514 Grant St · Saegertown, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming home in the heart of Saegertown offering timeless character w/ thoughtful updates & a warm feel throughout. Hardwood floors flow throughout much of the home, creating a rich backdrop for everyday living & entertaining alike. The updated kitchen features beautiful oak cabinetry, neutral countertops, eat-in island & an inviting layout that balances function w/ comfort. A spacious bathroom offers room to unwind, while distinctive glass block details in the hallway & bath bring in natural light while maintaining privacy. Set in a convenient in-town location close to local shops, dining & community amenities, this residence delivers a sense of durability, c
Key facts
- Oak cabinetry
- Eat-in island
- In-town location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Total 2 parking spaces (1 garage space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; R-2 zoning
- Construction: Built with block and vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Outbuilding; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Gas fireplace; Exterior-entry unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#446 in PA, #4,065 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Penncrest SD (rural): math 31% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #348 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.93%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $256,250
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19206 Pa-198 Hwy | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,288 (+3%) | 13mo | $230,000 | $179 | 51 |
| 19178 Reservoir Rd | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+8%) | 9mo | $276,000 | $205 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.74×
- Total profit
- $61,421
- Equity at exit
- $72,070
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.46×
- Total profit
- $167,034
- Equity at exit
- $155,422
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16433
- Home prices YoY
- 30.7%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,163 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,576/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $279
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $80,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 679-char remark
-
2026-06-12$80,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,576 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,576 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,958
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,576
- − Insurance
- −$1,066
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,117
- − Management
- −$1,117
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $2,274
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$546
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,804/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Penncrest SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218740
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,927
- Composite
- 34.64/100
- National rank
- #5146
- State rank
- #348 of 539 in PA
Livability — Saegertown
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #446
- US rank
- #4065
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saegertown, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,935
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,399 people
- By 2030
- 77,977 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 70,659 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 63,841 · -21.6%
- By 2075
- 50,198 · -38.3%
- By 2100
- 37,898 · -53.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -39.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.2 2020: R+37.2 2016: R+38.5 2012: R+19.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 77.72%
- Current HPI
- 330.9946
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $80,000 GEBOR
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,576 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…