2940 Devonshire Dr · Florissant, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sprawling ranch offering space, functionality, and great entertaining flow! Welcoming covered front porch leads into an entry foyer with access to a spacious formal living room and dining room. The main floor family room features a cozy fireplace, sliding glass doors to the patio, and opens seamlessly to the kitchen—perfect for everyday living and gatherings. Primary bedroom includes a private full bath with shower, while two additional bedrooms and a full hall bath complete the main level. The finished lower level adds over 570 sq ft of additional living space, including a large versatile room ideal for sleeping area or office, full bath with shower, rec room, and a generous laundry/
Key facts
- 9,278 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1965
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Wedgwood HOA with an annual fee of $100 covering common area maintenance; Association reports no additional amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Attached rear-facing 2-car garage with automatic door opener (approx. 20x19)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity, natural gas, sewer and water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Private ownership; One level
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Basement present
- Exterior features: Covered front porch and patio; Porch; Sliding door(s); Landscaped lot; Near public transit; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (2 on main level, 1 in lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Living room; Dining room; Family room; Recreation room; Bonus room; Office; Partially finished basement with storage, sleeping area and sump pump; Fireplace in family room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($921/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (10.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mccluer North High (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #487 of 521 statewide, top 93%, 1,136 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $125k; list at $200k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.65%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $204,319
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -2.16%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2940 Dover Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+6%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $150 | 82 |
| 4 Cameo Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 1,405 (+7%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $107 | 76 |
| 2560 Woodsage Dr | 0.32mi | 3/3.0 | 1,390 (+6%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $158 | 75 |
| 2960 Devonshire Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,118 (-15%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $107 | 69 |
| 2945 Dover Dr | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,470 (+12%) | 2mo | $185,400 | $126 | 68 |
| 2490 Yorkshire Dr | 0.43mi | 3/3.0 | 1,407 (+7%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $185 | 63 |
| 548 Rancho Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (-4%) | 4mo | $225,900 | $179 | 58 |
| 549 Rancho Ln | 0.63mi | 3/3.0 | 1,432 (+9%) | 0mo | $279,000 | $195 | 56 |
| 2405 Orleans Ln | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,424 (+8%) | 2mo | $239,900 | $168 | 54 |
| 490 Lula Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,365 (+4%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $172 | 54 |
| 2570 Guildford Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,274 (-3%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $141 | 52 |
| 1730 Kay Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,467 (+12%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $102 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $122,246
- Equity at exit
- $180,086
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.73×
- Total profit
- $376,775
- Equity at exit
- $388,362
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63033
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,789 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$197 /mo · $2,363/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$8
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $77
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1983 Greenheath Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,331 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 13 Cricket Ct Florissant, MO | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1560 | $2,550 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 330 Moule Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,575 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3144 Sunswept Pk Ct Florissant, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,250 | $1.53 | 1d | 12 | 0.65mi |
| 1785 Trotter Way Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,806 | $1.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1710 Kay Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1740 Deborah Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $1,750 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2990 Santiago Dr Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 775 Sherwood Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,690 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1600 Horseshoe Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,550 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2942 Chance Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,700 | $1.86 | 12d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3 Cantabrian Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,881 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 9 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3 Champlain Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2857 Dawnview Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,325 | $1.49 | 7d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 470 Hundley Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,595 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2075 Cordoba Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1095 Humes Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 945 Paddock Dr Florissant, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1875 | $1,850 | $0.99 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 15686 93rd Ave Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,948 | $1.42 | 12d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4 Sharon Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3930 Belcroft Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1408 | $1,935 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $8 · $96/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 949-char remark
-
2026-05-07$199,900 Active 949-char remark
-
2026-05-02historical $199,900 949-char remark
-
2003-07-03soldstatus $125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,363 · $197/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,363 · $197/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,467
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,363
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,717
- − Management
- −$1,717
- − HOA
- −$96
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$2,439
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$585
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,507/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2912010
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,610
- Composite
- 11.96/100
- National rank
- #9666
- State rank
- #311 of 324 in MO
Livability — Florissant
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #5406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 69,104
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,056
- Household income
- $66,776
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1429.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 23% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.78%
- Current HPI
- 570.6
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+59.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Listed $199,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-02 Coming Soon $199,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2022): $2,363 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…