32 Flamingo Dr · Gates, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits! Welcome to 32 Flamingo Dr, a spacious Split Level nestled on a quiet neighborhood street in the Town of Gates. Set on a mature 0.33-acre treed lot with tidy landscaping, this home offers 1,821 sq ft of living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Enjoy the convenience of being just minutes from shopping, restaurants, parks, expressways, and a short drive to the airport. Bursting with potential, this well-loved home is a blank canvas ready for its next owner to make it their own. The inviting covered front porch provides the perfect spot to relax on summer evenings and watch the world go by. Step inside to a welcoming foyer that opens to a spacious, light-filled family
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Tidy landscaping
- Mature treed lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with electricity, storage and driveway access; Approximately 2.5 garage spaces
- Security: Owned security system
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available; Cable available
- Home design: Two-story home; Existing construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Has a partial, walk-up basement with exterior entry and a sump pump
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Covered porch; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range; Built-in oven; Electric oven; Electric range; Exhaust fan; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Resilient flooring; Tile; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Dining area; Den; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Pantry; Sliding glass door(s); Natural woodwork; Programmable thermostat; Sliding doors; Has fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-600/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (4.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $191k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#582 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Gates-Chili Central School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #491 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.07%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $293,181
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Capri Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,774 (-3%) | 2mo | $303,000 | $171 | 70 |
| 21 Bambi Ln | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,805 (-1%) | 16mo | $175,000 | $97 | 63 |
| 2 Sands Rd | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,730 (-5%) | 13mo | $310,000 | $179 | 62 |
| 17 Courtright Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,864 (+2%) | 11mo | $259,300 | $139 | 60 |
| 34 Capri Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,774 (-3%) | 15mo | $285,000 | $161 | 53 |
| 15 Currier Ln | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,625 (-11%) | 8mo | $303,000 | $186 | 48 |
| 3322 Buffalo Rd | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,939 (+6%) | 24mo | $275,000 | $142 | 35 |
| 52 Hinkley Ln | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,630 (-10%) | 21mo | $200,000 | $123 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-35,289
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-33,666
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14624
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,206 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$661 /mo · $7,932/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$463
- Net cashflow
- $-50
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Silverlight Way Unit 50 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1526 | $2,550 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 50 Ivy Bridge Way Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1526 | $2,550 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 29 Ivy Bridge Way Westgate, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1526 | $2,500 | $1.64 | 10d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 37 Red Plank Way Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1526 | $2,500 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 350 Westview Commons Blvd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1087 | $1,860 | $1.71 | 2d | 13 | 1.03mi |
| 2859 Manitou Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 937 | $1,642 | $1.75 | 2d | 12 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18$199,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,932 · $661/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,932 · $661/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,470
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$7,932
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,118
- − Management
- −$2,118
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$3,709
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$890
- After-tax cash flow
- $291/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gates-Chili Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611880
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,045
- Composite
- 36.23/100
- National rank
- #4719
- State rank
- #491 of 590 in NY
Livability — Gates
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #582
- US rank
- #10531
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,626
- Household income
- $87,989
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 584.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, India
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.26%
- Current HPI
- 267.356
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $199,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $7,932 · +39.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…