7225 Donnell Pl Unit A3 · Forestville, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great for investor or owner occupant. This condo has 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom with a kitchen, dining room and balcony. This is a short sale Cash or Conventional Only.
Key facts
- $500 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership
- HOA & community: Condo fee of $500 monthly; Pets allowed with no restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking space in a parking lot
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas heating fuel
- Home design: Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Unit/flat; Entry on level 1
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Community pool; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Located outside city limits; Cross street: Marlow Heights Shopping Center / Brinkley Rd
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level)
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Brick walls and ceilings; Carpeted flooring
- Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer hookup in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.1% in Forestville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#215 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $70k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.29%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-6,872
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-3,044
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20747
- Home prices YoY
- -19.0%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,382 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,311/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$500
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $126 | -5% $106 | +0% $86 | +5% $67 | +10% $47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-23 | -5% $32 | +0% $86 | +5% $141 | +10% $196 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $122 | -0.5pp $104 | base $86 | +0.5pp $68 | +1.0pp $50 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7135 Donnell Pl Unit A1 District Heights, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 659 | $1,450 | $2.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 7135 Donnell Pl Unit A1 District Heights, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 659 | $1,300 | $1.97 | 4d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 7157 Donnell Pl Unit A1 District Heights, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3253 Walters Ln District Heights, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 941 | $1,350 | $1.43 | 0d | 16 | 0.61mi |
| 6501 Hil Mar Dr District Heights, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1014 | $1,400 | $1.38 | 44d | 27 | 0.71mi |
| 4400 Rena Rd Suitland, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 995 | $1,448 | $1.45 | 4d | 9 | 0.82mi |
| 6311 Pennsylvania Ave District Heights, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 791 | $1,335 | $1.69 | 0d | 9 | 1.03mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $500 · $6,000/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $70,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 204-char remark
-
2026-06-13$70,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,311 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,311 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,587
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,311
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,327
- − Management
- −$1,327
- − HOA
- −$6,000
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $314
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$75
- After-tax cash flow
- $962/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince George'S County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400510
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,967
- Composite
- 16.82/100
- National rank
- #9151
- State rank
- #21 of 24 in MD
Livability — Forestville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #215
- US rank
- #10596
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Forestville, MD
- County
- Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
- City population
- 37,924
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,301
- Household income
- $76,298
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2132.0
Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,005,426 people
- By 2030
- 1,048,416 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,123,425 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,183,220 · +17.7%
- By 2075
- 1,306,202 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 1,408,179 · +40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.90%
- Current HPI
- 289.095
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.00%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+101.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $68,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $38,100 Public Records
- 2013-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2013-11-25 Sold (MLS) $28,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-09-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-06-17 Listed $29,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
- 1983-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $34,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,311 · +23.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…