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764 Chestnut Cove Trl
D- Composite 38.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

764 Chestnut Cove Trl · Jasper, GA 30143
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily · 66 Days on market
Built 1997 Good condition 0.99 ac lot $193/sqft · 37% below area Est $270k · 37% under $372/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Experience mountain living in the gated Bent Tree community of North Georgia! This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout, wood-burning fireplace, granite countertops, LVP flooring throughout, and a private deck with peaceful mountain views. The primary suite offers a walk-in closet and private bath, while the spacious crawl space provides additional storage. Perfect as a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment property, this move-in-ready home offers comfort, privacy, and endless potential. Enjoy Bent Tree's incredible amenities, including Lake Tamarack, golf, swimming pools, tennis and pickleball courts, hiking trails, a restaurant, dog park, and more. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Jasper, with a 100-day home warranty included.

Key facts

  • Private retreat
  • Elevated setting
  • Granite countertops

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT GREAT ROOMWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEGRANITE COUNTERTOPSPRIVATE RETREATMOUNTAIN VIEWSELEVATED SETTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-317 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (27.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (8.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.7% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#44 in GA, #4,976 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment F.
  • Pickens County (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #59 of 174 in GA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Tate Elementary School (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #582 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 482 students, 51% FRL); Jasper Middle School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #178 of 470 statewide, top 39%, 628 students, 48% FRL); Pickens County High School (math 34% / reading 28%, grade F, #127 of 424 statewide, top 30%, 1,259 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 860 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 260 units permitted in Pickens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 14 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $170k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Recommended offer $124,133 (27.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
4.06%
Cash-on-cash
-7.99%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$269,892
List price
$170,000
Delta
-31.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1739 Little Hendricks Mountain Rd 0.50mi 2/2.0 943 (+7%) 20mo $314,000 $333 48
1739 Little Hendricks Mountain Rd 0.50mi 2/2.0 943 (+7%) 20mo $314,000 $333 48
439 Frost Pine Cir 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (+18%) 30mo $289,000 $278 34
31 Winterview Ln 1.12mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,088 (+24%) 13mo $350,000 $322 20
140 Shadowick Mountain Rd 0.87mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,078 (+22%) 22mo $299,900 $278 16

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-30.1%
Equity multiple
0.00×
Total profit
$-47,484
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
-30.6%
Equity multiple
-0.39×
Total profit
$-66,319
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30143

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Active inventory
860
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,557 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$372
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$-317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,958
Max offer price $124,133
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-199 -5% $-258 +0% $-317 +5% $-376 +10% $-434
Rent -10% $-440 -5% $-378 +0% $-317 +5% $-255 +10% $-194
Rate -1.0pp $-231 -0.5pp $-274 base $-317 +0.5pp $-361 +1.0pp $-406

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Has association; annual association feeCommunity features include clubhouse, golf, lake, pickleball, playground, pool, stables, tennis courts

Exterior

Parking
Parking pad for 2 vehicles
Security
Gated community
Utilities
Public waterSeptic tank sewerElectric service with 220V and 440V availableCable and phone available
Home design
One levelResale propertyAbove-grade finished living area
Construction
Block and wood siding constructionBlock foundationComposition roofBuilt with energy-efficient windows
Exterior features
DeckFront porchCrawl space foundation

Interior

Kitchen
Solid surface countersDishwasher
Bedrooms
2 main-level bedroomsMaster on main
Flooring
Vinyl flooring
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)Master bathroom with no special features listed
Heating & cooling
Central heating (electric) with heat pumpCentral air with heat pumpCeiling fan(s)
Interior features
Walk-in closet(s)Factory-built fireplace in the living roomDouble-pane windowsNo common wallsGreat room
Laundry & utility
Laundry closet in hall

HOA detail $372/mo · $4,464/yr

Likely covers
poolsecurity

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $170,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $170,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $170,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $170,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-07-28
    days on market $170,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-07-26
    days on market $170,000 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-07-24
    days on market $170,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $170,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $170,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $170,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-07-20
    days on market $170,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 44 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
  18. 2026-07-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 42 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $170,000 Active 41 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 40 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 39 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $170,000 Active 38 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $170,000 Active 37 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    price $170,000 Active 36 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $177,000 Active 36 DOM
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Experience mountain living in the gated Bent Tree community of North Georgia! This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout, wood-burning fireplace, granite countertops, LVP flooring throughout, and a private deck with peaceful mountain views. The primary suite offers a walk-in closet and private bath, while the spacious crawl space provides additional storage. Perfect as a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment property, this move-in-ready home offers comfort, privacy, and endless potential. Enjoy Bent Tree's incredible amenities, including Lake Tamarack, golf, swimming pools, tennis and pickleball courts, hiking trails, a restaurant, dog park, and more. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Jasper, with a 100-day home warranty included.

