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8201 State Highway 49
B Composite 71.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.4/10.0

$48,000

8201 State Highway 49 · Plymouth, CA 95623
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 3,234 sqft · Condo public records · 37 Days on market
Built 2004 Good condition ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Modern Comfort and trusted quality, Skyline homes are consistently recognized as a trusted name in manufactured homes. Famous for its open-concept layout that feels much larger than your typical single wide. Energy efficeint windows and high quality insulation. Durabel construction and lots new: New tankless water heater/gas Washer/dryer New stove and vent New fridge Dishwasher Replaced windows Weathered by the county(new seals and air tight) New carpet and flooring New paint inside and out LED lights and new light fixtures New main room closet Built in shelving and storage Wheelchair access! Least expensive space rent anywhere at 550!! Stunning river right in front of your home!! Cool

Key facts

  • New stove
  • New washer dryer
  • New fridge

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTENERGY EFFICIENT WINDOWSNEW TANKLESS WATER HEATERNEW WASHER DRYERNEW STOVENEW FRIDGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 2004
  • Construction: Living area approximately 784 square feet
  • Exterior features: Located in the El Dorado subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $48k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $755 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.3% vs local median 0.2% in Plymouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#546 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment B; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mother Lode Union Elementary (rural): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #726 of 1,400 in CA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 437 units permitted in El Dorado County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • El Dorado County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $46,560 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.20%
Cap rate
28.30%
Cash-on-cash
78.58%
DSCR
4.50
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
66.8%
Equity multiple
4.01×
Total profit
$40,401
Equity at exit
$7,157
10-year hold
IRR
71.1%
Equity multiple
8.25×
Total profit
$97,496
Equity at exit
$4,150

Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95623

Home prices YoY
-3.1%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,534 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$252
Tax est. 1.5%
$60 /mo · $720/yr
Insurance
$20
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$755

Break-even live

Break-even rent $578
Max offer price $48,000
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,000
Closing costs
$1,440
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
watergas
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $48,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $48,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $48,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $48,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $48,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $48,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $48,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $48,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $48,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $48,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $48,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $48,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $48,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-13
    price $48,000
  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $49,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,407
− Mortgage interest
−$2,689
− Property taxes
−$720
− Insurance
−$1,742
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,473
− Management
−$1,473
− Depreciation
−$1,396
Taxable income
$8,914
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,139
After-tax cash flow
$6,919/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This modern manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, making it a great investment for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace or clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace or clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mother Lode Union Elementary
NCES district ID
0625980
Math proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$59,429
Composite
36.63/100
National rank
#9251
State rank
#726 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Plymouth

Score
61/100
State rank
#546
US rank
#18196

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,725

Population outlook (El Dorado County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
191,666 people
By 2030
193,662 · +1.0%
By 2040
192,583 · +0.5%
By 2050
185,904 · -3.0%
By 2075
169,543 · -11.5%
By 2100
139,623 · -27.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Russian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · El Dorado

2024 margin
R (+12.0) · D 42.6% · R 54.6% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-1.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -12.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.0 2020: R+8.8 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+18.2 2008: R+10.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.23%
Current HPI
292.7181
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $48,000 FSBO.com
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $49,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $12,494 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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