10573 County Road 2337 · St. Paul, TX 78387

$139,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,088 sqft · Manufactured · 68 Days on market

Built 2013 0.32 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.3/30.0
• DSCR +8.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.7/10.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to peaceful country living in the heart of Sinton’s growing community! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-wide manufactured home offers comfort, charm, and space to entertain. From the moment you arrive, you’ll fall in love with the gorgeous oversized front patio — the perfect spot for hosting gatherings or enjoying quiet evenings under the Texas sky. The beautiful pergola creates an inviting space to sit back, relax, and unwind. Inside, you’ll find an open-concept kitchen that flows seamlessly into the living area, making it ideal for gatherings and everyday living. The layout is functional and welcoming, with split bedrooms that provide privacy a

Key facts

• Country living
• Open-concept kitchen
• Beautiful pergola

Tags

• OVERSIZED FRONT PATIO
• BEAUTIFUL PERGOLA
• OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHEN
• SPLIT BEDROOMS
• COUNTRY LIVING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $357 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $139k).
• Recommended offer: $131k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.0% in St. Paul — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Sinton ISD (town): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #601 of 826 in TX (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 344 units permitted in San Patricio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• San Patricio County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $130,659 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.37%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.00%
• DSCR: 1.49
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 0.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.00×
• Total profit: $141
• Equity at exit: $20,725

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.75×
• Total profit: $29,127
• Equity at exit: $12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78387

• Active inventory: 159
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,487 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$729
• Tax from tax record: −$31 /mo · $372/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$312
• Net cashflow: $357

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,035

Max offer price $139,000

Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,750
• Closing costs: $4,170
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-22
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-19
   historical
3. 2026-02-09
   listed $139,000 Active
4. 2003-12-15
   soldstatus
5. 2000-05-24
   listed $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $372 · $31/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,544 · $212/mo
• Expected delta: +$2,172/yr (+$181/mo · 584.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,844
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,786
• − Property taxes: −$372
• − Insurance: −$695
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,427
• − Management: −$1,427
• − Depreciation: −$4,044
• Taxable income: $2,092
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$502
• After-tax cash flow: $3,781/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sinton ISD
• NCES district ID: 4840350
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -19.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $44,618
• Composite: 26.49/100
• National rank: #7208
• State rank: #601 of 826 in TX

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: St. Paul, TX
• Population (ZIP): 9,604

Population outlook (San Patricio County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 75,538 people
• By 2030: 79,575 · +5.3%
• By 2040: 87,670 · +16.1%
• By 2050: 96,107 · +27.2%
• By 2075: 117,984 · +56.2%
• By 2100: 130,010 · +72.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 71% Two or more races 33% White 25% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 64%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 62% English-only · Spanish 38%

Political lean MEDSL · San Patricio

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+36.4) · D 31.4% · R 67.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.6pp · 2024: -36.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+36.4 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+16.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -81.32%
• Current HPI: 149.9517
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+1058.3% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-22 Pending — CBMLS
• 2026-04-19 Delisted — CBMLS
• 2026-02-09 Listed $139,000 CBMLS
• 2003-12-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2000-05-24 Listed $12,000 CBMLS

Property tax history

+22.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $372 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.