8201 State Highway 49 · Plymouth, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 25 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.4/10.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Modern Comfort and trusted quality, Skyline homes are consistently recognized as a trusted name in manufactured homes. Famous for its open-concept layout that feels much larger than your typical single wide. Energy efficeint windows and high quality insulation. Durabel construction and lots new: New tankless water heater/gas Washer/dryer New stove and vent New fridge Dishwasher Replaced windows Weathered by the county(new seals and air tight) New carpet and flooring New paint inside and out LED lights and new light fixtures New main room closet Built in shelving and storage Wheelchair access! Least expensive space rent anywhere at 550!! Stunning river right in front of your home!! Cool
Key facts
- New stove
- New washer dryer
- New fridge
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 2004
- Construction: Living area approximately 784 square feet
- Exterior features: Located in the El Dorado subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $48k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $755 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.3% vs local median 0.2% in Plymouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#546 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment B; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Mother Lode Union Elementary (rural): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #726 of 1,400 in CA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 437 units permitted in El Dorado County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- El Dorado County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 78.58%
- DSCR
- 4.50
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.01×
- Total profit
- $40,401
- Equity at exit
- $7,157
- IRR
- 71.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.25×
- Total profit
- $97,496
- Equity at exit
- $4,150
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95623
- Home prices YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,534 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$60 /mo · $720/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $755
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watergas
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $48,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $48,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $48,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $48,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $48,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $48,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $48,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $48,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $48,000
-
2026-05-12$49,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,407
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$720
- − Insurance
- −$1,742
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,473
- − Management
- −$1,473
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $8,914
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,139
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,919/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This modern manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, making it a great investment for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Replace or clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Replace or clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mother Lode Union Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0625980
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,429
- Composite
- 36.63/100
- National rank
- #9251
- State rank
- #726 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Plymouth
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #546
- US rank
- #18196
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,725
Population outlook (El Dorado County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 191,666 people
- By 2030
- 193,662 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 192,583 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 185,904 · -3.0%
- By 2075
- 169,543 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 139,623 · -27.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · El Dorado
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.0) · D 42.6% · R 54.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -12.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.0 2020: R+8.8 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+18.2 2008: R+10.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.23%
- Current HPI
- 292.7181
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-2.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $48,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $49,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $12,494 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…