610 Baylor Dr · West Memphis, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Priced to sell!!! Property was refurbished in 2022 & roof 2020. Living room plus den & no carpet. Property sold AS IS
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Built 1967
- Listed 17 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential single-story; Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Located in Avondale Gardens subdivision
- Construction: Built with brick; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range and oven; Gas water heater
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan cooling; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows with blinds; Gas fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 7.0% in West Memphis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #185 of 238 in AR (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Marion Visual & Performing Arts Magnet School (math 15% / reading 12%, grade F, #413 of 454 statewide, top 91%, 762 students, 88% FRL); Marion Junior High School (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #170 of 201 statewide, top 86%, 970 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 52% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $80k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.67%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $183,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 618 S Roselawn | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,537 (+0%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $91 | 76 |
| 702 Dover Rd | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,695 (+11%) | 2mo | $63,000 | $37 | 72 |
| 424 N Roselawn Dr | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,554 (+2%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $119 | 69 |
| 908 Roselawn Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,442 (-6%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $62 | 65 |
| 1108 N Rich Rd | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,335 (-13%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $142 | 64 |
| 813 Pryor Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,581 (+3%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $111 | 64 |
| 511 Balfour Rd | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,736 (+14%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $109 | 63 |
| 906 N Roselawn Dr | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+2%) | 8mo | $187,900 | $120 | 62 |
| 1010 Arlington Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,467 (-4%) | 3mo | $239,000 | $163 | 60 |
| 1009 Cherry Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,743 (+14%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $120 | 46 |
| 1417 Chester Ln | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,683 (+10%) | 9mo | $202,000 | $120 | 44 |
| 213 S Worthington Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (-10%) | 6mo | $169,900 | $124 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $14,298
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $53,721
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72301
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $700/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $505
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $567 | -5% $536 | +0% $505 | +5% $473 | +10% $442 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $386 | -5% $445 | +0% $505 | +5% $564 | +10% $623 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $560 | -0.5pp $532 | base $505 | +0.5pp $476 | +1.0pp $447 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 911 N Avalon St Unit Future applicants West Memphis, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1057 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $109,900 Pending 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-28$109,900 Active
-
2017-03-16soldstatus $79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $700 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $703 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3/yr ($0/mo · 0.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$700
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $4,517
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,084
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509390
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,758
- Composite
- 20.88/100
- National rank
- #8492
- State rank
- #185 of 238 in AR
Livability — West Memphis
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #23638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Memphis, AR
- City population
- 24,182
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,182
Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,254 people
- By 2030
- 42,953 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 38,235 · -15.5%
- By 2050
- 33,670 · -25.6%
- By 2075
- 24,315 · -46.3%
- By 2100
- 17,173 · -62.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.63%
- Current HPI
- 182.7665
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+37.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $109,900 EARA
- 2017-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $700 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…