Triplex
18 Cleveland Ave · Fredonia, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this impeccably maintained three-family home, featuring two spacious three-bedroom apartments and one charming two-bedroom apartment. Situated in a quiet and desirable neighborhood, this property is a standout investment opportunity. With long-term tenants in place who are interested in staying, you'll enjoy immediate and reliable rental income. The home has been meticulously cared for and requires no additional work, having undergone numerous updates that ensure it remains in top condition. Not currently designated as student housing, fostering a stable tenant base. The property is mechanically sound, providing peace of mind for any investor, and includes the added convenience of off-street parking. This income-producing property offers a hassle-free investment in a prime location. Don’t miss your chance to own this exceptional home—schedule your viewing today! Seller also has listed 65 Cleveland Ave and 141 Prospect St - make a deal on all three!
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Income producing
- Laundry hook ups
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 1×3bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $250k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $376/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $227k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.6% in Fredonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#95 in NY, #1,446 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Fredonia Central School District (town): math 55% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #376 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Fredonia Elementary School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,361 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 398 students, 49% FRL); Fredonia Middle School (math 48% / reading 41%, grade D, #348 of 729 statewide, top 50%, 426 students, 43% FRL); Fredonia High School (math 98% / reading 75%, grade A, #342 of 1,100 statewide, top 31%, 463 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 28% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.36%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $362,359
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -31.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274 Liberty St | 0.84mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,952 (-4%) | 0mo | $330,000 | $112 | 51 |
| 160 Temple St | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,976 (-3%) | 11mo | $392,000 | $132 | 50 |
| 31 Liberty St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 2,459 (-20%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $110 | 46 |
| 15 Reese Pkwy | 1.28mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,034 (-2%) | 17mo | $400,000 | $132 | 42 |
| 123 Central Ave Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 2,592 (-16%) | 11mo | $360,000 | $139 | 40 |
| 32 White St | 0.25mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,350 (-24%) | 14mo | $150,000 | $64 | 40 |
| 285 Porter Rd | 1.44mi | 3/3.5 | 3,658 (+19%) | 14mo | $510,000 | $139 | 26 |
| 297 Central Ave | 0.90mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,518 (-18%) | 8mo | $254,500 | $101 | 26 |
| 145 Howard St | 1.03mi | 3/1.5 | 2,360 (-23%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $100 | 25 |
| 284 E Main St | 0.52mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,504 (-19%) | 32mo | $325,000 | $130 | 20 |
| 403 E Main St | 0.85mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,576 (-16%) | 22mo | $275,000 | $107 | 17 |
| 6 Birchwood Dr | 0.91mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,348 (-24%) | 23mo | $258,000 | $110 | 14 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $31,514
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $120,471
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14063
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 16.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,727 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$401 /mo · $4,810/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$783
- Net cashflow
- $1,129
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,484 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,242 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,242 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,242 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,727 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,270 | -5% $1,200 | +0% $1,129 | +5% $1,058 | +10% $987 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $834 | -5% $982 | +0% $1,129 | +5% $1,276 | +10% $1,423 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,255 | -0.5pp $1,192 | base $1,129 | +0.5pp $1,064 | +1.0pp $998 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 E Main St Fredonia, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,200 | — | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5 E Main St Fredonia, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,200 | — | 139d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 30 Water St Unit 101 Fredonia, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,195 | — | 2d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 51 Sahle Pl Fredonia, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 679 | $900 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2325 Center St Fredonia, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | — | $3,200 | — | 2d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 188 W Main St Fredonia, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 139d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 70 Greco Ln Dunkirk, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $980 | $0.91 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 100 Brigham Rd Fredonia, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,100 | — | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Operating expenses may include electric, fuel, professional management, and water/sewer (multi-unit)
- Financial info
- Owner pays all utilities (rental info)Rent includes all utilities (rental info)
Exterior
- Parking
- Paved parking with two or more spaces1-car garage
- Utilities
- Public water connectedSewer connected
- Home design
- 2-story propertyResale conditionWood siding construction
- Construction
- Wood sidingExisting (previously built)
- Exterior features
- Irregular residential lot80 x 60 lot dimensionsCity street frontageLot area approximately 0.11 acres
Interior
- Flooring
- HardwoodTileVaries
- Bathrooms
- 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Gas heatingBaseboard heatingHot water heatingRadiator heating
- Interior features
- Hardwood and tile flooring; flooring varies by roomCrawl space basement
- Laundry & utility
- Gas water heater
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-05days on market $249,900 Active 109 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $249,900 Active 108 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $249,900 Active 107 DOM
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2026-09-02days on market $249,900 Active 106 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $249,900 Active 103 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $249,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $249,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $249,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $249,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $249,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $249,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $249,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $249,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $249,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $249,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $249,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $249,900 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $249,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $249,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $249,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $249,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $249,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $249,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $249,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $249,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $249,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $249,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $249,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $249,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $249,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $249,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $249,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $249,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $249,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $249,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $249,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $249,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $249,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $249,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $249,900 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $249,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $249,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $249,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $249,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $249,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $249,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $249,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $249,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $249,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $249,900 Active 51 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,810 · $401/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,810 · $401/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$4,810
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,578
- − Management
- −$3,578
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable income
- $10,240
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,458
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,089/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This three-unit property requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including painting and landscaping, to improve its curb appeal and overall value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Painting — Siding appears weathered
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fredonia Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611520
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,491
- Composite
- 43.1/100
- National rank
- #3086
- State rank
- #376 of 590 in NY
Livability — Fredonia
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #1446
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fredonia, NY
- County
- Chautauqua · 123,454 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,722
- Household income
- $55,629
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,454 people
- By 2030
- 118,509 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 107,311 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 96,703 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 76,757 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 60,984 · -50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Italian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.55%
- Current HPI
- 253.5334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+220.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $249,900 UNYREIS
- 2024-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 2024-09-09 Sold (MLS) $225,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-07-11 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2024-06-17 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2024-06-07 Listed $229,000 UNYREIS
- 2019-07-02 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2019-01-02 Listed $199,000 UNYREIS
- 2012-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2012-09-11 Sold (MLS) $134,500 UNYREIS
- 2012-07-11 Listed $139,900 UNYREIS
- 1995-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,810 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…