421 E Osage Ln Unit 1A · Palatine, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
First Floor Condo. Fire Place in living room. Walk in closet in Master bedroom.
Key facts
- Fire place
- Walk in closet
- $215 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: 6 units in the building; Living area source: Estimated; Directions: Rand Rd. north of Dundee, west on Spruce, straight to Osage
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $203; Association covers water, parking, insurance, exterior maintenance, lawn care, scavenger, and snow removal; Coin laundry onsite; Manager off-site; Pets allowed (cats and dogs); maximum pet weight listed as 999
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; Other parking features
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached single (condo); Condo ownership; Entry level: 1; Currently leased
- Construction: Brick construction; Estimated age: 51–60 years; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Common lot/grounds; School bus service; Interstate access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (master bedroom on main level); Additional bedrooms listed (Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Bedroom 4) — total bedrooms possible: 1
- Flooring: Laminate flooring in living room
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: 3 total rooms; Living room with laminate flooring; Dining room; Family room; Laundry room (common area); One fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in common area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-760/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (6.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (0.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.2% in Palatine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#92 in IL, #1,512 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-.
- Township Hsd 211 (urban): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #89 of 620 in IL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Palatine High School (math 26% / reading 29%, grade F, #215 of 693 statewide, top 31%, 2,652 students, 0% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Township Hsd 211 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.61%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-28,931
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-19,921
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60074
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,686 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,687/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$215
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $-63
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $32 | -5% $-15 | +0% $-63 | +5% $-111 | +10% $-159 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-197 | -5% $-130 | +0% $-63 | +5% $3 | +10% $70 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $22 | -0.5pp $-20 | base $-63 | +0.5pp $-107 | +1.0pp $-152 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1935 N Hicks Rd #106 Palatine, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,795 | $2.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 15B E Dundee Quarter Dr Unit 301 Palatine, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,550 | $2.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 125 W Dundee Rd Palatine, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 940 | $1,635 | $1.74 | 0d | 17 | 0.79mi |
| 9 E Dundee Quarter Dr Palatine, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,650 | $2.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2 E Dundee Quarter Dr Palatine, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,495 | $2.49 | 0d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1950 Cambridge Ct Palatine, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,630 | $1.97 | 7d | 9 | 1.02mi |
| 1 Renaissance Pl #104 Palatine, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1 Renaissance Pl #112 Palatine, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,650 | $2.26 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $215 · $2,580/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $169,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2015-03-10soldstatus $746,000
-
2007-06-22historical
-
2006-11-02
-
1988-11-23soldstatus $716,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,687 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,262 · $272/mo
- Expected delta
- +$575/yr (+$48/mo · 21.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,237
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$2,687
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,619
- − Management
- −$1,619
- − HOA
- −$2,580
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable loss
- −$3,496
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$839
- After-tax cash flow
- $79/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Township Hsd 211
- NCES district ID
- 1730450
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,942
- Composite
- 40.02/100
- National rank
- #3824
- State rank
- #89 of 620 in IL
Livability — Palatine
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #1512
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palatine, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 74,664
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,460
- Household income
- $84,089
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1468.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 31% Asian 8% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% French 2%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 26% Russian/Polish/Slavic 8% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -208.39%
- Current HPI
- 220.9425
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.35%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+4.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2015-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $746,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-22 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-02 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1988-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $716,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2023): $2,687 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…