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474 Kalynn Cir #19
D+ Composite 45.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$192,000

474 Kalynn Cir #19 · Fairborn, OH 45324
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily · 95 Days on market
Built 2025 Est $257k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Experience the Premier 55+ Lifestyle at park hills crossing. This newly constructed home offers a desirable, modern floor plan with a dream kitchen, complete with modern cabinets and abundant storage. The home's thoughtful design continues with an oversized primary bedroom, a convenient laundry room, attached 2-car garage and a spacious private patio to entertain or enjoy your morning coffee on. This home is your key to a richer life. The premier land lease community is centered around a spectacular clubhouse, a true extension of your home. Enjoy exclusive access to a billiards room, a fitness center, a quiet library, and expansive gathering areas with a big-screen tv, With multiple kitchens and a large outdoor patio, it’s perfectly designed for social events and community gatherings. This is your chance to become a part of something special. Contact us today to schedule a private tour before this home is gone and see why park hills crossing is the community you’ve been waiting for.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025
  • Listed 94 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Located in Park Hills Crossing, a 55+ senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Separate meters; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence (manufactured house); Residential property; Built in 2025
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block and slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch; Patio; Leased lot; Supplied water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom; Bedroom 1
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Ceiling fan(s); Partial window coverings; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $192k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (6.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.7% in Fairborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#374 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D+.
  • Fairborn City (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #520 of 656 in OH (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $157,117 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.91%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$257,152
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
479 Park Hills Xing #17 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,508 (-4%) 5mo $195,900 $130 88
441 Kalynn Cir #25 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,568 (0%) 7mo $160,000 $102 86
474 Kalynn Cir #19 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,404 (-10%) 1mo $192,000 $137 82
411 Kalynn Cir #30 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,493 (-5%) 2mo $230,900 $155 80
833 Savin Hill Ct 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,610 (+3%) 4mo $307,500 $191 69
462 Faculty Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,528 (-3%) 1mo $250,000 $164 56
829 Savin Hill Ct 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,595 (+2%) 23mo $265,000 $166 56
1943 Fraternity Ct 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,528 (-3%) 7mo $249,900 $164 50
440 Glenhaven Way Unit 754-201 0.68mi 2/2.0 1,483 (-5%) 12mo $294,900 $199 50
723 Hidden Valley Ct 0.41mi 2/2.5 1,740 (+11%) 16mo $202,900 $117 47
1990 Herky Pl 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,348 (-14%) 1mo $230,500 $171 39
2441 Dewpoint Cir 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,676 (+7%) 19mo $400,000 $239 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-32,077
Equity at exit
$28,628
10-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-15,466
Equity at exit
$16,601

Cash invested: $53,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45324

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,571 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,007
Tax est. 1.5%
$240 /mo · $2,880/yr
Insurance
$80
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$-86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,680
Max offer price $179,607
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $47 -5% $-19 +0% $-86 +5% $-152 +10% $-218
Rent -10% $-210 -5% $-148 +0% $-86 +5% $-24 +10% $38
Rate -1.0pp $11 -0.5pp $-37 base $-86 +0.5pp $-135 +1.0pp $-186

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,000
Closing costs
$5,760
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
427 Sycamore Dr Fairborn, OH 2.0 2.5 1397 $1,600 $1.15 19d 1 0.31mi
712 Hidden Valley Ct Fairborn, OH 2.0 2.5 1428 $1,325 $0.93 3d 1 0.38mi
454 Glenhaven Way Fairborn, OH 2.0 2.0 1311 $2,100 $1.60 3d 1 0.66mi
2394 New Germany Trebein Rd Unit 305 Beavercreek, OH 2.0 2.0 1098 $1,750 $1.59 3d 1 0.78mi
2250 Warbler Ln Fairborn, OH 2.0 2.0 1233 $1,906 $1.55 3d 12 0.93mi
2335 Long Vista Ln Fairborn, OH 2.0 2.0 1366 $1,732 $1.27 3d 11 1.00mi
55 Truman Dr Fairborn, OH 3.0 1.0 1354 $1,545 $1.14 44d 1 1.28mi
1678 Arden Bnd Fairborn, OH 3.0 2.5 1872 $2,400 $1.28 24d 1 1.42mi
1302 Hemmingway Dr Fairborn, OH 2.0 2.0 1098 $1,229 $1.12 14d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    days on market $192,000 Active 95 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $192,000 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $192,000 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $192,000 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $192,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-05-22
    soldstatus $192,000 Closed 1009-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1009 chars)

