3210 Lake Shore Dr Unit 27 Interval 2 · Lake George, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$19,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is an attractive interval 2 (4th of July week) in stand alone log style chalet- Lodge 27. Interval 2 (For 2026 is (6-28 to 7-5) . Great unit near lake in this beautiful fractional ownership. Lakeside resort community. Owners have 3 deeded weeks (summer is fixed week) w/ Spring & Fall weeks rotational. 2 bedroom & 2 full baths. Washer & Dryer. Yearly HOA fee includes, maintenance, cable, electric, heat and air conditioning etc. RCI Gold Crown optional to trade. Beach, pool, game room, gym, grills, gas stove in LR. Boathouse Restaurant on premises. 300 feet of beach front. HOA dues $4,612.61/yearly. Includes, taxes, reserves, insurance. Dock space is available through l
Key facts
- Boathouse restaurant
- Beach front
- Gym
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot features: Mountain views, road frontage, sloped, wooded, partly cleared, irregular lot, landscaped; Lot size approximately 7.69 acres
- HOA & community: Association with annual fee; Annual association fee: $4,612.61; Association amenities include beach access, clubhouse, lake access, recreation facilities, and community taxes; Association fee covers cable TV, cooling, electricity, gas, heating, insurance, ground and structure maintenance, security, sewer, snow removal, trash, and water
Exterior
- Parking: 1 off-street paved parking space
- Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Shared septic
- Home design: Condominium; Updated/remodeled; Log construction; Permanent foundation; In-ground outdoor pool; Shared, deeded access to Lake George (waterfront)
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Paved driveway/drive-paved
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first level; Primary bedroom on the second level
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on the first level, one on the second level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Cathedral ceilings; Ceramic tile bath; Gas fireplace; Total of 4 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $20k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 101.1% vs local median 2.8% in Lake George — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#788 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Watch: employment C-, cost of living D+, crime D.
- Lake George Central School District (rural): math 68% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #131 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Lake George Elementary School (math 62% / reading 82%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 300 students, 24% FRL); Lake George Junior-Senior High School (math 72% / reading 62%, grade B, #746 of 1,100 statewide, top 69%, 330 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 22% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($138 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 13.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 101.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 338.52%
- DSCR
- 16.06
- GRM
- 0.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.96×
- Total profit
- $111,227
- Equity at exit
- $17,927
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 45.75×
- Total profit
- $249,366
- Equity at exit
- $38,661
Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12845
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 0.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$104
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $298/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$384
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$556
- Net cashflow
- $1,572
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,586 | -5% $1,579 | +0% $1,572 | +5% $1,565 | +10% $1,558 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,363 | -5% $1,467 | +0% $1,572 | +5% $1,677 | +10% $1,781 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,582 | -0.5pp $1,577 | base $1,572 | +0.5pp $1,567 | +1.0pp $1,561 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,975
- Closing costs
- $597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $384 · $4,608/yr
- Likely covers
- gaselectriccablepoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $19,900 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $19,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $19,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $19,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $19,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Active
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-04-07$19,900 Active
-
2025-11-09historical
-
2025-04-06$32,500 Active
-
2024-11-10historical
-
2024-07-06$32,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,798
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,115
- − Property taxes
- −$298
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,544
- − Management
- −$2,544
- − HOA
- −$4,608
- − Depreciation
- −$579
- Taxable income
- $20,011
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,803
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,060/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake George Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616470
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,873
- Composite
- 61.29/100
- National rank
- #777
- State rank
- #131 of 590 in NY
Livability — Lake George
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #788
- US rank
- #15111
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,389
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,372 people
- By 2030
- 60,491 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 55,616 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 50,437 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 40,843 · -34.5%
- By 2100
- 31,159 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Italian 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.18%
- Current HPI
- 364.9782
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-38.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2026-04-16 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $19,900 Global MLS
- 2025-11-09 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2025-04-06 Listed $32,500 Global MLS
- 2024-11-10 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2024-07-06 Listed $32,500 Global MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…