764 Chestnut Cove Trl · Jasper, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.1/30.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience mountain living in the gated Bent Tree community of North Georgia! This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout, wood-burning fireplace, granite countertops, LVP flooring throughout, and a private deck with peaceful mountain views. The primary suite offers a walk-in closet and private bath, while the spacious crawl space provides additional storage. Perfect as a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment property, this move-in-ready home offers comfort, privacy, and endless potential. Enjoy Bent Tree's incredible amenities, including Lake Tamarack, golf, swimming pools, tennis and pickleball courts, hiking trails, a restaurant, dog park, and more. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Jasper, with a 100-day home warranty included.
Key facts
- Private retreat
- Elevated setting
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-317 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (27.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (8.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.7% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#44 in GA, #4,976 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment F.
- Pickens County (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #59 of 174 in GA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Tate Elementary School (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #582 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 482 students, 51% FRL); Jasper Middle School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #178 of 470 statewide, top 39%, 628 students, 48% FRL); Pickens County High School (math 34% / reading 28%, grade F, #127 of 424 statewide, top 30%, 1,259 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 860 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 260 units permitted in Pickens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $170k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.99%
- DSCR
- 0.64
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $269,892
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- -31.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1739 Little Hendricks Mountain Rd | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 943 (+7%) | 20mo | $314,000 | $333 | 48 |
| 1739 Little Hendricks Mountain Rd | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 943 (+7%) | 20mo | $314,000 | $333 | 48 |
| 439 Frost Pine Cir | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+18%) | 30mo | $289,000 | $278 | 34 |
| 31 Winterview Ln | 1.12mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,088 (+24%) | 13mo | $350,000 | $322 | 20 |
| 140 Shadowick Mountain Rd | 0.87mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,078 (+22%) | 22mo | $299,900 | $278 | 16 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.00×
- Total profit
- $-47,484
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- -30.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.39×
- Total profit
- $-66,319
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30143
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 860
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,557 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$372
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $-317
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-199 | -5% $-258 | +0% $-317 | +5% $-376 | +10% $-434 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-440 | -5% $-378 | +0% $-317 | +5% $-255 | +10% $-194 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-231 | -0.5pp $-274 | base $-317 | +0.5pp $-361 | +1.0pp $-406 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Has association; annual association feeCommunity features include clubhouse, golf, lake, pickleball, playground, pool, stables, tennis courts
Exterior
- Parking
- Parking pad for 2 vehicles
- Security
- Gated community
- Utilities
- Public waterSeptic tank sewerElectric service with 220V and 440V availableCable and phone available
- Home design
- One levelResale propertyAbove-grade finished living area
- Construction
- Block and wood siding constructionBlock foundationComposition roofBuilt with energy-efficient windows
- Exterior features
- DeckFront porchCrawl space foundation
Interior
- Kitchen
- Solid surface countersDishwasher
- Bedrooms
- 2 main-level bedroomsMaster on main
- Flooring
- Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)Master bathroom with no special features listed
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric) with heat pumpCentral air with heat pumpCeiling fan(s)
- Interior features
- Walk-in closet(s)Factory-built fireplace in the living roomDouble-pane windowsNo common wallsGreat room
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry closet in hall
HOA detail $372/mo · $4,464/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $170,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $170,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $170,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $170,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $170,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $170,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $170,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $170,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $170,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $170,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $170,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $170,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $170,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $170,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $170,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $170,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $170,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $170,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $170,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $170,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $170,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $170,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-10price $170,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $177,000 Active 36 DOM
Show marketing remark (797 chars)
Experience mountain living in the gated Bent Tree community of North Georgia! This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout, wood-burning fireplace, granite countertops, LVP flooring throughout, and a private deck with peaceful mountain views. The primary suite offers a walk-in closet and private bath, while the spacious crawl space provides additional storage. Perfect as a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment property, this move-in-ready home offers comfort, privacy, and endless potential. Enjoy Bent Tree's incredible amenities, including Lake Tamarack, golf, swimming pools, tennis and pickleball courts, hiking trails, a restaurant, dog park, and more. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Jasper, with a 100-day home warranty included.
