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123 N 31 Ave
D Composite 40.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.4/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

123 N 31 Ave · Omaha, NE 68131
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,671 sqft · Other public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1905 6,970 sqft lot $132/sqft · at area comps Est $215k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom 2-story home perfectly located near Joslyn Castle, Joslyn Art Museum, Gifford Park, and Midtown Crossing, with a quick drive to downtown—and even downtown views from the deck! This home is full of character, from the inviting front porch perfect for slow mornings to the beautiful main living area featuring unique arched doorways and plenty of charm. Upstairs, you’ll find all four bedrooms and a full bathroom, creating a private and comfortable retreat away from the main living spaces. The basement offers flexible space ready for your personal touches, along with a ¾ bathroom and laundry room. Outside, enjoy the deck off the m

Key facts

  • Flexible space
  • Inviting front porch
  • Corner lot

Tags

INVITING FRONT PORCHUNIQUE ARCHED DOORWAYSFLEXIBLE SPACECORNER LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Not new / not a model
  • Construction: Built in 1905; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Deck; Lot about 0.16 acre (approximately 50 x 143.5)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on 2nd floor; Additional bedrooms on 2nd floor
  • Bathrooms: Three total bathrooms: one full, one three-quarter, one half; Main level has a bathroom; below grade has a bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Daylight, partial walk-out basement; No fireplaces

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($264/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (9.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $199k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Gifford Park Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #445 of 502 statewide, top 91%, 363 students, 0% FRL); Lewis & Clark Middle School (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #115 of 128 statewide, top 90%, 860 students, 0% FRL); Central High School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #208 of 261 statewide, top 86%, 2,738 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,989/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1468% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $198,935 (9.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.41%
Cash-on-cash
0.43%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$214,687
List price
$220,000
Delta
2.47%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-32,543
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-19,432
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68131

Home prices YoY
-26.3%
Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,989 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$304 /mo · $3,650/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$418
Net cashflow
$22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,961
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3001 Harney St Omaha, NE 3.0 3.0 1764 $2,395 $1.36 44d 1 0.34mi
2929 California St Omaha, NE 1.0–4.0 1.0–3.0 1280 $3,340 $2.61 3d 118 0.34mi
132 N 35th Ave Omaha, NE 5.0 2.0 1959 $2,550 $1.30 44d 1 0.35mi
106 S 36th St Omaha, NE 3.0 3.0 1750 $2,275 $1.30 3d 1 0.42mi
542 S 29th St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.5 1442 $1,750 $1.21 14d 1 0.49mi
303 N 38th St Omaha, NE 4.0 1.5 1472 $1,995 $1.36 23d 1 0.51mi
2915 Jackson St Unit 2 Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 3d 1 0.52mi
110 N 38th St Unit 110 Omaha, NE 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,750 $1.09 23d 1 0.54mi
528 S 26th Ave Ste B Omaha, NE 4.0 1.0 1748 $1,650 $0.94 3d 1 0.57mi
554 S 26th Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1484 $1,400 $0.94 3d 1 0.61mi
806 Park Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 3.0 1650 $2,395 $1.45 23d 2 0.64mi
411 S 38th Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 3.0 1872 $1,995 $1.07 44d 1 0.65mi
424 S 24th St Unit 109 Omaha, NE 4.0 2.0 1170 $1,400 $1.20 3d 1 0.71mi
3919 Farnam St Unit 3915 Farnam Omaha, NE 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,350 $1.38 44d 1 0.75mi
120 N 40th St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1264 $1,745 $1.38 23d 1 0.77mi
1029 Park Ave Unit 3B Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1112 $1,295 $1.16 44d 1 0.79mi
2211 Howard St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0–3.0 837 $2,410 $2.88 3d 48 0.82mi
140 N 41st St Omaha, NE 3.0 2.5 1640 $2,495 $1.52 44d 1 0.82mi
206 S 19th St Omaha, NE 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 918 $1,935 $2.11 3d 60 0.92mi
3430 Seward St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1371 $1,695 $1.24 14d 1 0.93mi
1012 S 24th St Omaha, NE 1.0–3.0 1.0 918 $1,150 $1.25 3d 5 0.96mi
3314 Franklin St Omaha, NE 4.0 2.0 1635 $1,600 $0.98 44d 1 0.97mi
4015 Marcy St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1238 $1,695 $1.37 14d 1 1.04mi
629 S 19th Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,350 $0.99 44d 1 1.06mi
1120 N 20th St Unit 309 Omaha, NE 4.0 2.0 1179 $1,550 $1.31 23d 1 1.10mi
1120 N 20th St Unit 102 Omaha, NE 3.0 2.0 1094 $580 $0.53 14d 1 1.11mi
1120 N 20th St Unit 103 Omaha, NE 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,150 $0.98 14d 1 1.11mi
4228 Mayberry St Omaha, NE 4.0 1.0 1664 $1,700 $1.02 14d 1 1.16mi
4207 Barker Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,595 $1.33 44d 1 1.17mi
4623 Douglas St Omaha, NE 3.0 2.0 1510 $1,750 $1.16 21d 1 1.30mi
1015 N 14th St Omaha, NE 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 910 $1,855 $2.04 2d 17 1.43mi
4806 Webster St Omaha, NE 3.0 2.5 1589 $2,295 $1.44 3d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $220,000 Pending 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $220,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $235,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $235,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $235,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-05-15
    listed $235,000 New 807-char remark
  10. 2020-09-22
    soldstatus $218,000
  11. 1994-08-15
    soldstatus $28,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,650 · $304/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,806 · $317/mo
Expected delta
+$156/yr (+$13/mo · 4.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,872
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$3,650
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,910
− Management
−$1,910
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$3,421
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$821
After-tax cash flow
$1,085/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Omaha Public Schools
NCES district ID
3174820
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,039
Composite
20.83/100
National rank
#8502
State rank
#110 of 111 in NE

Livability — Omaha

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#663

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Omaha, NE
County
Douglas County · 538,646 people
City population
552,986
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
Population (ZIP)
14,809
Household income
$48,925
Rent vs Own
75.6% rent · 24.4% own
Severe rent burden
1468.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
625,245 people
By 2030
661,613 · +5.8%
By 2040
732,395 · +17.1%
By 2050
801,988 · +28.3%
By 2075
968,637 · +54.9%
By 2100
1,101,871 · +76.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.21%
Current HPI
305.4972
Rent YoY
▲ 3.82%
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+685.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $220,000 GPRMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $235,000 GPRMLS
  • 2020-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $218,000 Public Records
  • 1994-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,650 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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