Duplex
3912-3914 Wright Ave · St. Ann, MO
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Solid investment opportunity. Regularly maintained DUPLEX, 2-Family Property with 2 Bedrooms and 1 Bathroom in each unit. Both sides feature: laundry hookups, gas oven/range, refrigerator, storm doors, double pane insulated windows, vinyl blinds, easy-care shower walls, recent interior painting, smoke alarms, HVAC units that are in clean/serviceable condition. LEFT side (3914) capable of renting for $1,250 based on neighboring rental properties renting at that rate which are in comparable condition and same/similar floor plan/location. RIGHT side (3912) is occupied by a LONG-TERM Tenant of 24+ years! DO NOT DISTURB this Tenant! Their Unit can be viewed after under contract during Buyer's op
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1970
- Listed 8 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Accessible features and green energy-efficient doors and lighting
- Financial info: Property listed as residential income; Total of 2 units in the building; 1 of the units currently leased; Owner pays insurance, sewer, taxes, and water; Lease considered
- HOA & community: Community street lighting
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway and off-street parking; Asphalt surfaces; Has carport
- Security: Smoke detectors installed
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Single-phase electric; Cable and phone connected
- Home design: Residential income property (2-4 units); Duplex / 2-unit building; One level; Accessible central living area; Reinforced floors
- Construction: Mixed construction: brick, frame, concrete with asphalt elements; Architectural shingle and asbestos shingle roof options; Slab foundation; Year built source: Assessor
- Exterior features: Private entrance; Level lot; Near public transit; Street lights in the community; No patio/porch; No pool; No fencing; No other structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Refrigerator; Pantry access
- Bedrooms: Main and upper level bedrooms not applicable (no bedrooms listed for those levels); Property contains 2 units (mix of 2-bedroom unit types across the building)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Main and upper level bathrooms not applicable (no bathrooms listed for those levels); 1 bathroom in typical unit type
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry; Double-pane windows with screens
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in hall on main level; Accessible washer/dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $313/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 6.5% in St. Ann — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kratz Elem. (math 9% / reading 25%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 538 students, 99% FRL); Ritenour Sr. High (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,873 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,452/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 782% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $84k; list at $200k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.43%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $205,275
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9956 Sue Ct | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 | 1,862 (+4%) | 17mo | $199,900 | $107 | 66 |
| 4028 Esseldale Dr | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,911 (+7%) | 12mo | $229,995 | $120 | 65 |
| 4064 Esseldale Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,584 (-11%) | 11mo | $184,900 | $117 | 56 |
| 4059 Esseldale Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,911 (+7%) | 21mo | $220,000 | $115 | 56 |
| 4063 Esseldale Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,911 (+7%) | 21mo | $220,000 | $115 | 55 |
| 4036 Esseldale Dr | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 1,911 (+7%) | 22mo | $199,900 | $105 | 55 |
| 4055 Esseldale Dr | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 1,911 (+7%) | 24mo | $220,000 | $115 | 54 |
| 9983 - 9985 Fox Hall Ct | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 1,560 (-13%) | 8mo | $129,900 | $83 | 54 |
| 10724 Tropic Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 1,656 (-7%) | 17mo | $195,000 | $118 | 44 |
| 11216 Liana Ln | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,560 (-13%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $119 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $10,339
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $72,312
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63074
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 13.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,452 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$178 /mo · $2,139/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$515
- Net cashflow
- $627
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $740 | -5% $683 | +0% $627 | +5% $570 | +10% $513 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $433 | -5% $530 | +0% $627 | +5% $723 | +10% $820 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $727 | -0.5pp $678 | base $627 | +0.5pp $575 | +1.0pp $522 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,452 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,226 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,226 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,452 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4204 Beauty Ln Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1299 | $1,690 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 9457 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1472 | $1,530 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4400 Gordon Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18status $200,000 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $200,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$200,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,139 · $178/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,139 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,424
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,139
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,354
- − Management
- −$2,354
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $4,555
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,093
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ritenour
- NCES district ID
- 2926640
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,410
- Composite
- 17.04/100
- National rank
- #9125
- State rank
- #304 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Ann
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Ann, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 16,237
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,793
- Household income
- $51,610
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 782.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 17% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -242.89%
- Current HPI
- 210.6588
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.14%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+181.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Coming Soon $200,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $83,800 Public Records
- 2000-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 1985-07-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2022): $2,139 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…