Duplex
13 Randall St · Cortland, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great side-by-side duplex in the city of Cortland. Just 10min to Rt 81 or 5min drive SUNY Cortland & minutes to shopping & various restaurants. Walk to Randall Park & Randall Elementary school. Walking distance to Marietta, Intl! Each unit is identical w/ 3 BRs, 1.5 baths, separate front & back entrances. Separate utilities, basements, & driveways. Hardwood floors throughout. Spacious rooms. Kitchens have ample cabinets & counter space, & lead to dining rms, making for wonderful gathering space. Back yard is partially fenced. Well maintained & great for owner occ. or a solid income earner.
Key facts
- Private driveways
- Side by side duplex
- Laundry hook ups
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $668/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $170k).
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 6.2% in Cortland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#201 in NY, #3,105 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D.
- Cortland City School District (town): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #368 of 590 in NY (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Cortland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,638/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1488% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cortland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $102k; list at $170k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.78%
- DSCR
- 2.50
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,520
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 South Ave | 0.39mi | 6/2.0 | 2,455 (-4%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $57 | 73 |
| 13 James St | 0.42mi | 6/2.5 | 2,831 (+11%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $95 | 58 |
| 22 Maple Ave | 0.62mi | 6/3.0 | 2,680 (+5%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $67 | 57 |
| 92 Pendleton St | 0.36mi | 6/2.0 | 2,448 (-4%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $61 | 57 |
| 93 Elm St | 0.70mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,530 (-1%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $65 | 54 |
| 7 Bartlett Ave | 0.57mi | 6/2.0 | 2,478 (-3%) | 17mo | $160,000 | $65 | 54 |
| 10 Garfield St #10 | 0.74mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,368 (-8%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $78 | 40 |
| 4 Washington St | 0.67mi | 6/2.5 | 2,282 (-11%) | 12mo | $222,500 | $98 | 38 |
| 51-53 Clinton Ave | 0.54mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,734 (+7%) | 24mo | $225,000 | $82 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $77,131
- Equity at exit
- $25,273
- IRR
- 45.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.59×
- Total profit
- $265,376
- Equity at exit
- $14,655
Cash invested: $47,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13045
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,638 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$889
- Tax from tax record
- −$579 /mo · $6,942/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$764
- Net cashflow
- $1,336
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,432 | -5% $1,384 | +0% $1,336 | +5% $1,288 | +10% $1,240 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,049 | -5% $1,192 | +0% $1,336 | +5% $1,480 | +10% $1,623 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,421 | -0.5pp $1,379 | base $1,336 | +0.5pp $1,292 | +1.0pp $1,247 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2.5 | $3,638 |
| #1 | 3 | 2.5 | $1,819 |
| #2 | 3 | 2.5 | $1,819 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,638 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,375
- Closing costs
- $5,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-03-01status Pending
-
2026-02-25$169,500 Active
-
2016-05-26soldstatus $102,000 642-char remark
Show marketing remark (642 chars)
Great side-by-side duplex in the city of Cortland. Just 10min to Rt 81 or 5min drive SUNY Cortland & minutes to shopping & various restaurants. Walk to Randall Park & Randall Elementary school. Walking distance to Marietta, Intl! Each unit is identical w/ 3 BRs, 1.5 baths, separate front & back entrances. Separate utilities, basements, & driveways. Hardwood floors throughout. Spacious rooms. Kitchens have ample cabinets & counter space, & lead to dining rms, making for wonderful gathering space. Back yard is partially fenced. Well maintained & great for owner occ. or a solid income earner.
-
2016-05-26soldstatus $102,000 642-char remark
Show marketing remark (642 chars)
Great side-by-side duplex in the city of Cortland. Just 10min to Rt 81 or 5min drive SUNY Cortland & minutes to shopping & various restaurants. Walk to Randall Park & Randall Elementary school. Walking distance to Marietta, Intl! Each unit is identical w/ 3 BRs, 1.5 baths, separate front & back entrances. Separate utilities, basements, & driveways. Hardwood floors throughout. Spacious rooms. Kitchens have ample cabinets & counter space, & lead to dining rms, making for wonderful gathering space. Back yard is partially fenced. Well maintained & great for owner occ. or a solid income earner.
-
2016-05-24soldstatus $102,000
-
2015-09-21$114,900 642-char remark
Show marketing remark (642 chars)
Great side-by-side duplex in the city of Cortland. Just 10min to Rt 81 or 5min drive SUNY Cortland & minutes to shopping & various restaurants. Walk to Randall Park & Randall Elementary school. Walking distance to Marietta, Intl! Each unit is identical w/ 3 BRs, 1.5 baths, separate front & back entrances. Separate utilities, basements, & driveways. Hardwood floors throughout. Spacious rooms. Kitchens have ample cabinets & counter space, & lead to dining rms, making for wonderful gathering space. Back yard is partially fenced. Well maintained & great for owner occ. or a solid income earner.
-
2015-09-21$114,900 642-char remark
Show marketing remark (642 chars)
Great side-by-side duplex in the city of Cortland. Just 10min to Rt 81 or 5min drive SUNY Cortland & minutes to shopping & various restaurants. Walk to Randall Park & Randall Elementary school. Walking distance to Marietta, Intl! Each unit is identical w/ 3 BRs, 1.5 baths, separate front & back entrances. Separate utilities, basements, & driveways. Hardwood floors throughout. Spacious rooms. Kitchens have ample cabinets & counter space, & lead to dining rms, making for wonderful gathering space. Back yard is partially fenced. Well maintained & great for owner occ. or a solid income earner.
-
2001-04-12soldstatus $52,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,942 · $579/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,942 · $579/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,656
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,495
- − Property taxes
- −$6,942
- − Insurance
- −$848
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,492
- − Management
- −$3,492
- − Depreciation
- −$4,931
- Taxable income
- $14,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,469
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,563/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cortland City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3608460
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 17.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,413
- Composite
- 43.29/100
- National rank
- #3041
- State rank
- #368 of 590 in NY
Livability — Cortland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #201
- US rank
- #3105
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cortland, NY
- County
- Cortland County · 28,361 people
- City population
- 28,361
- Metro
- Cortland, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,361
- Household income
- $69,961
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1488.0
Population outlook (Cortland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,543 people
- By 2030
- 46,107 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 43,122 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 40,216 · -15.4%
- By 2075
- 34,717 · -27.0%
- By 2100
- 28,953 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cortland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.4) · D 46.8% · R 53.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: 10.0pp · 2024: -6.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+6.7 2012: D+8.8 2008: D+10.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.78%
- Current HPI
- 289.515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.37%
- Metro
- Cortland, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+222.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-01 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $169,500 CNYIS
- 2016-05-26 Sold (MLS) $102,000 IBRMLS
- 2016-05-26 Sold (MLS) $102,000 CNYIS
- 2016-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
- 2015-09-21 Listed $114,900 IBRMLS
- 2015-09-21 Listed $114,900 CNYIS
- 2001-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,942 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…