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531 Avenue N N
B- Composite 68.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$189,900

531 Avenue N N · Anson, TX 79501
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,492 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 68 Days on market
Built 1979 0.33 ac lot Est $134k · 41% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 3-Bedroom Home with Shop! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort, space, and excellent potential. Located close to schools in the highly regarded Anson school district, this property is perfect for families, first-time buyers, or anyone looking to enjoy the slower pace of small town living. The home is in solid condition and well maintained, providing a great foundation for buyers who want to add their own style with cosmetic updates. With a functional layout and generous living spaces, it's easy to imagine transforming this house into your dream home. Outside, you'll find plenty of parking and workspace options. In addition to the attached two car garage, there is a two-car ca

Key facts

  • Insulated metal shop
  • Functional layout
  • 0.33 acre lot

Tags

INSULATED METAL SHOPEXTRA COVERED PARKINGFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTGENEROUS LIVING SPACES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From Hwy 277 in Anson turn west on 6th Street; house is on the corner of 6th and Ave N.
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional; Listing agreement: Exclusive Agency; Second mortgage: No
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Carport (2 spaces); Covered parking (4 covered spaces); 2-car garage; garage faces front
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One-story; Accessory unit present; Preowned (built in 1979); Property attached
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Year built 1979
  • Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Covered, enclosed rear porch; Chain link fence; Corner, level lot; Workshop with electric

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on main level with ensuite bath
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High-speed internet available; One living area; One dining area; Room count includes 2 main rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $957 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#377 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Anson ISD (rural): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #565 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Anson El (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 368 students, 68% FRL); Anson Middle (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 167 students, 65% FRL); Anson H S (math 47% / reading 44%, grade D-, #630 of 1,632 statewide, top 39%, 217 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Jones County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $178,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
13.13%
Cash-on-cash
24.41%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,280
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
531 Avenue N N 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,492 (0%) 1mo $189,900 $127 99
715 Avenue J 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,538 (+3%) 1mo $249,999 $163 67
1520 Avenue N 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,574 (+6%) 10mo $60,000 $38 62
1311 Westover Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,356 (-9%) 2mo $189,000 $139 60
1921 Avenue O 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,384 (-7%) 1mo $70,000 $51 57
1331 Avenue N 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,334 (-11%) 2mo $120,000 $90 55
1720 Avenue K 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,553 (+4%) 5mo $74,900 $48 50
414 Commercial Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,336 (-10%) 9mo $159,900 $120 48
1301 Avenue I 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,340 (-10%) 6mo $65,000 $49 45
400 Commercial Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,277 (-14%) 4mo $157,500 $123 40
801 Avenue J 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,296 (-13%) 9mo $69,900 $54 35
223 Avenue L 0.61mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,280 (-14%) 8mo $98,000 $77 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.1%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$95,577
Equity at exit
$97,743
10-year hold
IRR
29.5%
Equity multiple
5.54×
Total profit
$241,452
Equity at exit
$161,044

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79501

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,109 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$299 /mo · $3,590/yr
Insurance
$79
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$653
Net cashflow
$957

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,898
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,064 -5% $1,010 +0% $957 +5% $903 +10% $849
Rent -10% $711 -5% $834 +0% $957 +5% $1,079 +10% $1,202
Rate -1.0pp $1,052 -0.5pp $1,005 base $957 +0.5pp $907 +1.0pp $857

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-28
    historical Active Option Contract
  3. 2026-03-06
    listed $189,900 Active
  4. 2012-06-08
    soldstatus
  5. 1995-06-27
    soldstatus
  6. 1990-03-11
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,590 · $299/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,590 · $299/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,305
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$3,590
− Insurance
−$2,452
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,984
− Management
−$2,984
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable income
$9,133
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,192
After-tax cash flow
$9,287/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anson ISD
NCES district ID
4808400
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$45,223
Composite
28.21/100
National rank
#6805
State rank
#565 of 826 in TX

Livability — Anson

Score
70/100
State rank
#377
US rank
#7976

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Anson, TX
City population
2,635
Population (ZIP)
2,635

Population outlook (Jones County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,845 people
By 2030
20,213 · +1.9%
By 2040
21,446 · +8.1%
By 2050
22,499 · +13.4%
By 2075
23,272 · +17.3%
By 2100
20,420 · +2.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 19%

Political lean MEDSL · Jones

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.2) · D 13.1% · R 86.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.1pp · 2024: -73.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.2 2020: R+69.1 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+54.5 2008: R+46.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.13%
Current HPI
148.5884
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-28 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $189,900 NTREIS
  • 2012-06-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-06-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1990-03-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,590 · +20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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