Multi-family
735 S State St · Vineland, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 71.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR ALERT! Great Duplex Opportunity! Duplex in good shape with a new roof! Upper unit has new gas heater , new refrigerator, new neutral berber carpet, fresh painted walls, and deck off the kitchen. Lower unit has new water heater, new berber carpet, just painted and has a patio.
Key facts
- Private balcony
- Low taxes
- Forced air gas heat
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Improvement and land assessed values reported (assessor sources)
- Financial info: Total actual rental income reported as $31,200; Ownership is fee simple
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Block foundation; Above-grade finished area reported
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 86 x 149; No tidal water on the lot; Other structures described as above grade and below grade
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating fueled by natural gas; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Detached structure; Two 2-bedroom units (both currently leased); Finished above-grade living space totaling 1,920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/?-bath multifamily listed at $339k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $339k).
- Recommended offer: $329k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.5% in Vineland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#363 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
- Vineland Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #418 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,554/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1328% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $185k; list at $339k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.98%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $266,880
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 731 S State St | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 | 1,920 (0%) | 10mo | $355,000 | $185 | 90 |
| 753 S East Blvd | 0.69mi | 4/— | 2,040 (+6%) | 18mo | $283,000 | $139 | 43 |
| 615 S 7th St | 0.55mi | 5/— (+1) | 2,129 (+11%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $99 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-19,760
- Equity at exit
- $50,546
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $28,084
- Equity at exit
- $29,311
Cash invested: $94,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08360
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 15.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,554 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,778
- Tax from tax record
- −$336 /mo · $4,037/yr
- Insurance
- −$141
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$746
- Net cashflow
- $552
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,554 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,777 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,777 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,554 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,750
- Closing costs
- $10,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-17status $339,000 Pending 33 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $339,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $339,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $339,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $339,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $339,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $339,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $339,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $339,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $339,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $339,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $339,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $339,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $339,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-05-15$339,000 Active
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2026-04-24historical
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2026-04-24$329,000 Active
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2026-04-21historical
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2006-09-18soldstatus $185,000
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2006-06-29soldstatus $185,000 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Great Duplex Opportunity! Duplex in good shape with a new roof! Upper unit has new gas heater , new refrigerator, new neutral berber carpet, fresh painted walls, and deck off the kitchen. Lower unit has new water heater, new berber carpet, just painted and has a patio.
-
2006-06-08historical 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Great Duplex Opportunity! Duplex in good shape with a new roof! Upper unit has new gas heater , new refrigerator, new neutral berber carpet, fresh painted walls, and deck off the kitchen. Lower unit has new water heater, new berber carpet, just painted and has a patio.
-
2006-02-13$185,000 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Great Duplex Opportunity! Duplex in good shape with a new roof! Upper unit has new gas heater , new refrigerator, new neutral berber carpet, fresh painted walls, and deck off the kitchen. Lower unit has new water heater, new berber carpet, just painted and has a patio.
-
1999-08-25soldstatus $90,000
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1999-08-23soldstatus $90,000
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1999-08-23soldstatus $90,000
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1999-06-23historical
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1999-06-23historical
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1998-08-07$90,000
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1998-08-07$92,500
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1997-05-28soldstatus $85,000
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1978-11-02soldstatus $186,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,037 · $336/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,239 · $520/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,202/yr (+$184/mo · 54.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,648
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,989
- − Property taxes
- −$4,037
- − Insurance
- −$1,695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,412
- − Management
- −$3,412
- − Depreciation
- −$9,862
- Taxable income
- $1,241
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$298
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,329/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vineland Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416800
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,168
- Composite
- 19.17/100
- National rank
- #8819
- State rank
- #418 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Vineland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #12180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vineland, NJ
- County
- Cumberland County · 80,266 people
- City population
- 45,038
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,038
- Household income
- $65,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,743 people
- By 2030
- 150,373 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 146,881 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 142,653 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 129,468 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 107,456 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 33% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 37% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -320.06%
- Current HPI
- 278.786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+81.8% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $339,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $329,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-21 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-29 Sold (MLS) $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-06-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-02-13 Listed $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 1999-08-23 Sold (MLS) $90,000 SJSRMLS
- 1999-08-23 Sold (MLS) $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-06-23 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 1999-06-23 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-08-07 Listed $92,500 SJSRMLS
- 1998-08-07 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 1978-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $186,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,037 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…