🏗️ New Construction
7735 Bergamot Cir · The Woodlands, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$328,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Designed with your comfort and convenience in mind, the Whitney is anchored by an inviting open-concept living space, featuring a spacious great room-that flows into a versatile dining area and an inviting kitchen with a center island and pantry. You'll also love the convenient main-floor primary suite, featuring an attached bath and a roomy walk-in closet. Additional main-floor highlights include a laundry room and a valet entrance off the two-bay garage. Heading upstairs, you'll find additional living and private space with a multipurpose game room, surrounded by three generous secondary bedrooms and a full hall bath.
Key facts
- Dining area
- Great room
- Attached bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Municipal Utility District disclosure
- HOA & community: Association managed by Inframark; Annual association fee of $748; Community pool; Curbs
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Under construction (new construction); Built by Century Communities; Facing direction not specified; Entry level not specified
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Year built 2026
- Exterior features: Private yard; Subdivision setting; Concrete road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Electric oven; Microwave; Disposal; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 13'2" x 15'8"); Three additional bedrooms on the second floor (approx. 12'5" x 10'2", 11'1" x 11'3", 11'1" x 15'1")
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Kitchen/family room combo; Primary bedroom with bath; Walk-in pantry; Quartz counters; Tub/shower; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Low emissivity windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $329k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($735/yr) — positive.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $318k (3.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (25.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $245k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.3% in The Woodlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 91/100 on livability (#1 in TX, #47 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
- Magnolia ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #247 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Tom R Ellisor El (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,243 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 492 students, 40% FRL); Bear Branch J H (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D, #479 of 1,662 statewide, top 29%, 1,076 students, 37% FRL); Magnolia H S (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 2,248 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1622 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $86k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($319k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.85%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $307,204
- List price
- $328,900
- Delta
- 7.06%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $164,674
- Equity at exit
- $276,754
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.46×
- Total profit
- $469,976
- Equity at exit
- $596,830
Cash invested: $86,017 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77354
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 1622
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,446 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,611
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $836/yr
- Insurance
- −$128
- HOA
- −$62
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $61
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $235 | -5% $148 | +0% $61 | +5% $-26 | +10% $-113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-132 | -5% $-35 | +0% $61 | +5% $158 | +10% $254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $216 | -0.5pp $139 | base $61 | +0.5pp $-18 | +1.0pp $-99 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,801
- Closing costs
- $9,216
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7910 Alset Dr Magnolia, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1897 | $2,320 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 139 Valiant Ridge Trl Magnolia, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1511 | $1,846 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 131 Valiant Ridge Trl Magnolia, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $2,280 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 94 Valiant Ridge Trl Magnolia, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2517 | $2,350 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 260 Gallant Front Ln Magnolia, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,975 | $1.40 | 26d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 260 Gallant Front Ln Magnolia, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $2,000 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8344 Bristle Cone Pine Way Magnolia, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,900 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 79 W Shale Creek Cir Spring, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2918 | $4,500 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3 Peachridge Pl Unit 1 Spring, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1657 | $1,950 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 139 Hawkhurst Cir Magnolia, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2563 | $2,950 | $1.15 | 26d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $62 · $744/yr
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-21days on market $328,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $328,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $328,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $328,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $328,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $328,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $328,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $328,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $328,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $328,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $328,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $328,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $328,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $328,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-05-05$328,900 Active 1007-char remark
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2026-05-02price $328,900 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (627 chars)
Designed with your comfort and convenience in mind, the Whitney is anchored by an inviting open-concept living space, featuring a spacious great room-that flows into a versatile dining area and an inviting kitchen with a center island and pantry. You'll also love the convenient main-floor primary suite, featuring an attached bath and a roomy walk-in closet. Additional main-floor highlights include a laundry room and a valet entrance off the two-bay garage. Heading upstairs, you'll find additional living and private space with a multipurpose game room, surrounded by three generous secondary bedrooms and a full hall bath.
-
2026-04-29$323,900 Active 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (627 chars)
Designed with your comfort and convenience in mind, the Whitney is anchored by an inviting open-concept living space, featuring a spacious great room-that flows into a versatile dining area and an inviting kitchen with a center island and pantry. You'll also love the convenient main-floor primary suite, featuring an attached bath and a roomy walk-in closet. Additional main-floor highlights include a laundry room and a valet entrance off the two-bay garage. Heading upstairs, you'll find additional living and private space with a multipurpose game room, surrounded by three generous secondary bedrooms and a full hall bath.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $836 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,019 · $502/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,183/yr (+$432/mo · 619.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,347
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,208
- − Property taxes
- −$836
- − Insurance
- −$1,536
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,348
- − Management
- −$2,348
- − HOA
- −$744
- − Depreciation
- −$8,937
- Taxable loss
- −$4,610
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,106
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,842/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Magnolia ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828740
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,692
- Composite
- 39.46/100
- National rank
- #3958
- State rank
- #247 of 826 in TX
Livability — The Woodlands
- Score
- 91/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #47
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Montgomery County · 663,713 people
- City population
- 32,847
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,900
- Household income
- $112,504
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 586.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 713,896 people
- By 2030
- 805,263 · +12.8%
- By 2040
- 992,708 · +39.1%
- By 2050
- 1,179,590 · +65.2%
- By 2075
- 1,628,084 · +128.1%
- By 2100
- 1,937,880 · +171.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.09%
- Current HPI
- 512.87
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.32%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+1.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $328,900 HARMLS
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $328,900 Zillow
- 2026-04-29 Listed $323,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…