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16 N 9th Ave Duplex
B Composite 70.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

16 N 9th Ave · Mount Vernon, NY 10550
6 bd · 3.0 ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 270 Days on market
Built 1900 2,614 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Mint Condition 2 Family Home. Wonderful For Mother/Daughter Or Extended Family. Large Living Room Beautiful Fireplace, Spacious Formal Dining Room, All Hardwood Floors. New Kitchens/Baths With Marble Floors, New Furnace, New Hot Water Heater, New Roof. Many More Updates. Excellent Location, Convenient To All.

Key facts

  • Near dining
  • Spacious backyard
  • Full basement

Tags

SEMI-DETACHED HOMESPACIOUS BACKYARDFULL BASEMENTNEAR SHOPSNEAR DININGNEAR TRANSPORTATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 5.2% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#397 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A, employment B; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F.
  • Mount Vernon School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #485 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,077/mo this rent would consume 120% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 2963% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 270 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $275k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $264,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 270 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
14.72%
Cash-on-cash
30.09%
DSCR
2.34
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
51 S High St 0.35mi 6/3.0 2,470 5mo $640,000 $259 67
112 S 7th Ave 0.34mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,200 1mo $445,000 $202 66
57 North St 0.28mi 7/3.0 (+1) 6mo $805,000 64
28 Grove St 0.41mi 6/2.0 1mo $600,000 63
14 S Terrace Ave 0.34mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2mo $685,000 61
407 N Macquesten Pkwy 0.52mi 6/4.0 3,347 5mo $850,000 $254 55
248 Westchester Ave 0.63mi 6/4.0 2,674 0mo $855,000 $320 54
142 Cottage Ave 0.51mi 5/3.0 (-1) 3,500 6mo $860,000 $246 54
93 Edgewood Ave 0.73mi 6/3.0 4,500 3mo $974,000 $216 51
19 Primrose Ave 0.68mi 6/4.0 3,759 4mo $1,175,000 $313 48
111 S Fulton Ave 0.73mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1mo $415,000 43
679 E 241st St 0.74mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,124 1mo $800,000 $377 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$88,302
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$260,968
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 10550

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,077 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$996 /mo · $11,952/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,276
Net cashflow
$2,107

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,410
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,276 -5% $2,192 +0% $2,107 +5% $2,022 +10% $1,937
Rent -10% $1,627 -5% $1,867 +0% $2,107 +5% $2,347 +10% $2,587
Rate -1.0pp $2,258 -0.5pp $2,183 base $2,107 +0.5pp $2,029 +1.0pp $1,950

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $6,077

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
310 S 7th Ave Mount Vernon, NY 5.0 2.0 1000 $4,800 $4.80 25d 1 0.65mi
142 W 5th St Mount Vernon, NY 6.0 2.0 1250 $3,756 $3.00 19d 1 0.80mi
222 Primrose Ave Unit 2 Mt Vernon, NY 5.0 2.0 1900 $5,250 $2.76 19d 1 0.89mi
33 Union Ln Unit 2 Mt Vernon, NY 5.0 1.0 $4,000 25d 1 0.93mi
33 Union Ln Mount Vernon, NY 5.0 1.0 1200 $4,200 $3.50 25d 1 0.93mi
641 S 5th Ave Unit 2nd/3rd Floor Mt Vernon, NY 5.0 2.0 1800 $3,900 $2.17 5d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-01-08
    status Pending
  2. 2025-10-15
    status Active
  3. 2025-09-20
    historical
  4. 2025-04-16
    price $300,000
  5. 2025-03-19
    listed $575,000 Active
  6. 2004-06-28
    soldstatus $339,900
  7. 2003-07-01
    soldstatus $339,900 310-char remark
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    Mint Condition 2 Family Home. Wonderful For Mother/Daughter Or Extended Family. Large Living Room Beautiful Fireplace, Spacious Formal Dining Room, All Hardwood Floors. New Kitchens/Baths With Marble Floors, New Furnace, New Hot Water Heater, New Roof. Many More Updates. Excellent Location, Convenient To All.

  8. 2003-04-29
    historical 310-char remark
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    Mint Condition 2 Family Home. Wonderful For Mother/Daughter Or Extended Family. Large Living Room Beautiful Fireplace, Spacious Formal Dining Room, All Hardwood Floors. New Kitchens/Baths With Marble Floors, New Furnace, New Hot Water Heater, New Roof. Many More Updates. Excellent Location, Convenient To All.

  9. 2003-03-24
    listed $339,900 310-char remark
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    Mint Condition 2 Family Home. Wonderful For Mother/Daughter Or Extended Family. Large Living Room Beautiful Fireplace, Spacious Formal Dining Room, All Hardwood Floors. New Kitchens/Baths With Marble Floors, New Furnace, New Hot Water Heater, New Roof. Many More Updates. Excellent Location, Convenient To All.

  10. 2002-01-22
    soldstatus $185,000
  11. 2001-09-20
    soldstatus $189,000 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Large 2 Family, Needs Work, Close To Shopping, Buses, Trains And Schools. All Offers In Writing With Pre-qual. Sold Totally As Is Condition. Buyer To Pay Any And All Transfer Taxes.

  12. 2001-08-07
    price $189,900 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Large 2 Family, Needs Work, Close To Shopping, Buses, Trains And Schools. All Offers In Writing With Pre-qual. Sold Totally As Is Condition. Buyer To Pay Any And All Transfer Taxes.

  13. 2001-08-07
    historical 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Large 2 Family, Needs Work, Close To Shopping, Buses, Trains And Schools. All Offers In Writing With Pre-qual. Sold Totally As Is Condition. Buyer To Pay Any And All Transfer Taxes.

  14. 2001-07-25
    listed $189,000 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Large 2 Family, Needs Work, Close To Shopping, Buses, Trains And Schools. All Offers In Writing With Pre-qual. Sold Totally As Is Condition. Buyer To Pay Any And All Transfer Taxes.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$11,952 · $996/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,952 · $996/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$72,924
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$11,952
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,834
− Management
−$5,834
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$22,272
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,345
After-tax cash flow
$19,934/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Vernon School District
NCES district ID
3620100
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$50,890
Composite
36.59/100
National rank
#4631
State rank
#485 of 590 in NY

Livability — Mount Vernon

Score
71/100
State rank
#397
US rank
#6876

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment B Housing C Health & safety A User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Vernon, NY
County
Westchester County · 709,332 people
City population
61,313
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
38,972
Household income
$60,701
Rent vs Own
71.8% rent · 28.2% own
Severe rent burden
2963.0

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,028,035 people
By 2030
1,051,636 · +2.3%
By 2040
1,098,520 · +6.9%
By 2050
1,136,044 · +10.5%
By 2075
1,196,925 · +16.4%
By 2100
1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% White 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Estonian 2% Hispanic 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
2008→2024 swing
-1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.69%
Current HPI
191.5235
Rent YoY
▲ 3.37%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-08 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-15 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-20 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-16 Price Changed $300,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-19 Listed $575,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $339,900 Public Records
  • 2003-07-01 Sold (MLS) $339,900 HGMLS
  • 2003-04-29 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2003-03-24 Listed $339,900 HGMLS
  • 2002-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2001-09-20 Sold (MLS) $189,000 HGMLS
  • 2001-08-07 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2001-08-07 Price Changed $189,900 HGMLS
  • 2001-07-25 Listed $189,000 HGMLS

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $11,952 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…