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624 Sunshine
B- Composite 66.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$101,000

624 Sunshine · Durant, OK 74701
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,970 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 150 Days on market
Built 1965 2.00 ac lot ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great fixer-upper setting on 2 acres in rural NW Durant. It is sold as is and could be occupied with just a little clean up.

Key facts

  • 2 acres
  • Rural nw durant
  • 2 acre lot

Tags

2 ACRESRURAL NW DURANT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $101k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $101k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.1% in Durant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#262 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, schools D-.
  • Silo (rural): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #64 of 270 in OK (top 24%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 309 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Bryan County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $698 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bryan County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,880 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
11.00%
Cash-on-cash
16.80%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$354,600
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
624 Sunshine 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,970 (0%) 0mo $105,000 $53 96
119 Oak Ln 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,829 (-7%) 24mo $329,000 $180 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$5,004
Equity at exit
$15,059
10-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$21,976
Equity at exit
$8,733

Cash invested: $28,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74701

Home prices YoY
-11.3%
Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
309
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,303 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$530
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $746/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$396

Break-even live

Break-even rent $802
Max offer price $101,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,250
Closing costs
$3,030
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-01-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-05
    price $101,000
  3. 2025-10-16
    price $124,000
  4. 2025-08-12
    listed $149,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$746 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$909 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$163/yr (+$14/mo · 21.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,641
− Mortgage interest
−$5,658
− Property taxes
−$746
− Insurance
−$505
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,251
− Management
−$1,251
− Depreciation
−$2,938
Taxable income
$3,292
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$790
After-tax cash flow
$3,960/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Silo
NCES district ID
4027640
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,297
Composite
25.4/100
National rank
#7463
State rank
#64 of 270 in OK

Livability — Durant

Score
62/100
State rank
#262
US rank
#17020

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bryan County · 27,497 people
City population
27,497
Metro
Durant, OK
Population (ZIP)
27,497
Household income
$58,036
Rent vs Own
43.3% rent · 56.7% own
Severe rent burden
759.0

Population outlook (Bryan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,265 people
By 2030
52,866 · +5.2%
By 2040
58,018 · +15.4%
By 2050
63,073 · +25.5%
By 2075
74,439 · +48.1%
By 2100
81,743 · +62.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Native American 14% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bryan

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.5) · D 20.0% · R 78.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.5pp · 2024: -58.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.5 2020: R+56.5 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+35.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.66%
Current HPI
303.3877
Rent YoY
▼ -0.13%
Metro
Durant, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-09 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $101,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $124,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-08-12 Listed $149,500 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $746 · +20.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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