307 Ray City · Adel, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
REGULAR PRICE: $74,000 | OWN IT NOW: $69,000! Brand-New 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home - Move-In Ready! Don't miss this limited-time opportunity to own a brand-new manufactured home at an unbeatable value. Perfect for first-time homebuyers, families, or anyone looking for affordable homeownership, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern design, comfort, and functionality - all at a price that's often less than renting Enjoy the convenience of on-site parking and a move-in-ready home that requires no renovations or updates - just bring your belongings and settle in. Limited-Time "Own It Now" Price: $69,000 Home Features: ✔ 3 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ Open-Concept Kitchen & Spacious Living Area ✔ Private Primary Suite ✔ Generous Closet Space in All Bedrooms ✔ On-Site Parking ✔ Brand-New Manufactured Home Financing Available: Monthly Payment as low as $964.30 * * * (Includes estimated lot rent, taxes & insurance) Flexible financing options available for qualified buyers This is your chance to secure affordable homeownership in a growing community with low monthly payments and minimal upfront cost. Homes at this price point and condition do not last long - schedule your private tour today and take the first step toward owning your new home!
Key facts
- Built 2025
- Listed 205 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $74k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $74k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.4% in Adel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#105 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Cook County (rural): math 29% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #111 of 174 in GA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 47 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cook County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.27%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-1,781
- Equity at exit
- $11,034
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $11,631
- Equity at exit
- $6,398
Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31620
- Home prices YoY
- -15.1%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$388
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$92 /mo · $1,110/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $160
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,500
- Closing costs
- $2,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1022 S Gordon Ave Adel, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $850 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $74,000 Active 206 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $74,000 Active 205 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $74,000 Active 204 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $74,000 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $74,000 Active 202 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $74,000 Active 200 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $74,000 Active 199 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $74,000 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $74,000 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $74,000 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $74,000 Active 192 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $74,000 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $74,000 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $74,000 Active 188 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $74,000 Active 187 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $74,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-02-12price $74,000 1297-char remark
Show marketing remark (1297 chars)
REGULAR PRICE: $74,000 | OWN IT NOW: $69,000! Brand-New 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home - Move-In Ready! Don't miss this limited-time opportunity to own a brand-new manufactured home at an unbeatable value. Perfect for first-time homebuyers, families, or anyone looking for affordable homeownership, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern design, comfort, and functionality - all at a price that's often less than renting Enjoy the convenience of on-site parking and a move-in-ready home that requires no renovations or updates - just bring your belongings and settle in. Limited-Time "Own It Now" Price: $69,000 Home Features: ✔ 3 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ Open-Concept Kitchen & Spacious Living Area ✔ Private Primary Suite ✔ Generous Closet Space in All Bedrooms ✔ On-Site Parking ✔ Brand-New Manufactured Home Financing Available: Monthly Payment as low as $964.30 * * * (Includes estimated lot rent, taxes & insurance) Flexible financing options available for qualified buyers This is your chance to secure affordable homeownership in a growing community with low monthly payments and minimal upfront cost. Homes at this price point and condition do not last long - schedule your private tour today and take the first step toward owning your new home!
-
2025-11-25$65,999 Active 1297-char remark
Show marketing remark (1297 chars)
REGULAR PRICE: $74,000 | OWN IT NOW: $69,000! Brand-New 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home - Move-In Ready! Don't miss this limited-time opportunity to own a brand-new manufactured home at an unbeatable value. Perfect for first-time homebuyers, families, or anyone looking for affordable homeownership, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern design, comfort, and functionality - all at a price that's often less than renting Enjoy the convenience of on-site parking and a move-in-ready home that requires no renovations or updates - just bring your belongings and settle in. Limited-Time "Own It Now" Price: $69,000 Home Features: ✔ 3 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ Open-Concept Kitchen & Spacious Living Area ✔ Private Primary Suite ✔ Generous Closet Space in All Bedrooms ✔ On-Site Parking ✔ Brand-New Manufactured Home Financing Available: Monthly Payment as low as $964.30 * * * (Includes estimated lot rent, taxes & insurance) Flexible financing options available for qualified buyers This is your chance to secure affordable homeownership in a growing community with low monthly payments and minimal upfront cost. Homes at this price point and condition do not last long - schedule your private tour today and take the first step toward owning your new home!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,145
- − Property taxes
- −$1,110
- − Insurance
- −$370
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$816
- − Management
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$2,153
- Taxable income
- $790
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$190
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,732/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This brand-new manufactured home is move-in ready with modern design and excellent condition. It offers a good return on investment with minimal updates needed to maximize its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
- Both Adding a smart home system — A smart home system can improve convenience and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to more modern or energy-efficient appliances can increase the home's value and appeal to a wider range of buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Adding a smart home system — A smart home system can improve convenience and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to more modern or energy-efficient appliances can increase the home's value and appeal to a wider range of buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cook County
- NCES district ID
- 1301470
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,135
- Composite
- 23.14/100
- National rank
- #7951
- State rank
- #111 of 174 in GA
Livability — Adel
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #8186
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Adel, GA
- City population
- 11,199
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,199
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,984 people
- By 2030
- 16,800 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 16,343 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 15,696 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 13,451 · -20.8%
- By 2100
- 10,357 · -39.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.5) · D 26.6% · R 73.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -46.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.5 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.58%
- Current HPI
- 222.35
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+12.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $74,000 Zillow
- 2025-11-25 Listed $65,999 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…