    Experience the Premier 55+ Lifestyle at park hills crossing. This newly constructed home offers a desirable, modern floor plan with a dream kitchen, complete with modern cabinets and abundant storage. The home's thoughtful design continues with an oversized primary bedroom, a convenient laundry room, attached 2-car garage and a spacious private patio to entertain or enjoy your morning coffee on. This home is your key to a richer life. The premier land lease community is centered around a spectacular clubhouse, a true extension of your home. Enjoy exclusive access to a billiards room, a fitness center, a quiet library, and expansive gathering areas with a big-screen tv, With multiple kitchens and a large outdoor patio, it’s perfectly designed for social events and community gatherings. This is your chance to become a part of something special. Contact us today to schedule a private tour before this home is gone and see why park hills crossing is the community you’ve been waiting for.

  7. 2026-04-29
    status Pending 1009-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1009 chars)

    Experience the Premier 55+ Lifestyle at park hills crossing. This newly constructed home offers a desirable, modern floor plan with a dream kitchen, complete with modern cabinets and abundant storage. The home's thoughtful design continues with an oversized primary bedroom, a convenient laundry room, attached 2-car garage and a spacious private patio to entertain or enjoy your morning coffee on. This home is your key to a richer life. The premier land lease community is centered around a spectacular clubhouse, a true extension of your home. Enjoy exclusive access to a billiards room, a fitness center, a quiet library, and expansive gathering areas with a big-screen tv, With multiple kitchens and a large outdoor patio, it’s perfectly designed for social events and community gatherings. This is your chance to become a part of something special. Contact us today to schedule a private tour before this home is gone and see why park hills crossing is the community you’ve been waiting for.

  8. 2026-04-17
    price $192,000
    Show marketing remark (1009 chars)

    Experience the Premier 55+ Lifestyle at park hills crossing. This newly constructed home offers a desirable, modern floor plan with a dream kitchen, complete with modern cabinets and abundant storage. The home's thoughtful design continues with an oversized primary bedroom, a convenient laundry room, attached 2-car garage and a spacious private patio to entertain or enjoy your morning coffee on. This home is your key to a richer life. The premier land lease community is centered around a spectacular clubhouse, a true extension of your home. Enjoy exclusive access to a billiards room, a fitness center, a quiet library, and expansive gathering areas with a big-screen tv, With multiple kitchens and a large outdoor patio, it’s perfectly designed for social events and community gatherings. This is your chance to become a part of something special. Contact us today to schedule a private tour before this home is gone and see why park hills crossing is the community you’ve been waiting for.

  9. 2026-04-17
    price $192,000 1009-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1009 chars)

    Experience the Premier 55+ Lifestyle at park hills crossing. This newly constructed home offers a desirable, modern floor plan with a dream kitchen, complete with modern cabinets and abundant storage. The home's thoughtful design continues with an oversized primary bedroom, a convenient laundry room, attached 2-car garage and a spacious private patio to entertain or enjoy your morning coffee on. This home is your key to a richer life. The premier land lease community is centered around a spectacular clubhouse, a true extension of your home. Enjoy exclusive access to a billiards room, a fitness center, a quiet library, and expansive gathering areas with a big-screen tv, With multiple kitchens and a large outdoor patio, it’s perfectly designed for social events and community gatherings. This is your chance to become a part of something special. Contact us today to schedule a private tour before this home is gone and see why park hills crossing is the community you’ve been waiting for.

  10. 2025-12-22
    price $195,900 1009-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1009 chars)

    Experience the Premier 55+ Lifestyle at park hills crossing. This newly constructed home offers a desirable, modern floor plan with a dream kitchen, complete with modern cabinets and abundant storage. The home's thoughtful design continues with an oversized primary bedroom, a convenient laundry room, attached 2-car garage and a spacious private patio to entertain or enjoy your morning coffee on. This home is your key to a richer life. The premier land lease community is centered around a spectacular clubhouse, a true extension of your home. Enjoy exclusive access to a billiards room, a fitness center, a quiet library, and expansive gathering areas with a big-screen tv, With multiple kitchens and a large outdoor patio, it’s perfectly designed for social events and community gatherings. This is your chance to become a part of something special. Contact us today to schedule a private tour before this home is gone and see why park hills crossing is the community you’ve been waiting for.

