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202 Lakeside Landing Dr 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 38.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.7/10.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0

$484,000

202 Lakeside Landing Dr · Royal Palm Beach, FL 33411
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,446 sqft · Other · 146 Days on market
Built 2025 $185/mo HOA · 7% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience modern living in this beautiful and desirable 100-townhouse community, located in desirable Royal Palm Beach which features picturesque lake views, Pool/Cabana and scenic exercise trails. There are two open-concept layouts with several finishes. The homes offer Stainless Steel Whirlpool Appliances with 36'' Upper Cabinets, Quartz Kitchen Countertops which includes Stainless Steel undermount sink & faucet. The Main Floor comes 18 X 18 Tiles, Mohawk Carpet on stairs and 2nd floor, & tankless water heater and Impact glass in all windows. Each home is professionally landscaped and equipped with smart home technology. Easy access to most major highways and nearby dinning an

Key facts

  • Pool cabana
  • Lake views
  • Open concept layouts

Tags

LAKE VIEWSPOOL CABANAEXERCISE TRAILSOPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESQUARTZ KITCHEN COUNTERTOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $484k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-859 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $332k (31.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (43.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $274k (43.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#135 in FL, #2,039 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Royal Palm Beach Elementary School (math 58% / reading 62%, grade B-, #680 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 662 students, 40% FRL); Crestwood Community Middle (math 49% / reading 52%, grade C, #246 of 571 statewide, top 44%, 724 students, 50% FRL); Royal Palm Beach High School (math 22% / reading 38%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 2,343 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 574 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $52k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$83k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($426k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $274,157 (43.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.57%
Cap rate
4.16%
Cash-on-cash
-7.61%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
14.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$202,928
Equity at exit
$436,026
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
5.65×
Total profit
$629,526
Equity at exit
$940,306

Cash invested: $135,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33411

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
574
Price-to-rent
14.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,742 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,538
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$202
HOA
$185
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$576
Net cashflow
$-859

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,829
Max offer price $332,255
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-585 -5% $-722 +0% $-859 +5% $-996 +10% $-1,133
Rent -10% $-1,076 -5% $-967 +0% $-859 +5% $-751 +10% $-642
Rate -1.0pp $-615 -0.5pp $-736 base $-859 +0.5pp $-984 +1.0pp $-1,112

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$121,000
Closing costs
$14,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
202 Lakeside Landing Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1532 $3,200 $2.09 4d 1 0.04mi
110 Weybridge Cir Unit A Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1470 $2,350 $1.60 22d 1 0.23mi
111 Weybridge Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1710 $3,100 $1.81 5d 1 0.32mi
1601 Lakeview Dr W Unit 1601 Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1296 $2,375 $1.83 22d 1 0.34mi
132 Weybridge Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1470 $3,000 $2.04 24d 1 0.35mi
180 Heatherwood Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1462 $2,710 $1.85 5d 1 0.36mi
1407 Lakeview Dr E Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1165 $2,300 $1.97 8d 1 0.38mi
139 Sparrow Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1100 $2,390 $2.17 15d 3 0.42mi
263 Deerfield Ct Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,800 $1.61 24d 1 0.43mi
43 Essex Ct Unit A Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1398 $2,500 $1.79 24d 1 0.46mi
101 Fairway Ln Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1684 $3,300 $1.96 22d 1 0.48mi
1803 Palm Beach Trace Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1201 $2,000 $1.67 19d 1 0.49mi
1605 Palm Beach Trace Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1201 $2,100 $1.75 13d 1 0.49mi
73 Macadamia Ct Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1112 $2,000 $1.80 11d 1 0.50mi
36 Danbury Ct Unit B Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1398 $2,300 $1.65 11d 1 0.50mi
145 Prestige Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1464 $2,900 $1.98 17d 1 0.53mi
182 Sparrow Dr Unit A Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1485 $3,000 $2.02 24d 1 0.63mi
100 Sparrow Dr #2 Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1824 $2,725 $1.49 19d 1 0.64mi
100 Sparrow Dr #14 Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1737 $2,725 $1.57 24d 1 0.66mi
296 Sandpiper Ave Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1569 $3,100 $1.98 24d 1 0.75mi
202 Sparrow Dr #1 Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1020 $2,400 $2.35 24d 1 0.77mi
212 Trace Ct Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1740 $3,050 $1.75 5d 1 0.79mi
210 Sparrow Dr #4 Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 930 $1,900 $2.04 21d 1 0.79mi
7 Greenway Vlg N Royal Palm Beach, FL 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 930 $1,700 $1.83 17d 2 0.80mi
4 Greenway Vlg N #203 Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,000 $1.85 24d 1 0.81mi
2 Greenway Vlg N #210 Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,000 $1.85 24d 1 0.81mi
81 Westecunk Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1347 $2,550 $1.89 18d 1 0.92mi
12002 Poinciana Blvd #204 Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1048 $1,750 $1.67 24d 1 0.96mi
12007 Poinciana Blvd #205 Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1088 $1,590 $1.46 15d 1 0.97mi
190 Parkwood Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1644 $3,200 $1.95 24d 1 0.99mi
216 Cordoba Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1461 $3,080 $2.11 8d 1 1.05mi
113 Sandpiper Ave Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1798 $3,500 $1.95 12d 1 1.10mi
100 Miramar Ave Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1812 $3,600 $1.99 24d 1 1.17mi
118 Bobwhite Rd Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1444 $3,200 $2.22 18d 1 1.19mi
876 Gardenia Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1502 $3,500 $2.33 24d 1 1.21mi
179 Dove Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1642 $3,500 $2.13 24d 1 1.21mi
10863 Dalmany Way Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1232 $3,500 $2.84 24d 1 1.22mi
151 Cordoba Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1421 $3,300 $2.32 24d 1 1.23mi
133 Black Olive Cres Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1752 $4,500 $2.57 24d 1 1.32mi
240 Bilbao St Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1440 $3,400 $2.36 24d 1 1.33mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$185 · $2,220/yr
Likely covers
waterpool

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-24
    price $484,000
  3. 2026-03-24
    status Active
  4. 2026-03-11
    status Pending
  5. 2026-03-06
    status Pending
  6. 2026-03-02
    price $494,000
  7. 2026-02-09
    price $499,000
  8. 2026-01-16
    price $509,990
  9. 2025-11-11
    listed $519,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,200 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,017 · $335/mo
Expected delta
+$2,817/yr (+$235/mo · 234.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,899
− Mortgage interest
−$27,112
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$2,420
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,632
− Management
−$2,632
− HOA
−$2,220
− Depreciation
−$14,080
Taxable loss
−$19,397
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,655
After-tax cash flow
$-5,653/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Royal Palm Beach

Score
79/100
State rank
#135
US rank
#2039

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Royal Palm Beach, FL
County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
75,299
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
76,863
Household income
$92,591
Rent vs Own
20.5% rent · 79.5% own
Severe rent burden
1870.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 6% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.04%
Current HPI
903.78
Rent YoY
▲ 0.85%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $484,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-24 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-11 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $494,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $499,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $509,990 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-11-11 Listed $519,990 Beaches MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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