7404 187th Street Ct E #43 · Frederickson, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$76,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath manufactured home located in an all-ages community in Puyallup. Offering comfortable living space with a functional layout, this home features a bright living area, spacious kitchen with ample cabinet storage, and a primary bedroom with convenient half bath. Enjoy outdoor space for relaxing, gardening, or entertaining, along with covered parking and additional storage potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, parks, and JBLM with easy access to major commuter routes. A great opportunity for affordable homeownership in a desirable location.
Key facts
- Bright living area
- Covered parking
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Land lease amount applies
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash
- HOA & community: Located in Woodland Estates mobile park; Park approved for sale; Approximately 51 homes in the park; Land lease payment applies
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water (park billed by Washington Water); Septic (park maintained); Electric power (Tacoma Public Utilities); Cable: Xfinity; Internet: Xfinity; Electric energy source
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One level; Mobile home remains; Made by COMMADORE, model Clipper; Good condition; Tie-down foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Wood construction
- Exterior features: Wood products exterior; Patio/porch/deck; Dead-end street; Paved access
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 bathtub; 1 shower
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Forced air cooling; Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Entry; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Electric fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $76k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.4% vs local median 3.5% in Frederickson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#197 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Bethel School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #103 of 291 in WA (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pioneer Valley Elementary (512 students, 51% FRL); Graham Kapowsin High School (2,011 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 89.72%
- DSCR
- 4.99
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $328,496
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19714 68th Ave E | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-8%) | 12mo | $301,900 | $419 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 90.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.16×
- Total profit
- $88,472
- Equity at exit
- $11,332
- IRR
- 93.0%
- Equity multiple
- 10.65×
- Total profit
- $205,283
- Equity at exit
- $6,571
Cash invested: $21,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98375
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,595 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$399
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $342/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$545
- Net cashflow
- $1,591
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,000
- Closing costs
- $2,280
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17814 75th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $2,295 | $2.16 | 20d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 7513 177th Street Ct E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1243 | $2,940 | $2.37 | 10d | 7 | 0.67mi |
| 17718 85th Avenue Ct E Unit 17718-C Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 916 | $1,525 | $1.66 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 9202 176th St E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 824 | $1,960 | $2.38 | 1d | 7 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $76,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $76,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $76,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $76,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $76,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $76,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $76,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $76,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $76,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $76,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $76,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $76,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $76,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $76,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$76,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $342 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $745 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$403/yr (+$34/mo · 118.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,136
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,257
- − Property taxes
- −$342
- − Insurance
- −$380
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,491
- − Management
- −$2,491
- − Depreciation
- −$2,211
- Taxable income
- $18,964
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,551
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,541/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethel School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300480
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,872
- Composite
- 48.66/100
- National rank
- #4568
- State rank
- #103 of 291 in WA
Livability — Frederickson
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #5426
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Frederickson, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- City population
- 32,195
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,187
- Household income
- $117,074
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 541.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Two or more races 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 8% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -189.98%
- Current HPI
- 285.0074
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.79%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $76,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2026): $342 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…