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172 Baker St Duplex
D- Composite 38.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$672,000

172 Baker St · Providence, RI 02905
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,552 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2022 5,054 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Welcome to 172 Baker Street, a beautiful two-family home built in 2022, offering modern design and exceptional investment potential. Each spacious unit features 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and an open-concept layout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, recessed lighting, tiled bathrooms, and primary suites with en-suite baths and double closets. Additional highlights include central heat and air conditioning, separate utilities, a rear deck, a decorative black iron fence, and a double-sided driveway with parking for plenty vehicles. The walkout basement offers excellent ADU or expansion potential, subject to local approvals. Conveniently loca

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Recessed lighting
  • Investment potential

Tags

INVESTMENT POTENTIALOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTSHAKER-STYLE CABINETRYQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESRECESSED LIGHTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 5,054 sq ft (0.116 acre)
  • Financial info: Property configured as a two-unit multifamily; Each unit is approximately 1,276 sq ft; Each unit shows actual rent of $2,400 (current data); To be delivered vacant

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Room for 6 vehicles (total parking spaces: 6)
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Public sewer (connected); 100 amp electric service; Sewer and water assessments apply
  • Home design: Two-story building; Single building containing two residential units
  • Construction: Drywall and vinyl siding exterior; Built with conventional foundation (basement present)
  • Exterior features: Paved driveway; Fenced yard; Zoned R2

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two 4-bedroom units (each unit to be delivered vacant)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms total (two full bathrooms in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic; Tub with shower; Unfinished full basement with both interior and exterior entry; 2,552 above-grade finished living area
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $672k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-540/yr) — negative. Per door: $-23/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $664k (1.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $527k (21.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $527k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.2% in Providence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in RI, #794 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F.
  • Providence (urban): math 8% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #34 of 39 in RI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,267/mo this rent would consume 100% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 1220% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $526,700 (21.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.29%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-109,555
Equity at exit
$100,197
10-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-89,943
Equity at exit
$58,102

Cash invested: $188,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
31 Tenant-Leaning
State Rhode Island
31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; strong tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 02905

Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
21.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,267 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,524
Tax from tax record
$402 /mo · $4,823/yr
Insurance
$280
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,106
Net cashflow
$-45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,324
Max offer price $664,046
Occupancy floor 96%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,267

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$168,000
Closing costs
$20,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $672,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $672,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $672,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $672,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $672,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,823 · $402/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,888 · $657/mo
Expected delta
+$3,065/yr (+$255/mo · 63.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$63,204
− Mortgage interest
−$37,642
− Property taxes
−$4,823
− Insurance
−$3,360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,056
− Management
−$5,056
− Depreciation
−$19,549
Taxable loss
−$12,283
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,948
After-tax cash flow
$2,408/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Providence
NCES district ID
4400900
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$38,197
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9803
State rank
#34 of 39 in RI

Livability — Providence

Score
84/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#794

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Providence, RI
County
Providence County · 548,917 people
City population
212,734
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
Population (ZIP)
25,012
Household income
$62,908
Rent vs Own
50.3% rent · 49.7% own
Severe rent burden
1220.0

Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
653,469 people
By 2030
660,819 · +1.1%
By 2040
672,747 · +3.0%
By 2050
683,741 · +4.6%
By 2075
720,435 · +10.2%
By 2100
741,582 · +13.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 41% White 38% Black 15% Two or more races 15% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 30%
Common ancestry
Russian 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, China
Languages at home
57% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Providence

2024 margin
D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -396.84%
Current HPI
387.2525
Rent YoY
▲ 3.45%
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.25%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $672,000 RIS

Property tax history

+42.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,823 · -41.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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