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71 Osgood Ave Duplex
B- Composite 65.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$499,000

71 Osgood Ave · New York, NY 10304
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,084 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1940 3,000 sqft lot Est $596k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Short sale subject to third-party bank approval. Cash offers only. Drive-by only — no interior access. Property is being sold as-is with all existing violations. Legal two-family currently being utilized as an SRO (single room occupancy) and is occupied.

Key facts

  • 3,000 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 28 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Annual tax information not included per instructions
  • Financial info: Two-unit property

Exterior

  • Parking: No attached garage
  • Utilities: Electric: 110V; Water and sewer: (not specified)
  • Home design: 3-story multifamily building; Approximately 1,100 building area total; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Year built: Approximate; Property condition: Poor
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.07 acres (about 3,000 sq ft); Lot dimensions about 25 x 120; Zoned R3A

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms (level 1); Unit 2: 2 bedrooms (level 2)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas hot water heating
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $499k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $929 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $465/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $499k).
  • Recommended offer: $492k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,120/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 2401% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($492k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $121k; list at $499k implies a 312% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $491,515 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.53%
Cash-on-cash
7.98%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$596,200
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
174 Pine Pl 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-8%) 12mo $550,000 $550 56
273 Clifton Ave 0.73mi 3/4.0 (-1) 1,200 (+11%) 3mo $655,000 $546 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-26,955
Equity at exit
$74,403
10-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$31,507
Equity at exit
$43,144

Cash invested: $139,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10304

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
16.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,120 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,617
Tax from tax record
$291 /mo · $3,490/yr
Insurance
$208
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,075
Net cashflow
$929

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,944
Max offer price $499,000
Occupancy floor 77%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$124,750
Closing costs
$14,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21 Susan Ct Staten Island, NY 3.0 2.5 900 $3,400 $3.78 24d 1 0.30mi
305 Osgood Ave Unit 2 Staten Island, NY 3.0 2.0 1300 $3,200 $2.46 24d 1 0.46mi
97 Greenfield Ave Staten Island, NY 3.0 2.5 1254 $3,400 $2.71 24d 1 0.49mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $499,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $499,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $499,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $499,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $499,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $499,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $499,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $499,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $499,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $499,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $499,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $499,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $499,000 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-21
    listed $499,000 Active
  15. 2021-02-04
    status Pending
  16. 2019-11-27
    historical
  17. 2019-11-27
    historical
  18. 2019-11-25
    listed $99,999 Active
  19. 2019-06-21
    historical
  20. 2019-06-05
    status Active
  21. 2019-04-17
    historical
  22. 2019-02-05
    listed $349,000 Active
  23. 1996-03-21
    soldstatus $121,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,490 · $291/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,962 · $497/mo
Expected delta
+$2,472/yr (+$206/mo · 70.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$61,440
− Mortgage interest
−$27,952
− Property taxes
−$3,490
− Insurance
−$2,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,915
− Management
−$4,915
− Depreciation
−$14,516
Taxable income
$3,156
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$758
After-tax cash flow
$10,393/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Richmond County · 404,174 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
45,658
Household income
$71,561
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
2401.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
482,784 people
By 2030
481,831 · -0.2%
By 2040
473,159 · -2.0%
By 2050
457,242 · -5.3%
By 2075
408,029 · -15.5%
By 2100
341,459 · -29.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 24% Asian 13% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2% Swiss 2%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 16% Chinese 8% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -254.93%
Current HPI
346.7976
Rent YoY
▲ 1.99%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+312.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $499,000 SIBORMLS
  • 2021-02-04 Pending SIBORMLS
  • 2019-11-27 Listing Removed SIBORMLS
  • 2019-11-27 Listing Removed SIBORMLS
  • 2019-11-25 Listed $99,999 SIBORMLS
  • 2019-06-21 Listing Removed SIBORMLS
  • 2019-06-05 Relisted SIBORMLS
  • 2019-04-17 Listing Removed SIBORMLS
  • 2019-02-05 Listed $349,000 SIBORMLS
  • 1996-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,490 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…