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340 Misthaven Dr
F Composite 25.23
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Cash flow +3.8/30.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$485,000

340 Misthaven Dr · Eureka, MO 63025
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,299 sqft · Other public records · 17 Days on market
Built 2023 6,229 sqft lot $39/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This nearly new Fischer & Frichtel Fairfax 1.5-story home, built just 2.5 years ago, offers excellent space and modern living in one of the area’s most desirable neighborhoods. Featuring four bedrooms and three bathrooms, along with a recently finished lower level, it provides flexible living options for today’s families. The thoughtfully designed main level features an open-concept layout with 9-foot ceilings and an expanded living area that fills the home with natural light during the day and is equipped with plenty of lighting for the nighttime. The kitchen stands out with its oversized island, quartz countertops and backsplash, and impressive floor-to-ceiling cabinetry

Key facts

  • 6,229 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2023

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area: 3,099 total (2,209 above grade; 890 below grade)
  • HOA & community: Part of Windswept Farms HOA; Annual association fee of $465 covers grounds and parking/road maintenance, common area maintenance, and snow removal; Community amenities include common ground and a picnic area

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half levels; Private ownership
  • Construction: Architectural shingle roof; Construction materials: see remarks; Built by Fischer & Frichtel
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total, including 1 main-level bedroom and 3 upper-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (main and upper levels combined)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with zoned controls; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring; 8 ft+ poured basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and electric dryer hookups on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $485k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (51.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (52.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $230k (52.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#97 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Rockwood R-VI (suburban): math 51% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #9 of 324 in MO (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Geggie Elem. (math 43% / reading 60%, grade C-, #268 of 1,115 statewide, top 24%, 654 students, 7% FRL); Lasalle Springs Middle (math 46% / reading 59%, grade C+, #54 of 391 statewide, top 14%, 872 students, 12% FRL); Eureka Sr. High (math 36% / reading 66%, grade D+, #109 of 521 statewide, top 21%, 1,712 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 807 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($478k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $230,000 (52.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.47%
Cap rate
2.81%
Cash-on-cash
-12.44%
DSCR
0.45
GRM
17.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-39.4%
Equity multiple
-0.24×
Total profit
$-168,326
Equity at exit
$72,315
10-year hold
IRR
-61.8%
Equity multiple
-0.93×
Total profit
$-262,242
Equity at exit
$41,934

Cash invested: $135,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63025

Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
17.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,543
Tax from tax record
$441 /mo · $5,289/yr
Insurance
$202
HOA
$39
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$483
Net cashflow
$-1,408

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,083
Max offer price $236,228
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,134 -5% $-1,271 +0% $-1,408 +5% $-1,546 +10% $-1,683
Rent -10% $-1,590 -5% $-1,499 +0% $-1,408 +5% $-1,317 +10% $-1,227
Rate -1.0pp $-1,164 -0.5pp $-1,285 base $-1,408 +0.5pp $-1,534 +1.0pp $-1,662

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$121,250
Closing costs
$14,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
514 Rolling Meadow Dr Eureka, MO 3.0 2.0 1026 $2,300 $2.24 0d 1 0.15mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$39 · $468/yr

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $485,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $485,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $485,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $485,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $485,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $485,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $485,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $495,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $495,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 683-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $495,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,289 · $441/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,289 · $441/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,600
− Mortgage interest
−$27,168
− Property taxes
−$5,289
− Insurance
−$2,425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,208
− Management
−$2,208
− HOA
−$468
− Depreciation
−$14,109
Taxable loss
−$26,275
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,306
After-tax cash flow
$-10,593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockwood R-VI
NCES district ID
2926850
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$98,721
Composite
53.61/100
National rank
#1438
State rank
#9 of 324 in MO

Livability — Eureka

Score
72/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#6462

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eureka, MO
City population
18,483
Population (ZIP)
18,483

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
235,088 people
By 2030
238,365 · +1.4%
By 2040
240,156 · +2.2%
By 2050
234,651 · -0.2%
By 2075
214,569 · -8.7%
By 2100
179,697 · -23.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.7) · D 31.0% · R 67.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-39.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -36.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.7 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+12.7 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -208.60%
Current HPI
203.4691
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $495,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $495,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+58.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,289 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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