  11. 2025-10-24
    listed $205,900 Active 1009-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1009 chars)

    Experience the Premier 55+ Lifestyle at park hills crossing. This newly constructed home offers a desirable, modern floor plan with a dream kitchen, complete with modern cabinets and abundant storage. The home's thoughtful design continues with an oversized primary bedroom, a convenient laundry room, attached 2-car garage and a spacious private patio to entertain or enjoy your morning coffee on. This home is your key to a richer life. The premier land lease community is centered around a spectacular clubhouse, a true extension of your home. Enjoy exclusive access to a billiards room, a fitness center, a quiet library, and expansive gathering areas with a big-screen tv, With multiple kitchens and a large outdoor patio, it’s perfectly designed for social events and community gatherings. This is your chance to become a part of something special. Contact us today to schedule a private tour before this home is gone and see why park hills crossing is the community you’ve been waiting for.

  12. 2025-10-24
    listed $195,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (1009 chars)

    Experience the Premier 55+ Lifestyle at park hills crossing. This newly constructed home offers a desirable, modern floor plan with a dream kitchen, complete with modern cabinets and abundant storage. The home's thoughtful design continues with an oversized primary bedroom, a convenient laundry room, attached 2-car garage and a spacious private patio to entertain or enjoy your morning coffee on. This home is your key to a richer life. The premier land lease community is centered around a spectacular clubhouse, a true extension of your home. Enjoy exclusive access to a billiards room, a fitness center, a quiet library, and expansive gathering areas with a big-screen tv, With multiple kitchens and a large outdoor patio, it’s perfectly designed for social events and community gatherings. This is your chance to become a part of something special. Contact us today to schedule a private tour before this home is gone and see why park hills crossing is the community you’ve been waiting for.

  13. 2024-08-22
    historical 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Welcome to 474 Kalynn Cir - a brand-new construction nestled in the premier senior community of Park Hills Crossing. This single-family residence is designed for comfort and convenience, tailored specifically for 55+ residents. This spacious 3-bed/2 bedroom and a den, 2-bath ranch-style home offers comfortable living with modern amenities. Enjoy the open concept living room and a kitchen perfect for entertaining. Retreat to the primary suite with walk-in closet and en-suite bath. Outside, relax on the covered front porch or side patio area. Community Amenities: Access to a 5000 sq. ft. clubhouse with a workout room, billiard room, party room, and an outdoor patio with new furniture. With a $450/month land lease, this low-maintenance lifestyle awaits! June/July Special: 6 month land lease promo! For the 1st 6 months, Park Hills Crossing/Brightstar Communities will wave the $450 land lease with purchase of a new home. A total savings of $2,700!!

  14. 2024-05-24
    listed $184,000 Active 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Welcome to 474 Kalynn Cir - a brand-new construction nestled in the premier senior community of Park Hills Crossing. This single-family residence is designed for comfort and convenience, tailored specifically for 55+ residents. This spacious 3-bed/2 bedroom and a den, 2-bath ranch-style home offers comfortable living with modern amenities. Enjoy the open concept living room and a kitchen perfect for entertaining. Retreat to the primary suite with walk-in closet and en-suite bath. Outside, relax on the covered front porch or side patio area. Community Amenities: Access to a 5000 sq. ft. clubhouse with a workout room, billiard room, party room, and an outdoor patio with new furniture. With a $450/month land lease, this low-maintenance lifestyle awaits! June/July Special: 6 month land lease promo! For the 1st 6 months, Park Hills Crossing/Brightstar Communities will wave the $450 land lease with purchase of a new home. A total savings of $2,700!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,854
− Mortgage interest
−$10,755
− Property taxes
−$2,880
− Insurance
−$960
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,508
− Management
−$1,508
− Depreciation
−$5,585
Taxable loss
−$4,343
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,042
After-tax cash flow
$15/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairborn City
NCES district ID
3904396
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$45,091
Composite
36.05/100
National rank
#4772
State rank
#520 of 656 in OH

Livability — Fairborn

Score
72/100
State rank
#374
US rank
#6101

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairborn, OH
County
Greene County · 132,120 people
City population
41,194
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
41,194
Household income
$64,979
Rent vs Own
47.2% rent · 52.8% own
Severe rent burden
1472.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
170,301 people
By 2030
171,840 · +0.9%
By 2040
171,408 · +0.7%
By 2050
167,806 · -1.5%
By 2075
154,430 · -9.3%
By 2100
138,669 · -18.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -157.48%
Current HPI
228.0801
Rent YoY
▲ 5.75%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $192,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $192,000 WRIST
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $192,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-12-22 Price Changed $195,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $195,900 WRIST
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $205,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2024-08-22 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2024-05-24 Listed $184,000 Cincy MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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