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3912-3914 Wright Ave Duplex
C+ Composite 64.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

3912-3914 Wright Ave · St. Ann, MO 63074
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,785 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1970 8,712 sqft lot Est $205k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Solid investment opportunity. Regularly maintained DUPLEX, 2-Family Property with 2 Bedrooms and 1 Bathroom in each unit. Both sides feature: laundry hookups, gas oven/range, refrigerator, storm doors, double pane insulated windows, vinyl blinds, easy-care shower walls, recent interior painting, smoke alarms, HVAC units that are in clean/serviceable condition. LEFT side (3914) capable of renting for $1,250 based on neighboring rental properties renting at that rate which are in comparable condition and same/similar floor plan/location. RIGHT side (3912) is occupied by a LONG-TERM Tenant of 24+ years! DO NOT DISTURB this Tenant! Their Unit can be viewed after under contract during Buyer's op

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1970
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Accessible features and green energy-efficient doors and lighting
  • Financial info: Property listed as residential income; Total of 2 units in the building; 1 of the units currently leased; Owner pays insurance, sewer, taxes, and water; Lease considered
  • HOA & community: Community street lighting

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway and off-street parking; Asphalt surfaces; Has carport
  • Security: Smoke detectors installed
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Single-phase electric; Cable and phone connected
  • Home design: Residential income property (2-4 units); Duplex / 2-unit building; One level; Accessible central living area; Reinforced floors
  • Construction: Mixed construction: brick, frame, concrete with asphalt elements; Architectural shingle and asbestos shingle roof options; Slab foundation; Year built source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: Private entrance; Level lot; Near public transit; Street lights in the community; No patio/porch; No pool; No fencing; No other structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Refrigerator; Pantry access
  • Bedrooms: Main and upper level bedrooms not applicable (no bedrooms listed for those levels); Property contains 2 units (mix of 2-bedroom unit types across the building)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Main and upper level bathrooms not applicable (no bathrooms listed for those levels); 1 bathroom in typical unit type
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry; Double-pane windows with screens
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in hall on main level; Accessible washer/dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $313/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 6.5% in St. Ann — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kratz Elem. (math 9% / reading 25%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 538 students, 99% FRL); Ritenour Sr. High (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,873 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,452/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 782% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $84k; list at $200k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $200,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.05%
Cash-on-cash
13.43%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,275
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9956 Sue Ct 0.26mi 4/2.0 1,862 (+4%) 17mo $199,900 $107 66
4028 Esseldale Dr 0.29mi 4/2.0 1,911 (+7%) 12mo $229,995 $120 65
4064 Esseldale Dr 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,584 (-11%) 11mo $184,900 $117 56
4059 Esseldale Dr 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,911 (+7%) 21mo $220,000 $115 56
4063 Esseldale Dr 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,911 (+7%) 21mo $220,000 $115 55
4036 Esseldale Dr 0.30mi 4/2.0 1,911 (+7%) 22mo $199,900 $105 55
4055 Esseldale Dr 0.31mi 4/2.0 1,911 (+7%) 24mo $220,000 $115 54
9983 - 9985 Fox Hall Ct 0.40mi 4/2.0 1,560 (-13%) 8mo $129,900 $83 54
10724 Tropic Dr 0.63mi 4/2.0 1,656 (-7%) 17mo $195,000 $118 44
11216 Liana Ln 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,560 (-13%) 7mo $185,000 $119 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$10,339
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$72,312
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63074

Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
13.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,452 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,139/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$515
Net cashflow
$627

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,659
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $740 -5% $683 +0% $627 +5% $570 +10% $513
Rent -10% $433 -5% $530 +0% $627 +5% $723 +10% $820
Rate -1.0pp $727 -0.5pp $678 base $627 +0.5pp $575 +1.0pp $522

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,452

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4204 Beauty Ln Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.5 1299 $1,690 $1.30 44d 1 0.70mi
9457 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1472 $1,530 $1.04 22d 1 0.78mi
4400 Gordon Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 4d 1 1.09mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $200,000 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $200,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $200,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,139 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,139 · $178/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,424
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$2,139
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,354
− Management
−$2,354
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable income
$4,555
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,093
After-tax cash flow
$6,426/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ritenour
NCES district ID
2926640
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,410
Composite
17.04/100
National rank
#9125
State rank
#304 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Ann

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Ann, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
16,237
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
15,793
Household income
$51,610
Rent vs Own
46.6% rent · 53.4% own
Severe rent burden
782.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 17% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -242.89%
Current HPI
210.6588
Rent YoY
▲ 4.14%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+181.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Coming Soon $200,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $83,800 Public Records
  • 2000-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
  • 1985-07-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2022): $2,139 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…