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209 Guyer St
C+ Composite 61.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,000

209 Guyer St · Taconite, MN 55709
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 764 sqft · Other public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1930

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CHARMING 2 BD W/ FOUNDATION TO ADD ON A very motivated seller with some updates finished. New kitchen cabinets and back splash, new trim, paint and more. Bathroom remodel, fresh paint in bedrooms and bathroom. Dream garage 2 car wide and deep. Shed for your yard machines and tools. 3 lots to run in. Appraisal done September 2022 came in at $125,000.

Key facts

  • Dream garage
  • 3 lots
  • Bathroom remodel

Tags

NEW KITCHEN CABINETSBATHROOM REMODELDREAM GARAGESHED FOR YARD MACHINES3 LOTS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 4-car garage

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 quarter bath
  • Interior features: One full bathroom; One quarter bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#685 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools F.
  • Greenway Public School District (rural): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #196 of 301 in MN (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Itasca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (8.9% local appreciation)).
  • Itasca County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (8.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $117,215 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.97%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$66,218
Equity at exit
$97,477
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
6.55×
Total profit
$184,917
Equity at exit
$200,654

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55709

Home prices YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,368/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $997
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,000 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-16
    listed $119,000 Active 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    CHARMING 2 BD W/ FOUNDATION TO ADD ON A very motivated seller with some updates finished. New kitchen cabinets and back splash, new trim, paint and more. Bathroom remodel, fresh paint in bedrooms and bathroom. Dream garage 2 car wide and deep. Shed for your yard machines and tools. 3 lots to run in. Appraisal done September 2022 came in at $125,000.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,368 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,368 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,481
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,368
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,158
− Management
−$1,158
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$73
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$18
After-tax cash flow
$1,971/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenway Public School District
NCES district ID
2709480
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$46,178
Composite
37.01/100
National rank
#4520
State rank
#196 of 301 in MN

Livability — Taconite

Score
62/100
State rank
#685
US rank
#16565

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taconite, MN
City population
118
Population (ZIP)
4,314

Population outlook (Itasca County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,885 people
By 2030
45,890 · +0.0%
By 2040
45,171 · -1.6%
By 2050
43,946 · -4.2%
By 2075
40,950 · -10.8%
By 2100
34,909 · -23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Itasca

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.2) · D 39.1% · R 59.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: -20.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.2 2020: R+16.8 2016: R+16.5 2012: D+9.9 2008: D+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.86%
Current HPI
270.88
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $119,000 Fizber.com
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $119,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+9.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,368 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…