4300 E U.s. 60 · Morehead, KY
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Family home, with large backyard for the kids. Good bones and foundation, just needs a good handyman/owner. Only minutes from Rodburn grade school and MSU.
Key facts
- Minutes from msu
- Large backyard
- 0.72 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-181 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (16.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.7% in Morehead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#345 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, housing D.
- Rowan County (rural): math 28% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #74 of 165 in KY (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Rowan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rowan County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $160k implies a 309% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.59%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,232
- List price
- $159,500
- Delta
- -26.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-37,101
- Equity at exit
- $23,782
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-46,002
- Equity at exit
- $13,791
Cash invested: $44,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40351
- Home prices YoY
- -22.6%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,706 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$836
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$199 /mo · $2,392/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $-181
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-71 | -5% $-126 | +0% $-181 | +5% $-236 | +10% $-291 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-316 | -5% $-249 | +0% $-181 | +5% $-114 | +10% $-46 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-101 | -0.5pp $-141 | base $-181 | +0.5pp $-223 | +1.0pp $-265 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,875
- Closing costs
- $4,785
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-16$159,500 Active 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
Family home, with large backyard for the kids. Good bones and foundation, just needs a good handyman/owner. Only minutes from Rodburn grade school and MSU.
-
2010-12-10soldstatus $39,000
-
2010-11-07historical
-
2010-05-07$52,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,469
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,934
- − Property taxes
- −$2,392
- − Insurance
- −$5,916
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,638
- − Management
- −$1,638
- − Depreciation
- −$4,640
- Taxable loss
- −$4,689
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,125
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,050/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rowan County
- NCES district ID
- 2105100
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,139
- Composite
- 28.47/100
- National rank
- #6742
- State rank
- #74 of 165 in KY
Livability — Morehead
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #345
- US rank
- #16479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Rowan County · 22,322 people
- City population
- 22,322
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,322
- Household income
- $51,835
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 589.0
Population outlook (Rowan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,518 people
- By 2030
- 29,242 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 32,949 · +19.7%
- By 2050
- 37,128 · +34.9%
- By 2075
- 49,130 · +78.5%
- By 2100
- 59,014 · +114.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Rowan
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.3% · R 63.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: 2.0pp · 2024: -27.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.8 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+21.3 2012: R+7.8 2008: D+2.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.28%
- Current HPI
- 203.0786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+201.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $159,500 ImagineMLS
- 2010-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
- 2010-11-07 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2010-05-07 Listed $52,900 ImagineMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…