🌊 Lakefront
18555 NE 14th Ave Unit 702A · Ojus, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.48%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BEAUTIFUL CONDO IN A RELAXING LOCATION !! 2 Bedroom 1 Bathroom; surrounded by a lake, 2 pools and lovely club house & Gym, activity center. The condo has wooden laminated floor, Very cozy and well maintained , Enclosed balcony that can be used like an office. Excellent location. Very Close to Aventura Mall, Restaurants, Hospitals and minutes to the Beaches, Close to Mayor Highways. Adult Community 55+.
Key facts
- Enclosed balcony
- Surrounded by a lake
- 2 pools
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets not allowed; pet restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $362; Association covers hot water; Community includes pool and trails; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: One covered garage space
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Hot water included in association fee
- Home design: 3-story building; Attached property
- Construction: Year built unknown
- Exterior features: Association pool; Trails
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Interior features: Third-floor entry; Smoke detector(s); Has a view
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 8.7% in Ojus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ojus Elementary School (math 56% / reading 59%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 776 students, 63% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Dr. Michael M. Krop Senior High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,235 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 573 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,337/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3123% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $190k implies a 168% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.48%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $29,434
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $80,164
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33179
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 573
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,337 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,366/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$362
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$701
- Net cashflow
- $1,085
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,193 | -5% $1,139 | +0% $1,085 | +5% $1,031 | +10% $978 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $821 | -5% $953 | +0% $1,085 | +5% $1,217 | +10% $1,349 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,181 | -0.5pp $1,133 | base $1,085 | +0.5pp $1,036 | +1.0pp $986 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $362 · $4,344/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $190,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $190,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-04-23$190,000 Active
-
2024-10-31historical
-
2024-07-05$199,999 Active
-
2024-06-30historical
-
2024-01-26$200,000 Active
-
2023-10-31historical
-
2023-09-14price $200,000
-
2023-05-24$205,000 Active
-
2023-05-23historical
-
2023-04-06price $205,000
-
2023-03-06$215,000 Active
-
2021-12-28historical
-
2021-10-01$140,000 Active
-
2020-12-11historical
-
2020-09-16$135,000 Active
-
2014-04-03soldstatus $71,000 Sold
-
2014-03-28soldstatus $71,000
-
2014-02-25status Pending
-
2014-02-03$65,000 Active
-
2014-01-01historical
-
2013-12-04$74,900 Active
-
2013-12-02historical
-
2013-09-20price $74,900
-
2006-03-01soldstatus $153,000
-
1990-10-09soldstatus $33,000
-
1989-07-07soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,366 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,577 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$211/yr (+$18/mo · 15.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,047
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$1,366
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,204
- − Management
- −$3,204
- − HOA
- −$4,344
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $10,809
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,594
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ojus
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #1031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ojus, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 51,591
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,591
- Household income
- $65,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3123.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -608.34%
- Current HPI
- 328.1733
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+533.3% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $190,000 MARMLS
- 2024-10-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-07-05 Listed $199,999 MARMLS
- 2024-06-30 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-01-26 Listed $200,000 MARMLS
- 2023-10-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2023-09-14 Price Changed $200,000 MARMLS
- 2023-05-24 Listed $205,000 MARMLS
- 2023-05-23 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2023-04-06 Price Changed $205,000 MARMLS
- 2023-03-06 Listed $215,000 MARMLS
- 2021-12-28 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-10-01 Listed $140,000 MARMLS
- 2020-12-11 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2020-09-16 Listed $135,000 MARMLS
- 2014-04-03 Sold (MLS) $71,000 MARMLS
- 2014-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 2014-02-25 Pending — MARMLS
- 2014-02-03 Listed $65,000 MARMLS
- 2014-01-01 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2013-12-04 Listed $74,900 MARMLS
- 2013-12-02 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2013-09-20 Price Changed $74,900 MARMLS
- 2006-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records
- 1990-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 1989-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,366 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…