🏷️ Likely Rental
41 Yorke St · Salem, NJ
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Opportunity in the heart of Salem! This tenant-occupied property offers immediate cash flow with a Section 8 tenant in place and a recently renewed lease, making it an excellent opportunity for both seasoned and first-time investors alike. Built in 1900, the home features spacious living areas, generously sized bedrooms, and plenty of original character throughout. Recent improvements include a newer roof (2021) and water heater (2022), helping minimize major upfront expenses for the next owner. The property also offers public water and sewer, a basement for additional storage potential, and a private backyard space. Conveniently located near local shopping, dining, schools, and ma
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 30 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Finished above-grade area reported as 1,684 (assessor); Living area source: Assessor; Year built source: Assessor; Improvement and land assessed values available
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking type
- Utilities: Public water; No septic system; Natural gas heating and hot water
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Frame construction; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 37 x 284; Above-grade and below-grade structures present
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on first upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $618 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 8.4% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $280 of equity ($622 loan paydown + $-342 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
- Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $90k implies a 578% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.65%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,764
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 N Union St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,686 (+0%) | 2mo | $207,500 | $123 | 80 |
| 14 Hillcrest Ave | 0.19mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,649 (-2%) | 6mo | $196,000 | $119 | 74 |
| 264 E Broadway | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,584 (-6%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $95 | 59 |
| 321 Fenwick Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,622 (-4%) | 10mo | $196,100 | $121 | 59 |
| 6 Walnut St | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,764 (+5%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $40 | 58 |
| 272 E Broadway | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-11%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $43 | 57 |
| 334 Craven Ave | 0.40mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,843 (+9%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $133 | 57 |
| 175 9th St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,776 (+6%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $110 | 57 |
| 352 Allen Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,460 (-13%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $154 | 55 |
| 207 9th St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,562 (-7%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $147 | 53 |
| 164 N Union St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,516 (-10%) | 9mo | $199,000 | $131 | 49 |
| 187 7th St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,929 (+14%) | 3mo | $67,000 | $35 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $35,330
- Equity at exit
- $24,408
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.66×
- Total profit
- $92,181
- Equity at exit
- $28,018
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08079
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,853 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$270 /mo · $3,244/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$389
- Net cashflow
- $618
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $669 | -5% $644 | +0% $618 | +5% $593 | +10% $568 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $472 | -5% $545 | +0% $618 | +5% $692 | +10% $765 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $664 | -0.5pp $641 | base $618 | +0.5pp $595 | +1.0pp $571 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380 E Broadway Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 124 Yorke St Unit 37 Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 332 E Broadway Salem, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $1,980 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 270-272 Grant St Salem, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1644 | $2,100 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 37 Eighth St Salem, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,850 | $1.69 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 695 Salem Quinton Rd Salem, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1356 | $2,400 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $89,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $97,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $97,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $97,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $97,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $97,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $97,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $97,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$99,900 Active
-
1994-11-14soldstatus $13,250
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,244 · $270/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,244 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,240
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$3,244
- − Insurance
- −$1,247
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,779
- − Management
- −$1,779
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $6,539
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,569
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,852/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3414550
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,118
- Composite
- 11.51/100
- National rank
- #9702
- State rank
- #464 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #462
- US rank
- #17533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, NJ
- County
- Salem County · 24,175 people
- City population
- 10,762
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,762
- Household income
- $54,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 663.0
Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,905 people
- By 2030
- 57,351 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 51,837 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 46,356 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 36,452 · -39.2%
- By 2100
- 28,907 · -51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Salem
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.38%
- Current HPI
- 258.0047
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+654.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1994-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $13,250 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,244 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…