🏷️ Likely Rental
210 Mcgregor Ave · Harlingen, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.47%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent investment opportunity with long-term tenant in place, providing immediate income potential. Ideally located just minutes from Valley International Airport, Valley Baptist Medical Center, TSTC College, the expressway, and downtown Harlingen. Convenient access to major shopping centers, restaurants, and key employment hubs. Strong rental demand area makes this a great opportunity for both new and seasoned investors looking to start or expand their portfolio. Prime location with long-term upside and consistent cash flow potential.
Key facts
- Strong rental demand
- Prime location
- 5,594 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($453/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
- Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 465 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.41%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,473
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -24.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-15,757
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-8,664
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78550
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 465
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,031 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,508/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $38
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1917 New Combes Hwy Unit H Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $975 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 917 N 1st St Unit 917 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $770 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 902 N D St Unit A Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 717 E Jim Hogg Ave Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1039 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2101 N G St Unit B Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $950 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 409 E Madison Ave Unit 4 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $750 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 709 E Jackson St Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 106 S A St Harlingen, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 877 | $850 | $0.97 | 13d | 3 | 1.15mi |
| 20558 Alta Vista Ct Unit C Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,125 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 20550 Alta Vista Ct Unit C Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,125 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 204 S 7th St Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $725 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1723 Warren St Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $865 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Harlingen, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 94 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $825 | $0.78 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 56 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $995 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 54 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $900 | $0.88 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 45 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 858 | $875 | $1.02 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 96 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $825 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 44 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 14 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $875 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-02-12$115,000 Active 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity with long-term tenant in place, providing immediate income potential. Ideally located just minutes from Valley International Airport, Valley Baptist Medical Center, TSTC College, the expressway, and downtown Harlingen. Convenient access to major shopping centers, restaurants, and key employment hubs. Strong rental demand area makes this a great opportunity for both new and seasoned investors looking to start or expand their portfolio. Prime location with long-term upside and consistent cash flow potential.
-
2006-03-09soldstatus
-
2006-03-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,508 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,104 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$597/yr (+$50/mo · 39.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,370
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,508
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$990
- − Management
- −$990
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$1,479
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$355
- After-tax cash flow
- $808/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlingen CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822530
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,182
- Composite
- 24.94/100
- National rank
- #7566
- State rank
- #647 of 826 in TX
Livability — Harlingen
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #5347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harlingen, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 95,667
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,335
- Household income
- $49,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 76%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.60%
- Current HPI
- 167.7038
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.45%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Listed $115,000 RGVMLS
- 2006-03-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-03-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,508 · +20.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…