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6620 301st Street Ct S
C Composite 59.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$244,950

6620 301st Street Ct S · Roy, WA 98580
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1982 1.00 ac lot Est $439k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 Manufactureds on 1 lot! Nestled in the peaceful countryside of Roy, this property at 6620 301st St Ct S offers the perfect blend of privacy and rural charm while still being within convenient reach of nearby amenities. Enjoy easy access to local schools, shopping, and dining in the surrounding areas, with a straightforward commute to Tacoma and Joint Base Lewis-McChord. The spacious setting provides plenty of room for outdoor living, gardening, or recreational use, making it ideal for those seeking a quieter lifestyle. Surrounded by natural beauty, this location is perfect for enjoying the Pacific Northwest’s scenic landscapes. A great opportunity to own a slice of tranquility witho

Key facts

  • Commute to tacoma
  • Spacious setting
  • Outdoor living

Tags

EASY ACCESS TO LOCAL SCHOOLSEASY ACCESS TO SHOPPINGEASY ACCESS TO DININGCOMMUTE TO TACOMASPACIOUS SETTINGOUTDOOR LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R10 (county jurisdiction)
  • Financial info: Financing available: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA

Exterior

  • Parking: RV parking; No attached garage
  • Security: Fully fenced
  • Utilities: Electric service; Community water; Septic tank; Power provided by TPU
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide) on land; One story
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl siding; Metal roof; Built in 1982; Manufactured house (double wide)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Fully fenced yard; Outbuildings; RV parking; Garden space; Secluded site

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Forced air cooling
  • Interior features: Dining room; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $245k).
  • Recommended offer: $238k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.0% in Roy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#443 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Bethel School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #103 of 291 in WA (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Roy Elementary (306 students, 50% FRL); Bethel High School (1,739 students, 53% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $94k; list at $245k implies a 159% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $237,601 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.55%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$439,488
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
29614 64th Ave S 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (+4%) 12mo $389,500 $277 61
7108 294th St S 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+4%) 13mo $599,950 $427 58
29704 68th Ave S 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,507 (+12%) 11mo $415,000 $275 56
7103 294th St S 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,542 (+15%) 15mo $505,000 $327 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.7%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-19,473
Equity at exit
$36,523
10-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$9,080
Equity at exit
$21,179

Cash invested: $68,586 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98580

Home prices YoY
-17.1%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,468 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$246 /mo · $2,950/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$518
Net cashflow
$317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,066
Max offer price $244,950
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $456 -5% $387 +0% $317 +5% $248 +10% $179
Rent -10% $122 -5% $220 +0% $317 +5% $415 +10% $512
Rate -1.0pp $441 -0.5pp $380 base $317 +0.5pp $254 +1.0pp $189

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,238
Closing costs
$7,348
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $244,950 Pending 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    price $244,950 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,950 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,950 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,950 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,950 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,950 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,950 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,950 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,950 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-04-14
    listed $249,950 Active
  12. 2005-12-07
    soldstatus $94,500
  13. 2005-12-07
    soldstatus $94,500
  14. 2005-10-24
    listed $94,500
  15. 1998-04-03
    soldstatus $60,000
  16. 1983-04-27
    soldstatus $16,950
  17. 1980-11-01
    soldstatus $13,450
  18. 1978-10-03
    soldstatus $27,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,950 · $246/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,950 · $246/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,619
− Mortgage interest
−$13,721
− Property taxes
−$2,950
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,370
− Management
−$2,370
− Depreciation
−$7,126
Taxable loss
−$142
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$34
After-tax cash flow
$3,844/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bethel School District
NCES district ID
5300480
Math proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$65,872
Composite
48.66/100
National rank
#4568
State rank
#103 of 291 in WA

Livability — Roy

Score
61/100
State rank
#443
US rank
#18100

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,472

Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
956,648 people
By 2030
1,010,862 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,113,170 · +16.4%
By 2050
1,206,524 · +26.1%
By 2075
1,436,425 · +50.2%
By 2100
1,563,654 · +63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Italian 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pierce

2024 margin
D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.93%
Current HPI
344.1901
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+825.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $249,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $94,500 Public Records
  • 2005-12-07 Sold (MLS) $94,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-10-24 Listed $94,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 1983-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $16,950 Public Records
  • 1980-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,450 Public Records
  • 1978-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,950 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…