-
2026-07-07days on market $177,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $177,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $177,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $177,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $177,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $177,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $177,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $177,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $177,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $177,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $177,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-26pricedays on market $177,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $180,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $180,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $180,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,681
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$2,550
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,495
- − Management
- −$1,495
- − HOA
- −$4,464
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$6,640
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,594
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,210/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in Bent Tree offers an open-concept layout, wood-burning fireplace, and private deck with mountain views. The property is move-in ready and benefits from its location in a gated community with numerous amenities.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both furniture — improves living experience and resale value ↑
- Both upgrades to appliances — attracts more buyers and renters ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pickens County
- NCES district ID
- 1304110
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,760
- Composite
- 30.72/100
- National rank
- #6165
- State rank
- #59 of 174 in GA
Livability — Jasper
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #4976
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pickens · 32,161 people
- City population
- 26,738
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,738
- Household income
- $79,879
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Pickens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,161 people
- By 2030
- 32,815 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 33,427 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 33,077 · +2.8%
- By 2075
- 31,291 · -2.7%
- By 2100
- 27,205 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Pickens
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.8) · D 16.8% · R 82.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.8pp toward R · 2008: -57.9pp · 2024: -65.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.8 2020: R+65.7 2016: R+69.2 2012: R+67.6 2008: R+57.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.27%
- Current HPI
- 280.6731
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+70.0% since first listed62 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-09 Price Changed $170,000 FMLS
- 2026-07-09 Price Changed $170,000 GAMLS
- 2026-06-25 Price Changed $177,000 FMLS
- 2026-06-25 Price Changed $177,000 GAMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listed $180,000 FMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listed $180,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $185,000 NEGBOR
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $185,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $190,000 NEGBOR
- 2026-03-25 Listed $190,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $193,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $200,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $207,000 FMLS
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $215,000 FMLS
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $223,000 FMLS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $230,000 FMLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $235,000 FMLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $241,000 FMLS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $245,000 FMLS
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $249,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $256,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-17 Price Changed $263,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-04 Listed $271,000 FMLS
- 2018-11-01 Sold (MLS) $79,500 GAMLS
- 2018-10-31 Sold (MLS) $79,500 FMLS
- 2018-10-16 Pending — GAMLS
- 2018-10-16 Pending — FMLS
- 2018-10-13 Price Changed $79,500 GAMLS
- 2018-10-12 Listed $79,900 GAMLS
- 2018-10-12 Listed $79,500 FMLS
- 2018-06-25 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2018-06-18 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2018-05-18 Pending — GAMLS
- 2018-05-06 Listed $79,900 GAMLS
- 2017-08-01 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2017-05-29 Price Changed $79,900 GAMLS
- 2017-05-03 Price Changed $84,900 GAMLS
- 2017-05-02 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2017-05-01 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2017-04-04 Price Changed $89,900 GAMLS
- 2016-11-18 Price Changed $94,900 GAMLS
- 2016-11-09 Listed $99,900 GAMLS
- 2016-07-07 Price Changed $56,600 FMLS
- 2016-07-07 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2016-06-30 Price Changed $56,500 GAMLS
- 2016-06-28 Sold (MLS) $56,500 GAMLS
- 2016-06-28 Sold (MLS) $56,600 FMLS
- 2016-06-28 Price Changed $59,900 FMLS
- 2016-05-19 Pending — GAMLS
- 2016-05-10 Contingent — FMLS
- 2016-05-10 Pending — GAMLS
- 2016-05-10 Price Changed $59,900 GAMLS
- 2016-02-16 Listed $59,900 GAMLS
- 2016-02-13 Listed $59,900 FMLS
- 2015-11-17 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2015-08-25 Price Changed $69,900 GAMLS
- 2015-07-21 Price Changed $79,900 GAMLS
- 2015-06-16 Price Changed $89,900 GAMLS
- 2015-03-19 Listed $100,000 GAMLS
- 2013-09-01 Listing Removed — GAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…