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306 4th Duplex
C+ Composite 61.61
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$285,000

306 4th · Troy, NY 12180
7 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,289 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1910 3,049 sqft lot Est $233k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled in a nice and quiet South Troy neighborhood, this property features it all. With a bi level second floor with 2 full baths and 4bedrooms, this unit would be the ideal owner occupancy unit. Enjoy addition income from 1st floor, as well as a large yard, good cash flow and separate utilities

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • Steps to riverfront
  • Off-street parking

Tags

DUPLEXDOWNTOWN NEIGHBORHOODSTEPS TO RIVERFRONTPRIVATE BACKYARDOFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: 2 total units; Tenants pay hot water, heat, internet, cable TV, electricity, and gas; Owner pays trash collection, sewer, and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Duplex; Living area approximately 2,289; Lot dimensions per deed
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Flat roof; Chain link fencing; Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms; Unit 2: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (one on each of 1st, 2nd, and 3rd levels); Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 2 full baths
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Hot water heating
  • Interior features: Interior entry basement; Unfinished basement; Wood and carpet flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $564 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $282/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $285k).
  • Recommended offer: $281k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 5.3% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
  • Troy City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #467 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,703/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 2698% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $190k; list at $285k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $280,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.61%
Cash-on-cash
15.41%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$233,478
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
301 2nd St 0.22mi 7/2.0 2,500 (+9%) 3mo $239,900 $96 68
62 Ida St 0.12mi 8/2.0 (+1) 2,484 (+8%) 7mo $125,000 $50 65
412 2nd St 0.47mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,256 (-1%) 2mo $240,000 $106 65
1266 5th Ave 0.18mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,540 (+11%) 1mo $240,000 $94 64
448 4th St 0.40mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,340 (+2%) 13mo $200,000 $85 58
198 Hill St 0.27mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,000 (-13%) 12mo $165,000 $83 47
76 13th St 0.64mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,332 (+2%) 15mo $355,000 $152 46
508 2nd St 0.72mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,244 (-2%) 11mo $230,000 $102 45
462 1st St 0.68mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,376 (+4%) 9mo $319,500 $134 45
358 1st St 0.42mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,024 (-12%) 10mo $160,000 $79 44
82 14th St 0.67mi 8/2.0 (+1) 2,112 (-8%) 5mo $412,000 $195 42
45 14th St 0.60mi 6/2.0 (-1) 1,968 (-14%) 11mo $272,000 $138 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-2,826
Equity at exit
$42,494
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$75,431
Equity at exit
$24,642

Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12180

Home prices YoY
-33.3%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
12.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,703 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,495
Tax from tax record
$288 /mo · $3,451/yr
Insurance
$119
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$778
Net cashflow
$564

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,989
Max offer price $285,000
Occupancy floor 80%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,703

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,250
Closing costs
$8,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2326 15th St Unit 2 Troy, NY 8.0 2.5 2500 $650 $0.26 14d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $285,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $285,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $285,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $285,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $285,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $324,900 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $324,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $324,900 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $324,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $324,900 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $324,900 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $324,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $324,900 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $324,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $324,900 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-27
    listed $324,900 Active
  17. 2024-08-28
    soldstatus $190,000
  18. 2024-08-22
    soldstatus $190,000 Closed 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Nestled in a nice and quiet South Troy neighborhood, this property features it all. With a bi level second floor with 2 full baths and 4bedrooms, this unit would be the ideal owner occupancy unit. Enjoy addition income from 1st floor, as well as a large yard, good cash flow and separate utilities

  19. 2024-07-10
    status Pending 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Nestled in a nice and quiet South Troy neighborhood, this property features it all. With a bi level second floor with 2 full baths and 4bedrooms, this unit would be the ideal owner occupancy unit. Enjoy addition income from 1st floor, as well as a large yard, good cash flow and separate utilities

  20. 2024-06-26
    listed $189,900 Active 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Nestled in a nice and quiet South Troy neighborhood, this property features it all. With a bi level second floor with 2 full baths and 4bedrooms, this unit would be the ideal owner occupancy unit. Enjoy addition income from 1st floor, as well as a large yard, good cash flow and separate utilities

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,451 · $288/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,134 · $344/mo
Expected delta
+$683/yr (+$57/mo · 19.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,436
− Mortgage interest
−$15,964
− Property taxes
−$3,451
− Insurance
−$6,950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,555
− Management
−$3,555
− Depreciation
−$8,291
Taxable income
$2,670
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$641
After-tax cash flow
$6,128/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Troy City School District
NCES district ID
3628950
Math proficiency
44% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$42,143
Composite
37.89/100
National rank
#4318
State rank
#467 of 590 in NY

Livability — Troy

Score
81/100
State rank
#88
US rank
#1350

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Troy, NY
County
Rensselaer County · 75,590 people
City population
53,479
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
53,479
Household income
$75,851
Rent vs Own
52.1% rent · 47.9% own
Severe rent burden
2698.0

Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
162,400 people
By 2030
161,746 · -0.4%
By 2040
158,095 · -2.7%
By 2050
152,966 · -5.8%
By 2075
140,767 · -13.3%
By 2100
124,727 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.53%
Current HPI
285.0762
Rent YoY
▲ 4.88%
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $324,900 Global MLS
  • 2024-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2024-08-22 Sold (MLS) $190,000 Global MLS
  • 2024-07-10 Pending Global MLS
  • 2024-06-26 Listed $189,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+20.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,451 · +64.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…