3101 Juarez Dr · Landmark, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The property is being sold "as is, " so please conduct your own research before making an offer. There will be no SPD or inspection period offered. The property has a lot of potential and makes for a fantastic rental. Cash only offers with a POF in the buyer's name and bank information current within the previous 20 days. An ARA contract, an IRSA waiving inspection, LBP and proof of funds are required for all offers.
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Cash financing is an option
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pads for 3 cars
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy)
- Home design: Metal/vinyl siding exterior; Not in a subdivision
- Construction: Crawl space foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Fully fenced yard; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Formica countertops
- Flooring: Other (see remarks)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other (see remarks)
- Interior features: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection; Gas water heater; Formica kitchen countertops; Sheetrock walls and ceilings; Other flooring (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer connection; Electric dryer connection; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#356 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.41%
- DSCR
- 3.29
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,406
- List price
- $49,000
- Delta
- -67.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13524 Sandstone Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,396 (+4%) | 14mo | $140,000 | $100 | 50 |
| 13601 Sandstone Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,506 (+13%) | 8mo | $157,000 | $104 | 46 |
| 8 Archview Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,493 (+12%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $84 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $29,950
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- 55.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.55×
- Total profit
- $76,170
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72206
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,188 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $880/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $588
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5101 B B Cir Unit 4 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1271 | $675 | $0.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$49,000 New Listing 430-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $880 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $880 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,255
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$880
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,140
- − Management
- −$1,140
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $6,679
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,603
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,450/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County Spec. School District
- NCES district ID
- 0511850
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,218
- Composite
- 25.67/100
- National rank
- #7394
- State rank
- #150 of 238 in AR
Livability — Landmark
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #356
- US rank
- #22007
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Landmark, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,667
- Household income
- $52,132
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 623.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 43% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.64%
- Current HPI
- 158.3601
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.36%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $49,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $880 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…