1108 N Izard St · Forrest City, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.6/10.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.5/15.0
$98,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Call me to see this unique home. Gorgeous hard wood floors. Large entertainment area on screened back porch. There is a generator for constant comfort when the power goes out.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1996
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#297 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Forrest City School District (town): math 12% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #230 of 238 in AR (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in St. Francis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $681 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Francis County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 332 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 332 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.47%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,196
- List price
- $98,500
- Delta
- 15.62%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 824 N Izard St | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,516 (+8%) | 6mo | $5,000 | $3 | 65 |
| 1017 Smith St Sts | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,452 (+4%) | 13mo | $68,500 | $47 | 63 |
| 424 Beech Grove Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (-4%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $19 | 56 |
| 1446 Chestnut | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,515 (+8%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $89 | 53 |
| 1621 Chestnut St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,531 (+9%) | 18mo | $82,000 | $54 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $5,200
- Equity at exit
- $14,687
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $31,702
- Equity at exit
- $8,516
Cash invested: $27,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72335
- Home prices YoY
- -4.9%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,191 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$517
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $607/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $333
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $388 | -5% $361 | +0% $333 | +5% $305 | +10% $277 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $239 | -5% $286 | +0% $333 | +5% $380 | +10% $427 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $382 | -0.5pp $358 | base $333 | +0.5pp $307 | +1.0pp $281 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,625
- Closing costs
- $2,955
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $98,500 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $98,500 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $98,500 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $98,500 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $98,500 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $98,500 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $98,500 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,500 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,500 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,500 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,500 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $98,500 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,500 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,500 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,500 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,500 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $98,500 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Call me to see this unique home. Gorgeous hard wood floors. Large entertainment area on screened back porch. There is a generator for constant comfort when the power goes out.
-
2026-01-02status Back on Market 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Call me to see this unique home. Gorgeous hard wood floors. Large entertainment area on screened back porch. There is a generator for constant comfort when the power goes out.
-
2026-01-01historical 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Call me to see this unique home. Gorgeous hard wood floors. Large entertainment area on screened back porch. There is a generator for constant comfort when the power goes out.
-
2025-07-18$110,000 New Listing 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Call me to see this unique home. Gorgeous hard wood floors. Large entertainment area on screened back porch. There is a generator for constant comfort when the power goes out.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $607 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $630 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$23/yr (+$2/mo · 3.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,292
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,518
- − Property taxes
- −$607
- − Insurance
- −$492
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,143
- − Management
- −$1,143
- − Depreciation
- −$2,865
- Taxable income
- $2,522
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$605
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forrest City School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506270
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,153
- Composite
- 9.07/100
- National rank
- #9871
- State rank
- #230 of 238 in AR
Livability — Forrest City
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #20349
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Forrest City, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,514
Population outlook (St. Francis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,387 people
- By 2030
- 23,269 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 21,122 · -13.4%
- By 2050
- 19,281 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 15,222 · -37.6%
- By 2100
- 11,449 · -53.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Francis
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 48.6% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.8pp toward R · 2008: 16.5pp · 2024: 0.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.7 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+11.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+16.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -6.86%
- Current HPI
- 133.8115
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-10.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $98,500 CARMLS
- 2026-01-02 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-07-18 Listed $110,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $607 · +195832.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…