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403 N Ora St
B Composite 73.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

403 N Ora St · Pryor Creek, OK 74361
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1955 5,263 sqft lot Est $141k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investement property, sold `as-is` condition. Seller related to associate.

Key facts

  • Close to hospital
  • Fireplace unit
  • New flooring

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW FLOORINGFIREPLACE UNITALL APPLIANCESSTACKABLE WASHER DRYERCLOSE TO HOSPITAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.8% in Pryor Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#51 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Pryor (town): math 24% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 270 in OK (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 23 units permitted in Mayes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mayes County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $100k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
11.13%
Cash-on-cash
17.29%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$141,120
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
403 N Ora St 0.00mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (0%) 1mo $88,750 $75 94
320 N Hogan St 0.29mi 2/1.0 1,209 (+3%) 4mo $137,000 $113 79
309 N Fairland St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,116 (-5%) 2mo $179,900 $161 77
415 N Orphan St 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (-8%) 5mo $87,500 $81 72
320 Heron Cir 0.36mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,170 (-0%) 6mo $195,000 $167 70
424 N Oklahoma 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (+10%) 1mo $150,000 $115 65
420 N Oklahoma 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,061 (-10%) 4mo $169,900 $160 64
1400 Damon Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,252 (+6%) 2mo $150,000 $120 62
232 Eastmanor Cir 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,070 (-9%) 6mo $182,000 $170 59
223 E Manor Cir 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,085 (-8%) 9mo $175,000 $161 56
212 N Orphan St 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+14%) 10mo $91,000 $68 53
7 S Orphan St 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,068 (-9%) 3mo $43,000 $40 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$9,462
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$41,213
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74361

Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,303 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $728/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$403

Break-even live

Break-even rent $793
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $460 -5% $431 +0% $403 +5% $375 +10% $346
Rent -10% $300 -5% $352 +0% $403 +5% $455 +10% $506
Rate -1.0pp $453 -0.5pp $428 base $403 +0.5pp $377 +1.0pp $351

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
202 N Ora St Pryor, OK 3.0 2.0 1291 $1,600 $1.24 20d 1 0.26mi
111 N Elliott St Unit A Pryor, OK 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 15d 1 0.39mi
1220 SE 9th St Pryor, OK 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 909 $1,049 $1.15 3d 5 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-22
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-20
    status Pending
  4. 2026-03-19
    status Active
  5. 2026-03-19
    status Pending
  6. 2026-03-16
    listed $99,900 Active
  7. 2026-02-04
    soldstatus $45,000
  8. 2008-09-27
    soldstatus $20,000 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    Investement property, sold `as-is` condition. Seller related to associate.

  9. 2008-09-16
    historical 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    Investement property, sold `as-is` condition. Seller related to associate.

  10. 2008-07-04
    listed $29,900 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    Investement property, sold `as-is` condition. Seller related to associate.

  11. 2008-06-15
    historical
  12. 2008-01-14
    listed $35,000
  13. 2007-03-05
    historical
  14. 2007-02-23
    listed $29,900
  15. 1999-04-21
    soldstatus $17,000
  16. 1994-03-02
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$728 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$899 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$171/yr (+$14/mo · 23.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,634
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$728
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,251
− Management
−$1,251
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$3,403
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$817
After-tax cash flow
$4,020/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pryor
NCES district ID
4025200
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,306
Composite
19.46/100
National rank
#8774
State rank
#143 of 270 in OK

Livability — Pryor Creek

Score
69/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#8653

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pryor Creek, OK
County
Mayes County · 17,612 people
City population
17,582
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
17,612
Household income
$58,681
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
326.0

Population outlook (Mayes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,941 people
By 2030
39,172 · -1.9%
By 2040
37,540 · -6.0%
By 2050
35,854 · -10.2%
By 2075
32,361 · -19.0%
By 2100
28,054 · -29.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Native American 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mayes

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.5) · D 20.3% · R 77.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.4pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -57.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.5 2020: R+55.1 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+28.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.81%
Current HPI
247.7737
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+899.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-22 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-20 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-19 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-19 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $99,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2008-09-27 Sold (MLS) $20,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2008-09-16 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2008-07-04 Listed $29,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2008-06-15 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2008-01-14 Listed $35,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2007-03-05 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2007-02-23 Listed $29,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 1999-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
  • 1994-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $728 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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