Triplex
15 Brighton 4th Ter · New York, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.8/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$999,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to this classic three-family home nestled in the heart of Brighton Beach, Brooklyn. Built in 1930, this solid brick/masonry structure offers 1,872 sq. ft. of total living space on a 2,125 sq. ft. lot with excellent transit, shopping, dining, and boardwalk access just moments away. Featuring three units over two stories, this property presents an ideal opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike. Each unit is thoughtfully laid out to maximize rental income potential in one of Brooklyn’s most desirable seaside neighborhoods. Conveniently located near B and Q subway lines, local schools, and beachside amenities, this multi-family gem embodies the vibrant lifestyle of Brigh
Key facts
- 2,125 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 97 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Shared driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Trash collection (public); Public water connected
- Home design: Triplex; Actual property condition
- Construction: Brick exterior; Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Finished basement; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; Two 3-bedroom units
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Casement windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $1000k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive. Per door: $900/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $1000k).
- Recommended offer: $910k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 521 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $11,510/mo this rent would consume 232% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 7823% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $280k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($910k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $242k; list at $1000k implies a 313% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.85%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $887,328
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2862 Brighton 3rd St | 0.12mi | 6/4.0 | 1,800 (-4%) | 0mo | $790,000 | $439 | 87 |
| 2939 Brighton 3rd St | 0.17mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 1,914 (+2%) | 6mo | $900,000 | $470 | 75 |
| 2807 Brighton 8th St | 0.15mi | 6/3.0 | 1,786 (-5%) | 21mo | $945,000 | $529 | 64 |
| 2922 Brighton 12th St | 0.42mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,831 (-2%) | 13mo | $868,000 | $474 | 53 |
| 3013 Brighton 2nd St | 0.26mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,776 (-5%) | 23mo | $875,000 | $493 | 52 |
| 2501 Hubbard St | 0.48mi | 6/2.0 | 2,000 (+7%) | 8mo | $995,000 | $498 | 52 |
| 2365 W 1 St | 0.72mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,100 (+12%) | 7mo | $965,000 | $460 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $33,788
- Equity at exit
- $149,103
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $353,279
- Equity at exit
- $86,461
Cash invested: $279,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11235
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 521
- Price-to-rent
- 21.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,510 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,244
- Tax from tax record
- −$667 /mo · $8,006/yr
- Insurance
- −$417
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,417
- Net cashflow
- $2,699
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1.3 | $11,511 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.3 | $3,837 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.3 | $3,837 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.3 | $3,837 |
| Total (3 units) | $11,510 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $249,999
- Closing costs
- $30,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $999,995 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $999,995 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $999,995 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $999,995 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $999,995 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $999,995 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $999,995 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $999,995 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $999,995 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $999,995 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $999,995 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-02-17$999,995 Active
-
1999-10-27soldstatus $242,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,006 · $667/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,453 · $1,038/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,447/yr (+$371/mo · 55.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $138,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$56,015
- − Property taxes
- −$8,006
- − Insurance
- −$5,797
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,050
- − Management
- −$11,050
- − Depreciation
- −$29,091
- Taxable income
- $17,111
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,107
- After-tax cash flow
- $28,275/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 78,558
- Household income
- $59,661
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7823.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Asian 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 15% Subsaharan African 12% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 63% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 24% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 48% Chinese 7% Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.73%
- Current HPI
- 303.6714
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.04%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+313.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Listed $999,995 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $242,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $8,006 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…