) 8mo $187,900 $120 62
1010 Arlington Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,467 (-4%) 3mo $239,000 $163 60
1009 Cherry Ln 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,743 (+14%) 9mo $210,000 $120 46
1417 Chester Ln 0.48mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,683 (+10%) 9mo $202,000 $120 44
213 S Worthington Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,375 (-10%) 6mo $169,900 $124 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$14,298
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$53,721
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $700/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$505

Break-even live

Break-even rent $861
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $567 -5% $536 +0% $505 +5% $473 +10% $442
Rent -10% $386 -5% $445 +0% $505 +5% $564 +10% $623
Rate -1.0pp $560 -0.5pp $532 base $505 +0.5pp $476 +1.0pp $447

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
911 N Avalon St Unit Future applicants West Memphis, AR 2.0 2.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 2d 1 0.47mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $109,900 Pending 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $109,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $109,900 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-05-28
    listed $109,900 Active
  12. 2017-03-16
    soldstatus $79,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$700 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$703 · $59/mo
Expected delta
+$3/yr ($0/mo · 0.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$700
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$4,517
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,084
After-tax cash flow
$4,970/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion School District
NCES district ID
0509390
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$50,758
Composite
20.88/100
National rank
#8492
State rank
#185 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $109,900 EARA
  • 2017-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $700 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…