225 S Main St · Florence, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special! Great opportunity to add value to this property priced below tax appraisal. A tree fell on the house and repairs are needed. Property is being sold AS-IS with no repairs by seller. Ideal for investors, flippers, or contractors looking for their next project. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Built 1947
- Listed 210 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $574 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.6% vs local median 3.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#4 in AL, #1,140 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Florence City (urban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #44 of 129 in AL (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Forest Hills School (math 39% / reading 65%, grade C-, #102 of 627 statewide, top 17%, 831 students, 45% FRL); Florence Middle School (math 22% / reading 44%, grade F, #101 of 257 statewide, top 40%, 689 students, 51% FRL); Florence High School (math 28% / reading 34%, grade F, #66 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,034 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.67%
- DSCR
- 3.43
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,479
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -66.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 S Kirkman St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-1%) | 4mo | $124,900 | $112 | 82 |
| 123 S Main St | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,140 (+0%) | 10mo | $181,000 | $159 | 79 |
| 402 N Main St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,174 (+3%) | 1mo | $182,000 | $155 | 75 |
| 231 N Main St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,168 (+3%) | 5mo | $169,000 | $145 | 73 |
| 201 N Kirkman St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,106 (-3%) | 12mo | $120,000 | $108 | 72 |
| 213 Normandy Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (-1%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $120 | 63 |
| 115 N Richards St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,270 (+12%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $67 | 62 |
| 2931 Morgan St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,225 (+8%) | 2mo | $174,900 | $143 | 62 |
| 418 Staunton Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-3%) | 1mo | $114,500 | $104 | 60 |
| 302 S Patton St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 972 (-14%) | 12mo | $160,000 | $165 | 58 |
| 1714 Lauderdale St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+6%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $138 | 56 |
| 12 S Franklin St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,012 (-11%) | 11mo | $89,500 | $88 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $32,967
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 62.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.30×
- Total profit
- $91,984
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 11 active · 16 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.1 mo (20%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $135,000 ($138/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 78 d
- This list price
- 18% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -15.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 35630
- Home prices YoY
- -33.7%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 444
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,116 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $633/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $574
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $600 | -5% $587 | +0% $574 | +5% $561 | +10% $549 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $486 | -5% $530 | +0% $574 | +5% $618 | +10% $662 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $597 | -0.5pp $585 | base $574 | +0.5pp $562 | +1.0pp $551 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 N Patton St Unit 1510 Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 139d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 415 Hudson St Unit 1 Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 1d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 411 S Orleans St Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $800 | $0.84 | 1d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3504 Cole Ave Unit B Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 139d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 504A Short St Florence, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 416 N Broadway St Florence, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 139d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1110 E Limestone St Unit 1 Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,600 | $1.90 | 139d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1846 Darby Dr Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,125 | $0.94 | 1d | 5 | 1.16mi |
| 517 Woodward Ave Florence, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1391 | $1,500 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1825 Darby Dr Unit H-10 Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $725 | $0.66 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1825 Darby Dr Unit F-10 Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $750 | $0.68 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 200 Foxfield Pl Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,120 | $0.90 | 1d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 118 Shoals Blvd Florence, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,195 | $0.87 | 1d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1975 Darby Dr Florence, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1072 | $895 | $0.83 | 1d | 6 | 1.43mi |
| 530 N Royal Ave Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 140d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-14days on market $45,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $45,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $45,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $45,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $45,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $45,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $45,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $45,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $45,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $45,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $45,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $45,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $45,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $45,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $45,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $45,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $45,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $45,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $45,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $45,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $45,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $45,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $45,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $45,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $45,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $45,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $45,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $45,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $45,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $45,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $45,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $45,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $45,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $45,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $45,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $45,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $45,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $45,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $45,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $45,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $45,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $45,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $45,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $45,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $45,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $45,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 150 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $633 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $633 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,390
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$633
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,071
- − Management
- −$1,071
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $6,560
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,574
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This property requires extensive repairs to the roof, siding, and fencing, as well as landscaping. The home is in poor condition and would benefit from significant investment to become move-in ready.
Deferred maintenance Est. $20,000–$60,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — significant damage to the roof structure
- Major Exterior (exterior) — extensive damage to the exterior walls and siding
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The roof is partially collapsed and missing shingles.
- Major siding — The siding is visibly damaged and missing sections.
- Major fencing — The fencing is damaged and partially collapsed.
- Major interior — The exterior damage suggests interior damage is likely present, which would need to be assessed and repaired.
Value-add opportunities
- Both repair the roof and siding — Repairing the roof and siding would improve the home's appearance and functionality, making it more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
- Both repair the fencing — Repairing the fencing would improve the home's curb appeal and security. ↑
- Both landscaping — Landscaping would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value by making it more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florence City
- NCES district ID
- 0101530
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,997
- Composite
- 29.69/100
- National rank
- #6456
- State rank
- #44 of 129 in AL
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1140
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence, AL
- County
- Lauderdale County · 93,386 people
- City population
- 34,028
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,028
- Household income
- $46,304
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,386 people
- By 2030
- 93,634 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 93,114 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 91,586 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 88,667 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 81,098 · -13.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.78%
- Current HPI
- 206.1364
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.18%
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-14 Listed $45,000 SAARMLS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $633 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…