36 Teaberry Ln · Ezel, KY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MOTIVATED SELLER!! You can't beat this price!! Check out this perfect getaway or full time residence! Ranch cabin with three bedrooms and one full bath. Full kitchen with dishwasher. Front living room with approx 13x28 family room off the back of home overlooking the woods. The home sits on a spacious 0.46 acre lot with large carport. Fully covered front porch and partially covered side deck for your enjoyment listening to the rain fall on the metal roof. Approx 16 miles from Morehead. The new Dollar Store is minutes away. And your choice of boats ramps within 4-10 miles to enjoy Cave Run Lake. Plan a day at the Red River Gorge which is nearby! This would also be a great location for an ABN
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Full kitchen
- Spacious lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Cable available; Natural gas not available; Water connected
- Home design: Cabin-style property; Single-story
- Construction: Metal roof; Wood siding; Block foundation; Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Wooded lot with many trees; Chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Propane tank (leased); Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Fireplace; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.4% in Ezel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#375 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Menifee County (rural): math 21% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #113 of 165 in KY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Menifee Central School (662 students, 82% FRL); Menifee County High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #158 of 254 statewide, top 68%, 287 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 64% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Menifee County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $100k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.98%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,186
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -44.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,556
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $24,070
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40387
- Home prices YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,094 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $233/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $279
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $336 | -5% $308 | +0% $279 | +5% $251 | +10% $223 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $193 | -5% $236 | +0% $279 | +5% $323 | +10% $366 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $330 | -0.5pp $305 | base $279 | +0.5pp $253 | +1.0pp $227 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-14price $99,900 765-char remark
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2026-05-04price $109,000 765-char remark
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2026-04-22historical
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2026-04-22status Active
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2026-04-21$119,000 Active 765-char remark
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2026-04-20historical
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2026-04-03price $119,000
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2026-03-06price $129,900
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2026-01-14price $135,000
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2025-10-20$145,000 Active
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2020-10-06soldstatus $65,000
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2007-08-01soldstatus $53,000
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1998-12-01soldstatus $20,500
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1994-04-01soldstatus $7,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $233 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $859 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$626/yr (+$52/mo · 269.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,128
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$233
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,050
- − Management
- −$1,050
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $1,793
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$430
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,922/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Menifee County
- NCES district ID
- 2104080
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,414
- Composite
- 24.86/100
- National rank
- #7587
- State rank
- #113 of 165 in KY
Livability — Ezel
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #375
- US rank
- #17739
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,805
Population outlook (Menifee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,403 people
- By 2030
- 6,264 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 5,790 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 5,037 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 3,738 · -41.6%
- By 2100
- 2,519 · -60.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Menifee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.7) · D 20.2% · R 77.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -62.6pp toward R · 2008: 4.9pp · 2024: -57.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.7 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+47.1 2012: R+16.8 2008: D+4.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.58%
- Current HPI
- 215.8197
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+1232.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $99,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $109,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $99,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $119,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $119,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $129,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $135,000 ImagineMLS
- 2025-10-20 Listed $145,000 ImagineMLS
- 2020-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2007-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1998-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records
- 1994-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-8.1%/yrLatest (2023): $233 · -24.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…