883 N Rock Rose Ave · Sequim, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 83°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.2
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lightly lived in 3 bedroom 2 bath home in desirable Lavender meadows 55+ community. Open concept with lots of light coming in from the multitude of windows. Stainless steel appliances, island and pantry in the well designed kitchen. Dining room area is just off the kitchen. Spacious primary bedroom with ensuite bathroom, shower and plenty of counter top space. Laundry room off garage and back yard ready for your landscaping design. Experience pickle ball courts, horse shoe pits, bocce ball area, pocket parks, multiple dog parks and a club house all for residents use. Landscaped in the front and professionally cleaned, this home is move in ready! Come take a look. You'll be glad you did.
Key facts
- Horse shoe pits
- Bocce ball area
- Pickle ball courts
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $259k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-279 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (19.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (31.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.5% in Sequim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#245 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: employment D, amenities D-, commute F.
- Sequim School District (town): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #64 of 291 in WA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Helen Haller Elementary School (541 students, 70% FRL); Sequim Middle School (568 students, 52% FRL); Sequim Senior High (794 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 38% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 773 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 350 days — a 12% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $130k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 350 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.62%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $368,938
- List price
- $259,000
- Delta
- -18.96%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 876 N Rock Rose Ave | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,296 (-4%) | 5mo | $309,000 | $238 | 88 |
| 896 N Rock Rose Ave | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,458 (+8%) | 0mo | $344,000 | $236 | 86 |
| 936 N Rock Rose Ave | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,354 (+0%) | 17mo | $372,500 | $275 | 83 |
| 931 N Iris Ave | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,350 (0%) | 12mo | $312,000 | $231 | 78 |
| 895 N Violet Ave | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,354 (+0%) | 20mo | $329,000 | $243 | 77 |
| 270 E Camelia St | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,404 (+4%) | 15mo | $429,000 | $306 | 76 |
| 905 N Violet Ave | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,296 (-4%) | 15mo | $359,500 | $277 | 75 |
| 946 N Rock Rose Ave | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,296 (-4%) | 19mo | $343,287 | $265 | 74 |
| 923 N Rock Rose Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,333 (-1%) | 22mo | $357,250 | $268 | 72 |
| 911 N Iris Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,354 (+0%) | 20mo | $299,000 | $221 | 70 |
| 1050 N Malia Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 0mo | $420,000 | $292 | 64 |
| 225 N Matriotti Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,425 (+6%) | 1mo | $430,000 | $302 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-59,769
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- -19.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-75,061
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 21 active · 20 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.9 mo (13%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $218,950 ($154/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 50 d
- This list price
- 57% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +77.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 98382
- Active inventory
- 773
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,787 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax from tax record
- −$225 /mo · $2,695/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $-279
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-132 | -5% $-206 | +0% $-279 | +5% $-352 | +10% $-426 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-420 | -5% $-350 | +0% $-279 | +5% $-208 | +10% $-138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-149 | -0.5pp $-213 | base $-279 | +0.5pp $-346 | +1.0pp $-414 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 522 W Evergreen Farm Way Sequim, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $2,450 | $1.83 | 93d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 246 W Maple St Sequim, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 93d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 850 Tommy Ct Sequim, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,300 | $1.70 | 93d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1045 S 3rd Ave Unit 33 Sequim, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 956 | $2,100 | $2.20 | 93d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $259,000 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $259,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $259,000 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $259,000 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-08-04pricedays on market $259,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $285,000 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $285,000 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $285,000 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $285,000 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $285,000 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $285,000 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $285,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $285,000 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $285,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $285,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $285,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-07-17days on market $285,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $285,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $285,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $285,000 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $285,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $285,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $285,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $285,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $285,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $285,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $285,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $285,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $285,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $285,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $285,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $285,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $285,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $285,000 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $285,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-27pricedays on market $285,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $299,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $299,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $299,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $299,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-05days on market $299,000 Active 286 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,695 · $225/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,695 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥83°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$2,695
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,716
- − Management
- −$1,716
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable loss
- −$8,019
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,925
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,423/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready manufactured home in Lavender Meadows offers a well-maintained interior and exterior, with modern updates and a desirable community setting.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Rental HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sequim School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307830
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,969
- Composite
- 52.77/100
- National rank
- #3312
- State rank
- #64 of 291 in WA
Livability — Sequim
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #245
- US rank
- #7845
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sequim, WA
- County
- Clallam County · 76,817 people
- Metro
- Port Angeles, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,052
- Household income
- $74,189
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,817 people
- By 2030
- 78,177 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 79,795 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 80,890 · +5.3%
- By 2075
- 83,933 · +9.3%
- By 2100
- 82,141 · +6.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clallam
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.89%
- Current HPI
- 181.4372
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port Angeles, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
-10.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $299,000 OLS
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $329,500 OLS
- 2025-11-01 Price Changed $364,500 OLS
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $379,500 OLS
- 2025-08-22 Listed $389,500 OLS
- 2024-01-08 Sold (MLS) $344,500 OLS
- 2023-10-26 Pending — OLS
- 2023-10-26 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-26 Sold (MLS) $344,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-24 Relisted — OLS
- 2023-09-02 Pending — OLS
- 2023-05-11 Delisted — OLS
- 2023-04-03 Listed $344,500 OLS
- 2022-11-05 Price Changed $344,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-26 Price Changed $346,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-28 Listed $334,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+43.2%/yrLatest (2026): $2,695 · +43.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…