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2940 Devonshire Dr
C- Composite 54.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$199,900

2940 Devonshire Dr · Florissant, MO 63033
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,316 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1965 9,278 sqft lot $152/sqft · at area comps Est $204k · at est. $8/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Sprawling ranch offering space, functionality, and great entertaining flow! Welcoming covered front porch leads into an entry foyer with access to a spacious formal living room and dining room. The main floor family room features a cozy fireplace, sliding glass doors to the patio, and opens seamlessly to the kitchen—perfect for everyday living and gatherings. Primary bedroom includes a private full bath with shower, while two additional bedrooms and a full hall bath complete the main level. The finished lower level adds over 570 sq ft of additional living space, including a large versatile room ideal for sleeping area or office, full bath with shower, rec room, and a generous laundry/

Key facts

  • 9,278 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Wedgwood HOA with an annual fee of $100 covering common area maintenance; Association reports no additional amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached rear-facing 2-car garage with automatic door opener (approx. 20x19)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity, natural gas, sewer and water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Private ownership; One level
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Basement present
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch and patio; Porch; Sliding door(s); Landscaped lot; Near public transit; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (2 on main level, 1 in lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Living room; Dining room; Family room; Recreation room; Bonus room; Office; Partially finished basement with storage, sleeping area and sump pump; Fireplace in family room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($921/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (10.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mccluer North High (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #487 of 521 statewide, top 93%, 1,136 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $125k; list at $200k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $178,891 (10.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.65%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$204,319
List price
$199,900
Delta
-2.16%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2940 Dover Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+6%) 1mo $210,000 $150 82
4 Cameo Ct 0.23mi 3/2.5 1,405 (+7%) 0mo $150,000 $107 76
2560 Woodsage Dr 0.32mi 3/3.0 1,390 (+6%) 1mo $220,000 $158 75
2960 Devonshire Dr 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,118 (-15%) 0mo $120,000 $107 69
2945 Dover Dr 0.04mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,470 (+12%) 2mo $185,400 $126 68
2490 Yorkshire Dr 0.43mi 3/3.0 1,407 (+7%) 7mo $260,000 $185 63
548 Rancho Ln 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,264 (-4%) 4mo $225,900 $179 58
549 Rancho Ln 0.63mi 3/3.0 1,432 (+9%) 0mo $279,000 $195 56
2405 Orleans Ln 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,424 (+8%) 2mo $239,900 $168 54
490 Lula Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,365 (+4%) 7mo $235,000 $172 54
2570 Guildford Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,274 (-3%) 5mo $180,000 $141 52
1730 Kay Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,467 (+12%) 3mo $150,000 $102 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.0%
Equity multiple
3.18×
Total profit
$122,246
Equity at exit
$180,086
10-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
7.73×
Total profit
$376,775
Equity at exit
$388,362

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63033

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
218
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,789 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$197 /mo · $2,363/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$8
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$77

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,692
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1983 Greenheath Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,331 $1.28 3d 1 0.31mi
13 Cricket Ct Florissant, MO 4.0 3.0 1560 $2,550 $1.63 43d 1 0.37mi
330 Moule Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,575 $1.55 43d 1 0.54mi
3144 Sunswept Pk Ct Florissant, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 818 $1,250 $1.53 1d 12 0.65mi
1785 Trotter Way Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1297 $1,806 $1.39 7d 1 0.71mi
1710 Kay Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 2d 1 0.75mi
1740 Deborah Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.5 1650 $1,750 $1.06 17d 1 0.81mi
2990 Santiago Dr Florissant, MO 2.0 2.0 984 $1,200 $1.22 43d 1 0.85mi
775 Sherwood Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,690 $1.65 43d 1 0.88mi
1600 Horseshoe Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1314 $1,550 $1.18 43d 1 0.95mi
2942 Chance Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,700 $1.86 12d 1 0.99mi
3 Cantabrian Ct Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1436 $1,881 $1.31 14d 1 1.02mi
9 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 992 $1,450 $1.46 43d 1 1.08mi
3 Champlain Ct Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 43d 1 1.09mi
2857 Dawnview Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 890 $1,325 $1.49 7d 1 1.17mi
470 Hundley Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 962 $1,595 $1.66 43d 1 1.19mi
2075 Cordoba Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1523 $1,850 $1.21 14d 1 1.23mi
1095 Humes Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,650 $1.50 4d 1 1.35mi
945 Paddock Dr Florissant, MO 4.0 2.0 1875 $1,850 $0.99 4d 1 1.37mi
15686 93rd Ave Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1370 $1,948 $1.42 12d 1 1.40mi
4 Sharon Ct Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1108 $1,800 $1.62 2d 1 1.43mi
3930 Belcroft Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 3.0 1408 $1,935 $1.37 43d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$8 · $96/yr

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 949-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $199,900 Active 949-char remark
  3. 2026-05-02
    historical $199,900 949-char remark
  4. 2003-07-03
    soldstatus $125,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,363 · $197/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,363 · $197/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,467
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,363
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,717
− Management
−$1,717
− HOA
−$96
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$2,439
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$585
After-tax cash flow
$1,507/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Florissant

Score
73/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#5406

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
69,104
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
43,056
Household income
$66,776
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
1429.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 23% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.78%
Current HPI
570.6
Rent YoY
▲ 7.51%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $199,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-02 Coming Soon $199,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $2,363 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…