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5900 Ramick Rd
D+ Composite 49.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

5900 Ramick Rd · Sulphur Springs, AR 71603
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,705 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 145 Days on market
Built 1994 7.31 ac lot $82/sqft · 11% below area Est $193k · 28% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Country ranch-style home situated on over 7 acres at the end of Ramick Road, offering privacy, space, and a true rural feel while still being conveniently close to town. The home is surrounded by mature trees, creating a peaceful, secluded setting. While the property will require remodeling, it offers excellent potential to be transformed into a dream home for someone seeking quiet country living. A small shop on the property provides additional storage or workspace. Ideal for buyers looking for acreage, privacy, and value-add opportunity. AGENTS SEE REMARKS

Key facts

  • Over 7 acres
  • End of ramick road
  • Small shop

Tags

COUNTRY RANCH STYLE HOMEOVER 7 ACRESEND OF RAMICK ROADMATURE TREESPEACEFUL SECLUDED SETTINGSMALL SHOP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (14.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.4% in Sulphur Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#192 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Watson Chapel School District (urban): math 10% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #228 of 238 in AR (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,246 (14.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.62%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$192,734
List price
$139,000
Delta
-27.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6600 Cedarwood 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,688 (-1%) 0mo $176,900 $105 65
5815 Farm Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,756 (+3%) 13mo $215,000 $122 52
6740 Rayhan Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,525 (-11%) 3mo $119,000 $78 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-17,170
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-8,198
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71603

Home prices YoY
-26.0%
Active inventory
212
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,182 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $749/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,075
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,000 Active 145 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 144 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 142 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 141 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,000 Active 139 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,000 Active 138 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 135 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    remarks 628-char remark
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 134 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 133 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,000 Active 130 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 129 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 128 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 127 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 126 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,000 Active 125 DOM
  18. 2026-04-25
    price $150,000 564-char remark
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Country ranch-style home situated on over 7 acres at the end of Ramick Road, offering privacy, space, and a true rural feel while still being conveniently close to town. The home is surrounded by mature trees, creating a peaceful, secluded setting. While the property will require remodeling, it offers excellent potential to be transformed into a dream home for someone seeking quiet country living. A small shop on the property provides additional storage or workspace. Ideal for buyers looking for acreage, privacy, and value-add opportunity. AGENTS SEE REMARKS

  19. 2026-01-25
    listed $160,000 New Listing 564-char remark
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Country ranch-style home situated on over 7 acres at the end of Ramick Road, offering privacy, space, and a true rural feel while still being conveniently close to town. The home is surrounded by mature trees, creating a peaceful, secluded setting. While the property will require remodeling, it offers excellent potential to be transformed into a dream home for someone seeking quiet country living. A small shop on the property provides additional storage or workspace. Ideal for buyers looking for acreage, privacy, and value-add opportunity. AGENTS SEE REMARKS

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$749 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$890 · $74/mo
Expected delta
+$140/yr (+$12/mo · 18.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,190
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$749
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,135
− Management
−$1,135
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable loss
−$1,355
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$325
After-tax cash flow
$1,343/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Watson Chapel School District
NCES district ID
0513930
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$40,521
Composite
9.55/100
National rank
#9845
State rank
#228 of 238 in AR

Livability — Sulphur Springs

Score
63/100
State rank
#192
US rank
#15295

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jefferson County · 29,578 people
Metro
Pine Bluff, AR
Population (ZIP)
29,578
Household income
$53,130
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
657.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,110 people
By 2030
58,519 · -7.3%
By 2040
49,740 · -21.2%
By 2050
42,331 · -32.9%
By 2075
29,591 · -53.1%
By 2100
21,047 · -66.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 33% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.43%
Current HPI
206.5994
Rent YoY
Metro
Pine Bluff, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $150,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-25 Listed $160,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $749 · -5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…