518 N Springfield St · Virden, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great one level condo with maintenance free living where all the outside work is handled. Are you a snowbird or busy and just want maintenance free. This 2 Bed 1 Bath with a 1 car attached garage and additional 1 car detached garage space is the place for you. Enjoy sitting on your private deck off the kitchen or relaxing in open concept condo.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1984
- Listed 21 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Detached garage; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Property has attached portion
- Construction: Built in 1984; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Private road access; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with refrigerator, microwave, and dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood in living room; Carpet in bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Microwave; Refrigerator; Washer; Living room fireplace and another fireplace (other)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#975 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D-, amenities F.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Macoupin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macoupin County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask is 20% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $78k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.83%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,338
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $22,782
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62690
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,194 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,728/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $262
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $94,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-21historical $94,900
-
2024-01-16soldstatus $78,000 Closed 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Great one level condo with maintenance free living where all the outside work is handled. Are you a snowbird or busy and just want maintenance free. This 2 Bed 1 Bath with a 1 car attached garage and additional 1 car detached garage space is the place for you. Enjoy sitting on your private deck off the kitchen or relaxing in open concept condo.
-
2023-12-08status Pending 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Great one level condo with maintenance free living where all the outside work is handled. Are you a snowbird or busy and just want maintenance free. This 2 Bed 1 Bath with a 1 car attached garage and additional 1 car detached garage space is the place for you. Enjoy sitting on your private deck off the kitchen or relaxing in open concept condo.
-
2023-12-03$79,000 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Great one level condo with maintenance free living where all the outside work is handled. Are you a snowbird or busy and just want maintenance free. This 2 Bed 1 Bath with a 1 car attached garage and additional 1 car detached garage space is the place for you. Enjoy sitting on your private deck off the kitchen or relaxing in open concept condo.
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2014-01-15soldstatus $45,000
-
2012-03-02$50,000
-
2009-06-26soldstatus $60,900
-
2002-09-26soldstatus $60,900
-
2002-05-06$65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,728 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,941 · $162/mo
- Expected delta
- +$213/yr (+$18/mo · 12.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,327
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,728
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,146
- − Management
- −$1,146
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $1,755
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$421
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,722/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Virden
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #975
- US rank
- #18878
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Virden, IL
- City population
- 3,878
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,878
Population outlook (Macoupin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,867 people
- By 2030
- 40,796 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 36,135 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 31,469 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 22,102 · -48.4%
- By 2100
- 15,380 · -64.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macoupin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.2) · D 29.4% · R 68.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -49.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: -39.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.2 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+7.0 2008: D+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.41%
- Current HPI
- 125.3599
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+46.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $94,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-16 Sold (MLS) $78,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-08 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-03 Listed $79,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-15 Sold (MLS) $45,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-02 Listed $50,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $60,900 Public Records
- 2002-09-26 Sold (MLS) $60,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-05-06 Listed $65,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,728 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…