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7306 Pipes Cir
C+ Composite 60.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

7306 Pipes Cir · Pine River, MI 48801
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · Other · 98 Days on market
Built 1999 1,520 sqft lot $59/sqft · 36% above area Est $44k · 36% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This nicely updated home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, appliances included. Located in Alma, Michigan, Scotsdale Estates offers families a quaint and secure country neighborhood atmosphere, combined with all the advantages and amenities offered in a city of approximately 10,000 people. Through our in-house, licensed manufactured home dealer, IMC Home Sales, Scotsdale Estates also offers high-quality new and pre-owned homes, rent-to-own homes, as well as spacious sites for those who already own a home. Enjoy the security and quiet of this Alma community in a spacious new or high-quality pre-owned manufactured home. Choose from our many unique manufactured home floor plans, styles, and exterior elevations, all at significant savings to conventional housing. Scotsdale Estates is conveniently located near Meijer, Wal-Mart, and several restaurants. A tranquil country setting of mature trees, a scenic reflection pond, and picturesque parklands surround the award-winning community of Scotsdale Estates. Nestled among the rolling countryside of Alma, with streets named Bagpipe Drive, Ladd’s Court, and Pipes Circle, it’s like escaping to the Scottish Highlands! Far removed from the everyday as it may feel, Scotsdale Estates is remarkably accessible to a wealth of shopping, entertainment, and recreational opportunities – many within walking distance. With an attractive clubhouse at the heart of the community, Scotsdale Estates is a place where activities are enjoyed, neighbors become friends, and memories are made.

Key facts

  • Spacious sites
  • Updated home
  • Mature trees

Tags

UPDATED HOMESPACIOUS SITESTRANQUIL COUNTRY SETTINGMATURE TREESSCENIC REFLECTION PONDPICTURESQUE PARKLANDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $593 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Alma Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #288 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 47 units permitted in Gratiot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gratiot County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $54,509 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
18.18%
Cash-on-cash
42.45%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$44,000
List price
$59,900
Delta
36.14%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.2%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$28,100
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
45.6%
Equity multiple
5.36×
Total profit
$73,204
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48801

Home prices YoY
-32.0%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,275 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$593

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1589 Mary Ct Alma, MI 3.0 1.5 1012 $1,275 $1.26 43d 1 0.48mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 98 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 97 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 95 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,900 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 81 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 80 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 79 DOM
  16. 2026-03-12
    listed $59,900 Active 1548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1549 chars)

    This nicely updated home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, appliances included. Located in Alma, Michigan, Scotsdale Estates offers families a quaint and secure country neighborhood atmosphere, combined with all the advantages and amenities offered in a city of approximately 10,000 people. Through our in-house, licensed manufactured home dealer, IMC Home Sales, Scotsdale Estates also offers high-quality new and pre-owned homes, rent-to-own homes, as well as spacious sites for those who already own a home. Enjoy the security and quiet of this Alma community in a spacious new or high-quality pre-owned manufactured home. Choose from our many unique manufactured home floor plans, styles, and exterior elevations, all at significant savings to conventional housing. Scotsdale Estates is conveniently located near Meijer, Wal-Mart, and several restaurants. A tranquil country setting of mature trees, a scenic reflection pond, and picturesque parklands surround the award-winning community of Scotsdale Estates. Nestled among the rolling countryside of Alma, with streets named Bagpipe Drive, Ladd's Court, and Pipes Circle, it's like escaping to the Scottish Highlands! Far removed from the everyday as it may feel, Scotsdale Estates is remarkably accessible to a wealth of shopping, entertainment, and recreational opportunities – many within walking distance. With an attractive clubhouse at the heart of the community, Scotsdale Estates is a place where activities are enjoyed, neighbors become friends, and memories are made.

  17. 2026-03-12
    listed $59,900 Active 1549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1549 chars)

    This nicely updated home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, appliances included. Located in Alma, Michigan, Scotsdale Estates offers families a quaint and secure country neighborhood atmosphere, combined with all the advantages and amenities offered in a city of approximately 10,000 people. Through our in-house, licensed manufactured home dealer, IMC Home Sales, Scotsdale Estates also offers high-quality new and pre-owned homes, rent-to-own homes, as well as spacious sites for those who already own a home. Enjoy the security and quiet of this Alma community in a spacious new or high-quality pre-owned manufactured home. Choose from our many unique manufactured home floor plans, styles, and exterior elevations, all at significant savings to conventional housing. Scotsdale Estates is conveniently located near Meijer, Wal-Mart, and several restaurants. A tranquil country setting of mature trees, a scenic reflection pond, and picturesque parklands surround the award-winning community of Scotsdale Estates. Nestled among the rolling countryside of Alma, with streets named Bagpipe Drive, Ladd's Court, and Pipes Circle, it's like escaping to the Scottish Highlands! Far removed from the everyday as it may feel, Scotsdale Estates is remarkably accessible to a wealth of shopping, entertainment, and recreational opportunities – many within walking distance. With an attractive clubhouse at the heart of the community, Scotsdale Estates is a place where activities are enjoyed, neighbors become friends, and memories are made.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,300
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,224
− Management
−$1,224
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$6,556
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,573
After-tax cash flow
$5,546/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alma Public Schools
NCES district ID
2602640
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$36,651
Composite
29.84/100
National rank
#6415
State rank
#288 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pine River

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,433

Population outlook (Gratiot County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,991 people
By 2030
38,944 · -2.6%
By 2040
36,694 · -8.2%
By 2050
34,314 · -14.2%
By 2075
27,693 · -30.8%
By 2100
20,809 · -48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gratiot

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.3) · D 33.7% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.7pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -31.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.3 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.16%
Current HPI
210.3208
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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