  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $177,000 Active 34 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $177,000 Active 33 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $177,000 Active 32 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $177,000 Active 31 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $177,000 Active 30 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $177,000 Active 29 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $177,000 Active 28 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $177,000 Active 27 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $177,000 Active 26 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $177,000 Active 25 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $177,000 Active 24 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    pricedays on market $177,000 Active 23 DOM
  38. 2026-06-24
    days on market $180,000 Active 21 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $180,000 Active 19 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $180,000 Active 18 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,000 Active 15 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 14 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 13 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $180,000 Active 12 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,000 Active 10 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,000 Active 9 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,000 Active 6 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
  50. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on marketlisting id $180,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,681
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$2,550
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,495
− Management
−$1,495
− HOA
−$4,464
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$6,640
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,594
After-tax cash flow
$-2,210/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $4,400–$13,200 screening

This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in Bent Tree offers an open-concept layout, wood-burning fireplace, and private deck with mountain views. The property is move-in ready and benefits from its location in a gated community with numerous amenities.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both furniture — improves living experience and resale value
  • Both upgrades to appliances — attracts more buyers and renters

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 33/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Tate Elementary School F GA #582/1,228 Nat'l #24,950/41,679 Middle Jasper Middle School F GA #178/470 Nat'l #7,206/14,009 High Pickens County High School F GA #127/424 Nat'l #10,806/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pickens County
NCES district ID
1304110
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$53,760
Composite
30.72/100
National rank
#6165
State rank
#59 of 174 in GA
B Composite livability gradescore 74/100

Livability — Jasper

Score
74/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#4976

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pickens · 32,161 people
City population
26,738
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA
Population (ZIP)
26,738
Household income
$79,879
Rent vs Own
21.0% rent · 79.0% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Pickens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,161 people
By 2030
32,815 · +2.0%
By 2040
33,427 · +3.9%
By 2050
33,077 · +2.8%
By 2075
31,291 · -2.7%
By 2100
27,205 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Pickens

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.8) · D 16.8% · R 82.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.8pp toward R · 2008: -57.9pp · 2024: -65.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.8 2020: R+65.7 2016: R+69.2 2012: R+67.6 2008: R+57.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+70.0% since first listed
62 events — show timeline
  • 2026-07-09 Price Changed $170,000 FMLS
  • 2026-07-09 Price Changed $170,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-06-25 Price Changed $177,000 FMLS
  • 2026-06-25 Price Changed $177,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $180,000 FMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $180,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $185,000 NEGBOR
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $185,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $190,000 NEGBOR
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $190,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $193,000 FMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $200,000 FMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $207,000 FMLS
  • 2025-12-18 Price Changed $215,000 FMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $223,000 FMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Price Changed $230,000 FMLS
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $235,000 FMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $241,000 FMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $245,000 FMLS
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $249,000 FMLS
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $256,000 FMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Price Changed $263,000 FMLS
  • 2025-07-04 Listed $271,000 FMLS
  • 2018-11-01 Sold (MLS) $79,500 GAMLS
  • 2018-10-31 Sold (MLS) $79,500 FMLS
  • 2018-10-16 Pending GAMLS
  • 2018-10-16 Pending FMLS
  • 2018-10-13 Price Changed $79,500 GAMLS
  • 2018-10-12 Listed $79,900 GAMLS
  • 2018-10-12 Listed $79,500 FMLS
  • 2018-06-25 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2018-06-18 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2018-05-18 Pending GAMLS
  • 2018-05-06 Listed $79,900 GAMLS
  • 2017-08-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2017-05-29 Price Changed $79,900 GAMLS
  • 2017-05-03 Price Changed $84,900 GAMLS
  • 2017-05-02 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2017-05-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2017-04-04 Price Changed $89,900 GAMLS
  • 2016-11-18 Price Changed $94,900 GAMLS
  • 2016-11-09 Listed $99,900 GAMLS
  • 2016-07-07 Price Changed $56,600 FMLS
  • 2016-07-07 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2016-06-30 Price Changed $56,500 GAMLS
  • 2016-06-28 Sold (MLS) $56,500 GAMLS
  • 2016-06-28 Sold (MLS) $56,600 FMLS
  • 2016-06-28 Price Changed $59,900 FMLS
  • 2016-05-19 Pending GAMLS
  • 2016-05-10 Contingent FMLS
  • 2016-05-10 Pending GAMLS
  • 2016-05-10 Price Changed $59,900 GAMLS
  • 2016-02-16 Listed $59,900 GAMLS
  • 2016-02-13 Listed $59,900 FMLS
  • 2015-11-17 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2015-08-25 Price Changed $69,900 GAMLS
  • 2015-07-21 Price Changed $79,900 GAMLS
  • 2015-06-16 Price Changed $89,900 GAMLS
  • 2015-03-19 Listed $100,000 GAMLS
  • 2013-09-01 Listing Removed GAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…